Maple Leafs vs. Stars Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Stars NHL game on October 26, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
1
Oct 27, 12AM American Airlines Center
Oct 27, 12AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Stars | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Stars | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
P3 19:49 Goal scored by John Tavares (Empty Net)
P3 19:36 Shot missed by T.J. Brodie
P3 19:34 Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:31 Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P3 18:23 Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Joseph Woll
P3 17:24 Matt Duchene shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 16:59 Shot missed by Mark Giordano
P3 16:33 Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P3 16:27 Shot missed by Jason Robertson
P3 16:17 Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:48 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 14:31 Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by John Klingberg
P3 14:07 Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by teammate
P3 13:46 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Scott Wedgewood
P3 12:50 Shorthanded - Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
P3 12:21 Power play - Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Joseph Woll
P3 11:36 Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Harley
P3 11:30 Power play - Shot missed by Ty Dellandrea
P3 10:17 Power play - Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Noah Gregor
P3 09:54 Power play - Shot missed by Joe Pavelski
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares (Empty Net)
4-1
John Tavares won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Joseph Woll
Takeaway by Jason Robertson in defensive zone
Calle Jarnkrok won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Matt Duchene shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Roope Hintz won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Radek Faksa won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Robertson
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Joseph Woll
Joe Pavelski won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Power play - Giveaway by Joe Pavelski in neutral zone
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesperson - Player Injury
Shorthanded - Auston Matthews won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Power play - Matt Duchene shot blocked by John Klingberg
SHOT
Power play - Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by teammate
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Tyler Bertuzzi saved by Scott Wedgewood
Power play - Takeaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ty Dellandrea
Shorthanded - Ryan Reaves credited with hit on Thomas Harley in neutral zone
Power play - Thomas Harley credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Nils Lundkvist shot blocked by Noah Gregor
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Joe Pavelski
Power play - Mason Marchment credited with hit on Mitchell Marner in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Joe Pavelski in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Power play - Jason Robertson shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Power play - Roope Hintz won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to John Klingberg 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Thomas Harley)
SHOT
Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by teammate
Evgenii Dadonov credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Esa Lindell
Matt Duchene won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
John Tavares won faceoff against Wyatt Johnston in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Giveaway by Jason Robertson in defensive zone
Roope Hintz won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Power play - Takeaway by John Klingberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shorthanded - Matt Duchene shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Power play - Max Domi won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Tyler Bertuzzi assisted by Morgan Rielly and Matthew Knies
3-1
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Miro Heiskanen in defensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in offensive zone
Jani Hakanpaa credited with hit on Ryan Reaves in offensive zone
Penalty to Jani Hakanpaa 4 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by David Kampf)
Joe Pavelski won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Pontus Holmberg shot blocked by Jani Hakanpaa
SHOT
Craig Smith shot blocked by Mitchell Marner
Takeaway by Craig Smith in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Craig Smith saved by Joseph Woll
John Tavares won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Mason Marchment in neutral zone
Ty Dellandrea won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Jani Hakanpaa in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Radek Faksa
SHOT
Shot missed by Thomas Harley
Roope Hintz won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Jamie Benn credited with hit on John Tavares in offensive zone
Wyatt Johnston won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
John Tavares won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joe Pavelski saved by Joseph Woll
Joe Pavelski won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Shot on goal by Max Domi saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot missed by Matthew Knies
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Jani Hakanpaa
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by teammate
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Matt Duchene in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitchell Marner assisted by Auston Matthews
2-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jamie Benn credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Craig Smith saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Stars
Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
Takeaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Ryan Suter shot blocked by Matthew Knies
Roope Hintz won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Miro Heiskanen saved by Joseph Woll
Roope Hintz won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Ryan Suter shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by teammate
Giveaway by John Klingberg in defensive zone
Radek Faksa credited with hit on John Klingberg in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Scott Wedgewood
John Tavares won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Jamie Benn in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Tyler Seguin saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Suter saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Suter
David Kampf credited with hit on Miro Heiskanen in neutral zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Joe Pavelski in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot missed by T.J. Brodie
Jani Hakanpaa credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Scott Wedgewood
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jamie Benn saved by Joseph Woll
