- Predictions
Penguins vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Penguins vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on November 11, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
2
Nov 12, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Nov 12, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
P3 19:47 Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Erik Kallgren
P3 19:13 Shot missed by Brock McGinn
P3 19:03 Shot missed by Brock McGinn
P3 18:55 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 18:36 Shot missed by Bryan Rust
P3 17:57 Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Erik Kallgren
P3 17:43 Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 16:42 John Tavares shot blocked by Jeff Petry
P3 12:13 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Casey DeSmith
P3 11:39 Shot missed by Penguins
P3 10:54 Shot missed by Jason Zucker
P3 09:46 John Tavares shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 06:22 Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Erik Kallgren
P3 05:30 Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P3 05:07 Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Jeff Petry
P3 03:59 Shot missed by Brock McGinn
P3 03:25 T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Kris Letang
P3 02:44 Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Erik Kallgren
P3 02:16 Shot on goal by Ryan Poehling saved by Erik Kallgren
P3 01:54 Goal scored by Brock McGinn assisted by Danton Heinen
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Pierre Engvall in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Erik Kallgren
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock McGinn
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock McGinn
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot missed by Bryan Rust
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Kris Letang saved by Erik Kallgren
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Casey DeSmith
Jeff Petry credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
Nicholas Robertson credited with hit on Jeff Carter in offensive zone
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Jeff Petry
Takeaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Takeaway by Josh Archibald in offensive zone
Giveaway by Michael Bunting in offensive zone
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Danton Heinen in defensive zone
John Tavares credited with hit on Jeff Petry in neutral zone
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Takeaway by Jeff Petry in offensive zone
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Casey DeSmith
Marcus Pettersson credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Penguins
Takeaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Giveaway by Michael Bunting in offensive zone
Marcus Pettersson credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Kris Letang
Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
Josh Archibald credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Ryan Poehling credited with hit on Mark Giordano in defensive zone
Josh Archibald credited with hit on Justin Holl in defensive zone
Jeff Petry credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Jeff Petry in offensive zone
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Erik Kallgren
Takeaway by Rickard Rakell in offensive zone
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Marcus Pettersson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
SHOT
Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Jeff Petry
Brian Dumoulin credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock McGinn
Jeff Carter won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Danton Heinen credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Jeff Carter in neutral zone
Kris Letang credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Kris Letang
John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Marcus Pettersson credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake Guentzel saved by Erik Kallgren
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Poehling saved by Erik Kallgren
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Brock McGinn assisted by Danton Heinen
3-2
Takeaway by Danton Heinen in neutral zone
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Mark Giordano in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Casey DeSmith
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Jake Guentzel in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Michael Bunting
Kris Letang credited with hit on Michael Bunting in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Casey DeSmith
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Marcus Pettersson shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rickard Rakell saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Erik Kallgren
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
Giveaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Takeaway by Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Giveaway by John Tavares in offensive zone
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Casey DeSmith
Takeaway by Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Morgan Rielly
2-2
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
Shorthanded - Jeff Carter won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brock McGinn saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Power play - Morgan Rielly shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Brock McGinn
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Poehling in offensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
Penalty to Kris Letang 2 minutes for Tripping
Danton Heinen credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock McGinn
Giveaway by Denis Malgin in offensive zone
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evgeni Malkin saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Kris Letang
Pierre Engvall credited with hit on Kris Letang in offensive zone
Ryan Poehling credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Rasmus Sandin
Takeaway by Chad Ruhwedel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Erik Kallgren
Giveaway by Jason Zucker in offensive zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit in neutral zone
SHOT
Jeff Petry shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Michael Bunting shot blocked by Sidney Crosby
Stoppage - Icing
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Carter saved by Erik Kallgren
Jeff Carter won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Casey DeSmith
Jan Rutta credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Giveaway by Filip Hallander in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Casey DeSmith
John Tavares credited with hit on Josh Archibald in defensive zone
SHOT
Josh Archibald shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jeff Petry saved by Erik Kallgren
