Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on December 20, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
1
4
Dec 21, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Dec 21, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lightning | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
P3 19:28 Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Calle Jarnkrok (Empty Net)
P3 18:59 Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P3 18:14 Goal scored by Pierre Engvall assisted by David Kampf and Mark Giordano
P3 17:24 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 16:45 Shot missed by Nick Perbix
P3 15:10 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:04 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 14:41 Steven Stamkos shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P3 14:12 Shot missed by Ian Cole
P3 14:00 Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P3 13:05 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
P3 12:34 Shot on goal by Ian Cole saved by Matt Murray
P3 10:52 Conor Timmins shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 10:37 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:23 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:58 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:48 Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 08:16 Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Matt Murray
P3 08:10 Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 07:14 Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Calle Jarnkrok (Empty Net)
1-4
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Pierre Engvall assisted by David Kampf and Mark Giordano
1-3
Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
Giveaway by Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Giveaway by Ian Cole in defensive zone
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
William Nylander won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
SHOT
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Takeaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ian Cole
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
David Kampf credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Cole saved by Matt Murray
Corey Perry credited with hit on Joey Anderson in offensive zone
Patrick Maroon credited with hit on Joey Anderson in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Icing - TV timeout
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Erik Cernak in defensive zone
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Matt Murray
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by David Kampf
Giveaway by Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Matt Murray
David Kampf won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Giveaway by Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Alex Killorn credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in neutral zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Matt Murray
GOAL
Goal scored by Vladislav Namestnikov assisted by Steven Stamkos
1-2
SHOT
Shot on goal by Vladislav Namestnikov saved by Matt Murray
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Matt Murray
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pontus Holmberg credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Zach Bogosian
Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on Vladislav Namestnikov in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Nick Perbix in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Cole saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Cernak saved by Matt Murray
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Conor Timmins in defensive zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Justin Holl credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Power play - Takeaway by Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
Power play - Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
Penalty to Timothy Liljegren 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Steven Stamkos)
Penalty to Timothy Liljegren 2 minutes for Misconduct
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
David Kampf credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Justin Holl credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in neutral zone
SHOT
Brandon Hagel shot blocked by Justin Holl
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Joey Anderson
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Michael Bunting)
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Giveaway by Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Victor Hedman
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Matt Murray
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Rasmus Sandin and Mitch Marner
0-2
Shorthanded - Erik Cernak credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare)
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Ian Cole 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by William Nylander)
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Bunting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Brayden Point won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by William Nylander in neutral zone
Takeaway by David Kampf in neutral zone
Takeaway by David Kampf in neutral zone
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Michael Bunting
0-1
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Michael Bunting in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Alex Killorn shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
Erik Cernak credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Joey Anderson in defensive zone
SHOT
Zach Bogosian shot blocked by Joey Anderson
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
John Tavares credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Ian Cole in offensive zone
Ian Cole credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Vladislav Namestnikov shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Takeaway by Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Ross Colton credited with hit on Justin Holl in neutral zone
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Vladislav Namestnikov in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Giveaway by Conor Timmins in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Ross Colton credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Matt Murray
John Tavares credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Giveaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
Takeaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
Giveaway by Corey Perry in defensive zone
David Kampf credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in offensive zone
Ross Colton credited with hit on Conor Timmins in offensive zone
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
Ian Cole credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Matt Murray
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 33 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 9 |
| |
|---|
| 19 | Shots on Goal | 40 | |||
| 49% | Faceoff Win % | 51% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 6 | |||
| 33 | Hits | 20 | |||
| 5 | Shots Blocked | 14 | |||
| 11 | Giveaways | 9 |
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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Tuesday, December 20, 2022
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6
- Moneyline Odds: Lightning +120, Maple Leafs -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Lightning: 45%
- Maple Leafs: 55%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 45%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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