Ty Dellandrea credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mason Marchment assisted by Matt Duchene and Ryan Suter
1-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
SHOT
Shot missed by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Suter
SHOT
Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston
Jamie Benn won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Scott Wedgewood
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Duchene saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Seguin
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Giveaway by Max Domi in offensive zone
Giveaway by Jason Robertson in offensive zone
SHOT
Roope Hintz shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Scott Wedgewood
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
Shorthanded - Ty Dellandrea credited with hit on John Klingberg in offensive zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Esa Lindell saved by Joseph Woll
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Esa Lindell in defensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in offensive zone
Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
Penalty to Roope Hintz 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Pontus Holmberg)
Giveaway by Tyler Bertuzzi in offensive zone
SHOT
Roope Hintz shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
John Tavares won faceoff against Roope Hintz in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
John Tavares won faceoff against Joe Pavelski in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgenii Dadonov saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgenii Dadonov saved by Joseph Woll
Matt Duchene won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nils Lundkvist saved by Joseph Woll
Matt Duchene won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Joseph Woll
Takeaway by Joe Pavelski in offensive zone
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Jason Robertson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Takeaway by Jason Robertson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Wyatt Johnston saved by Joseph Woll
Mitchell Marner credited with hit on Miro Heiskanen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Wyatt Johnston
Ty Dellandrea credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mason Marchment saved by Joseph Woll
Takeaway by Mason Marchment in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Radek Faksa won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
David Kampf won faceoff against Joe Pavelski in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Radek Faksa
Giveaway by Jani Hakanpaa in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Craig Smith saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Bertuzzi
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Klingberg saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitchell Marner
Esa Lindell credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Giveaway by Matt Duchene in offensive zone
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass
SHOT
Shot missed by Max Domi
SHOT
Shot missed by John Klingberg
Takeaway by William Nylander in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Tyler Bertuzzi
SHOT
Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by John Klingberg
SHOT
Shot missed by John Klingberg
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Stars
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
Tyler Seguin credited with hit on Matthew Knies in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Matt Duchene in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Klingberg saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Joe Pavelski
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Joe Pavelski in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Radek Faksa in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Radek Faksa won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ty Dellandrea in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Rielly assisted by William Nylander
1-0
Joe Pavelski won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Penalty to Wyatt Johnston 2 minutes for Misconduct
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf credited with hit on Jamie Benn in defensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf credited with hit on Jamie Benn in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Joe Pavelski saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Scott Wedgewood
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Jamie Benn in defensive zone
Penalty to Mitchell Marner 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Roope Hintz)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Roope Hintz saved by Joseph Woll
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Roope Hintz in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Robertson saved by Joseph Woll
SHOT
Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Thomas Harley
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Gregor saved by Scott Wedgewood
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Nils Lundkvist in offensive zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
SHOT
Radek Faksa shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Thomas Harley saved by Joseph Woll
Ty Dellandrea credited with hit on John Klingberg in offensive zone
Giveaway by Ty Dellandrea in neutral zone
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Ty Dellandrea in offensive zone
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Miro Heiskanen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Giveaway by Evgenii Dadonov in offensive zone
Giveaway by John Klingberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Tyler Seguin shot blocked by John Klingberg
Noah Gregor credited with hit on Nils Lundkvist in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Reaves saved by Scott Wedgewood
SHOT
Shot missed by Mason Marchment
SHOT
Miro Heiskanen shot blocked by Pontus Holmberg
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Radek Faksa in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
John Tavares won faceoff against Tyler Seguin in offensive zone
Tyler Seguin won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 9 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 23 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 9 |
| |
|---|
| 24 | Shots on Goal | 32 | |||
| 54% | Faceoff Win % | 46% | |||
| 4/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 9 | Hits | 15 | |||
| 23 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 9 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Stars: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Stars
- Date: Thursday, October 26, 2023
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -110, Stars -110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 47%
- Stars: 53%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 47%, while the Stars have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Stars are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Stars predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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