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Kris Letang in neutral zone
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Power play - Bryan Rust shot blocked by Justin Holl
Power play - Sidney Crosby won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Brock McGinn)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
Brock McGinn credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicholas Robertson
John Tavares won faceoff against Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Brian Dumoulin
Brian Dumoulin credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Takeaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
SHOT
Denis Malgin shot blocked by Ryan Poehling
Takeaway by Ryan Poehling in defensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Kris Letang
Giveaway by Filip Hallander in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Jeff Petry credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Shot missed by David Kampf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Casey DeSmith
Jeff Petry credited with hit on Denis Malgin in defensive zone
Jeff Petry credited with hit in defensive zone
Brian Dumoulin credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Brock McGinn
SHOT
Shot missed by Maple Leafs
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Robertson saved by Casey DeSmith
Jeff Carter won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Jason Zucker assisted by Evgeni Malkin
2-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Casey DeSmith
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Brock McGinn
Penguins credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Penguins credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Jeff Carter won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Evgeni Malkin assisted by Rickard Rakell and Chad Ruhwedel
1-1
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
SHOT
Evgeni Malkin shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
Power play - David Kampf won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Casey DeSmith
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jeff Carter in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Jeff Petry credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - William Nylander shot blocked by Jan Rutta
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Justin Holl)
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Jan Rutta in offensive zone
Giveaway by Marcus Pettersson in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
Chad Ruhwedel credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Ryan Poehling won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Casey DeSmith
GOAL
Goal scored by Zachary Aston-Reese assisted by Denis Malgin and David Kampf
0-1
Denis Malgin credited with hit on Brian Dumoulin in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Rickard Rakell in neutral zone
Marcus Pettersson credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Carter saved by Erik Kallgren
Jeff Carter won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Josh Archibald
SHOT
Michael Bunting shot blocked by Kris Letang
Josh Archibald credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
Bryan Rust credited with hit on Denis Malgin in offensive zone
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Marcus Pettersson saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Kris Letang shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
Sidney Crosby won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Zucker saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brian Dumoulin saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
Jason Zucker credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Zucker
SHOT
Shot on goal by Penguins saved by Erik Kallgren
Giveaway by Sidney Crosby in offensive zone
Takeaway by Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Giveaway by Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
John Tavares won faceoff against Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Denis Malgin saved by Casey DeSmith
Rickard Rakell credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Evgeni Malkin
SHOT
Rickard Rakell shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Bryan Rust shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Sidney Crosby credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Marcus Pettersson
Giveaway by Bryan Rust in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Casey DeSmith
SHOT
Power play - Auston Matthews shot blocked by Marcus Pettersson
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Casey DeSmith
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Jeff Carter in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Casey DeSmith
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Jeff Carter in offensive zone
Penalty to Evgeni Malkin 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Denis Malgin)
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Rickard Rakell
David Kampf won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Takeaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Jeff Petry credited with hit on Nicholas Robertson in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Evgeni Malkin in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Evgeni Malkin won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Archibald saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Poehling
Chad Ruhwedel credited with hit on Denis Malgin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Casey DeSmith
Chad Ruhwedel credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by David Kampf
SHOT
Shot on goal by Denis Malgin saved by Casey DeSmith
Jeff Carter won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Kris Letang credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Bryan Rust credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Sidney Crosby in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 41 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 23 | Shots on Goal | 30 | |||
| 50% | Faceoff Win % | 50% | |||
| 1/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 3/1 | |||
| 6 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 2 | |||
| 41 | Hits | 14 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 13 | |||
| 13 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Penguins vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Penguins vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Friday, November 11, 2022
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Penguins +130, Maple Leafs -150
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Penguins: 43%
- Maple Leafs: 57%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Penguins a win probability of 43%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Penguins in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Penguins vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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