Maple Leafs vs. Capitals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Capitals NHL game on December 17, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
2
5
Dec 18, 12AM Capital One Arena
Dec 18, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Capitals | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Capitals | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
P3 19:15 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:37 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 18:13 Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 17:57 Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 16:51 Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 16:41 Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 16:22 Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P3 15:43 Shot missed by John Carlson
P3 15:33 Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 15:14 Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 14:11 Shot on goal by Dmitry Orlov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 13:33 Shot missed by Michael Bunting
P3 13:26 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:22 Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 13:01 David Kampf shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 12:31 Power play - Shot missed by Denis Malgin
P3 12:12 Power play - Denis Malgin shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
P3 11:32 Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:22 Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Charlie Lindgren
P3 11:08 Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Conor Sheary in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Giveaway by Evgeny Kuznetsov in offensive zone
Power play - Dylan Strome won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in defensive zone
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Garnet Hathaway)
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot missed by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
John Carlson credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by John Carlson
SHOT
Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Denis Malgin won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Ilya Samsonov
Takeaway by Erik Gustafsson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Orlov saved by Ilya Samsonov
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Takeaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Bunting
Giveaway by Evgeny Kuznetsov in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Charlie Lindgren
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Charlie Lindgren
David Kampf won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
David Kampf shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Denis Malgin
SHOT
Power play - Denis Malgin shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
Shorthanded - Nick Jensen credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Charlie Lindgren
Power play - Auston Matthews credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - John Tavares shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Shorthanded - Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Lars Eller 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Charlie Lindgren
Lars Eller credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Garnet Hathaway
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Garnet Hathaway in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Charlie Lindgren
Aliaksei Protas credited with hit on Conor Timmins in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Joey Anderson
Giveaway by John Tavares in neutral zone
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in neutral zone
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
John Tavares credited with hit on Matt Irwin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
Giveaway by Dmitry Orlov in offensive zone
Nick Jensen credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Giveaway by Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Giveaway by Erik Gustafsson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Shorthanded - Takeaway by David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeny Kuznetsov saved by Ilya Samsonov
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Penalty to Alexander Kerfoot 2 minutes for Misconduct
David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Rink Repair
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Gustafsson assisted by Evgeny Kuznetsov and Aliaksei Protas
2-5
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
SHOT
Denis Malgin shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
Dmitry Orlov credited with hit on Denis Malgin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by T.J. Brodie
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Lars Eller in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dmitry Orlov saved by Ilya Samsonov
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
Joey Anderson credited with hit on Matt Irwin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Erik Gustafsson
Takeaway by Nicolas Aube-Kubel in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Matt Irwin credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Matt Irwin shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Lars Eller credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
John Carlson credited with hit on Denis Malgin in defensive zone
Dylan Strome credited with hit on Conor Timmins in offensive zone
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by John Carlson
Mitch Marner credited with hit on John Carlson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Bunting
Giveaway by Charlie Lindgren in defensive zone
Nicolas Aube-Kubel credited with hit in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicolas Aube-Kubel saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marcus Johansson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Charlie Lindgren
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Trevor van Riemsdyk in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pontus Holmberg
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Charlie Lindgren
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Nicolas Aube-Kubel credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Charlie Lindgren
Giveaway by Matt Irwin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Jensen saved by Ilya Samsonov
Maple Leafs credited with hit on Dmitry Orlov in defensive zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
John Tavares won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Charlie Lindgren
Aliaksei Protas credited with hit on Pontus Holmberg in offensive zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Marcus Johansson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Charlie Lindgren
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Erik Gustafsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Charlie Lindgren
Matt Irwin credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Charlie Lindgren
David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Hand Pass - TV timeout
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Lars Eller in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
SHOT
Alexander Kerfoot shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
SHOT
Dylan Strome shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Erik Gustafsson credited with hit on Denis Malgin in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Conor Timmins and T.J. Brodie
2-3
Marcus Johansson credited with hit on Joey Anderson in offensive zone
Pontus Holmberg won faceoff against Marcus Johansson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Joey Anderson saved by Charlie Lindgren
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
Zachary Aston-Reese won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Charlie Lindgren
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Alex Ovechkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Conor Timmins shot blocked by Dylan Strome
David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Alexander Kerfoot shot blocked by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lars Eller saved by Ilya Samsonov
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Justin Holl credited with hit on Nicolas Aube-Kubel in defensive zone
Nick Jensen credited with hit in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Lars Eller in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Gustafsson assisted by Evgeny Kuznetsov and Sonny Milano
1-3
Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Sonny Milano
T.J. Oshie credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Matt Irwin in neutral zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Charlie Lindgren
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Charlie Lindgren
Shorthanded - Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Power play - Auston Matthews credited with hit on Lars Eller in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Marcus Johansson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Evgeny Kuznetsov
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Dmitry Orlov
Shorthanded - Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Nick Jensen 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Denis Malgin)
Stoppage - TV timeout
Nick Jensen credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Charlie Lindgren
T.J. Oshie credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
Giveaway by Marcus Johansson in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Charlie Lindgren
T.J. Oshie won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Gustafsson saved by Ilya Samsonov
Justin Holl credited with hit on Conor Sheary in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Timmins
Takeaway by Nicolas Aube-Kubel in offensive zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Trevor van Riemsdyk assisted by Anthony Mantha and Sonny Milano
1-2
SHOT
Zachary Aston-Reese shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Auston Matthews and Alexander Kerfoot
1-1
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on David Kampf in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Charlie Lindgren
Nicolas Aube-Kubel credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
Nicolas Aube-Kubel credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Garnet Hathaway credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Lars Eller won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Erik Gustafsson
0-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Ilya Samsonov
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Evgeny Kuznetsov in offensive zone
Giveaway by Michael Bunting in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Charlie Lindgren
William Nylander credited with hit on Lars Eller in defensive zone
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Alexander Kerfoot
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Oshie saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Oshie saved by Ilya Samsonov
David Kampf won faceoff against Aliaksei Protas in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Erik Gustafsson credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Denis Malgin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Gustafsson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Carlson saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeny Kuznetsov saved by Ilya Samsonov
SHOT
Shot missed by Evgeny Kuznetsov
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Trevor van Riemsdyk credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Ilya Samsonov
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Pontus Holmberg in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Charlie Lindgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on William Nylander in offensive zone
SHOT
Aliaksei Protas shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Aliaksei Protas won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Lars Eller
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Justin Holl in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
Takeaway by Pontus Holmberg in defensive zone
Takeaway by Dylan Strome in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Charlie Lindgren
Anthony Mantha credited with hit on Denis Malgin in neutral zone
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Jensen
SHOT
Dmitry Orlov shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
John Carlson shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 36 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 37 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 9 |
| |
|---|
| 36 | Shots on Goal | 28 | |||
| 61% | Faceoff Win % | 40% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 2/0 | |||
| 4 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 37 | |||
| 10 | Shots Blocked | 18 | |||
| 9 | Giveaways | 9 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Capitals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Capitals
- Date: Saturday, December 17, 2022
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -135, Capitals +125
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 55%
- Capitals: 45%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 55%, while the Capitals have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at Capital One Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Capitals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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