Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on April 27, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
4
2
Apr 27, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
Maple Leafs
Apr 27, 11PM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
1124
Maple Leafs
1012
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
Maple LeafsTOR
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
1124
Maple Leafs
1012
P3 19:55 Goal scored by Alex Killorn assisted by Victor Hedman and Anthony Cirelli
P3 19:35 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:31 William Nylander shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 18:40 Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:16 Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:13 Mitch Marner shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 16:26 Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by John Tavares and Mitch Marner
P3 16:15 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:55 Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P3 15:44 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 14:55 Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Luke Schenn
P3 14:38 Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 14:29 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 14:19 Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 12:23 Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 11:54 Goal scored by Nicholas Paul
P3 11:53 Goal scored by Nicholas Paul
P3 11:52 Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
P3 11:06 Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:55 Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:55
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P3 19:55
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Killorn assisted by Victor Hedman and Anthony Cirelli
4-2
P3 19:44
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 19:44
Stoppage - Icing
P3 19:38
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 19:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 19:31
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 19:15
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P3 19:08
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 18:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:38
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Ian Cole in offensive zone
P3 18:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 17:46
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 17:46
Stoppage - Icing
P3 17:13
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 16:57
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P3 16:53
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Ross Colton in neutral zone
P3 16:26
GOAL
Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by John Tavares and Mitch Marner
3-2
P3 16:16
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 16:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 16:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 15:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
P3 15:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 15:39
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 15:39
Stoppage - Icing
P3 15:04
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
P3 15:01
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P3 14:55
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Luke Schenn
P3 14:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 14:35
Giveaway by Luke Schenn in defensive zone
P3 14:30
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P3 14:30
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 14:26
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 14:26
Stoppage - Icing
P3 14:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 14:02
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P3 13:41
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 13:21
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 13:21
Stoppage - Icing
P3 13:16
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P3 12:53
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P3 12:38
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P3 12:23
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 12:16
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P3 11:54
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicholas Paul
4-1
P3 11:53
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P3 11:53
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicholas Paul
4-1
P3 11:52
Giveaway by Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
P3 11:52
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
P3 11:41
Ross Colton credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
P3 11:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 11:01
Giveaway by Darren Raddysh in defensive zone
P3 10:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 10:43
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Jake McCabe in neutral zone
P3 09:46
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 09:46
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:31
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 09:27
Takeaway by Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 09:22
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 09:13
Takeaway by Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P3 08:51
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
P3 08:13
David Kampf won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P3 08:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 08:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 07:32
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
P3 07:18
Maple Leafs credited with hit on Alex Killorn in offensive zone
P3 07:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 06:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 06:37
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in offensive zone
P3 06:25
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 06:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 05:59
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P3 05:59
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 05:56
Ross Colton credited with hit on Luke Schenn in offensive zone
P3 05:49
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P3 05:49
Stoppage - Offside
P3 05:48
Giveaway by Luke Schenn in defensive zone
P3 05:40
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P3 05:40
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 05:40
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 05:37
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P3 05:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:55
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P3 04:17
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P3 04:04
Justin Holl credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 03:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:16
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P3 03:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 03:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 03:13
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in neutral zone
P3 03:06
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 03:06
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 03:06
SHOT
Zachary Aston-Reese shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P3 02:17
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P3 01:40
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 01:06
SHOT
Shorthanded - Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P3 01:02
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 00:57
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 00:53
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:49
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 00:23
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Samsonov
P3 00:18
Power play - Giveaway by Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P3 00:00
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:59
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P2 19:49
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
P2 19:09
Takeaway by Corey Perry in neutral zone
P2 18:32
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P2 18:23
Mitch Marner credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
P2 18:07
John Tavares won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
P2 18:07
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 17:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:54
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
P2 17:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:27
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
P2 17:19
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against William Nylander in defensive zone
P2 17:19
Stoppage - Offside
P2 17:07
David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 17:07
Stoppage - Icing
P2 17:02
Mikey Eyssimont credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
P2 16:44
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P2 16:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 16:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 16:20
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P2 16:15
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P2 16:04
Brayden Point credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P2 16:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 15:44
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 14:58
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
P2 14:43
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 14:42
Giveaway by Luke Schenn in defensive zone
P2 14:38
Victor Hedman credited with hit on David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 14:32
Sam Lafferty won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 14:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 14:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 14:14
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P2 14:14
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 14:14
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Nick Perbix
P2 14:04
Takeaway by Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
P2 13:42
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P2 13:18
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 13:18
Stoppage - Icing
P2 12:58
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P2 12:56
Shorthanded - Jake McCabe credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P2 12:36
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P2 12:33
Shorthanded - Jake McCabe credited with hit on Ross Colton in offensive zone
P2 12:28
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P2 12:24
Shorthanded - David Kampf credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P2 11:50
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P2 11:30
Shorthanded - Takeaway by David Kampf in neutral zone
P2 11:19
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
P2 11:19
Stoppage - Icing
P2 11:01
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 11:01
Penalty to Alexander Kerfoot 2 minutes for Delay of Game
P2 10:42
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P2 10:33
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Pat Maroon in neutral zone
P2 10:27
Giveaway by Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
P2 10:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:04
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P2 10:04
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
P2 10:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Bogosian
P2 09:47
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in offensive zone
P2 09:41
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Pat Maroon in neutral zone
P2 09:20
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Nicholas Paul
P2 09:17
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P2 09:07
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P2 09:02
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:54
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:21
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P2 08:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 08:07
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P2 08:06
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P2 08:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Killorn
P2 07:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 06:54
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P2 06:54
Stoppage - Icing
P2 06:24
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
P2 06:16
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P2 06:16
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P2 06:07
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Luke Schenn in offensive zone
P2 06:02
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Zach Bogosian in neutral zone
P2 05:56
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P2 05:56
Stoppage - Offside
P2 05:51
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P2 05:49
Giveaway by Auston Matthews in defensive zone
P2 05:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 05:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P2 05:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 05:00
Takeaway by Jake McCabe in neutral zone
P2 04:32
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Corey Perry in offensive zone
P2 04:24
GOAL
Goal scored by Mikey Eyssimont
2-1
P2 04:23
John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P2 04:06
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Ian Cole in neutral zone
P2 03:48
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P2 03:42
Takeaway by Zach Bogosian in defensive zone
P2 03:35
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P2 03:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P2 03:11
Calle Jarnkrok credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P2 03:03
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P2 02:36
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P2 02:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 02:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Luke Schenn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 02:30
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P2 02:30
Stoppage - Icing
P2 02:28
Matthew Knies credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P2 02:24
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P2 02:18
Nick Perbix credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
P2 02:06
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
P2 01:59
Brayden Point credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 01:47
Lightning credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P2 01:44
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Steven Stamkos
P2 01:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 01:27
Nick Perbix credited with hit on John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 00:54
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Pat Maroon in defensive zone
P2 00:46
Justin Holl credited with hit on Corey Perry in defensive zone
P2 00:39
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P2 00:39
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Ilya Samsonov
P2 00:16
Giveaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 00:00
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:59
Justin Holl credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
P1 19:55
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P1 19:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 19:32
Shorthanded - Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P1 19:25
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 18:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 18:48
Shorthanded - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 18:48
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 18:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 18:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 18:12
SHOT
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P1 18:03
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Brayden Point
P1 17:57
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 17:47
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 17:47
Penalty to Justin Holl 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Nikita Kucherov)
P1 17:45
SHOT
Zach Bogosian shot blocked by Mark Giordano
P1 17:26
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
P1 17:18
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
P1 17:07
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P1 16:53
David Kampf won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P1 16:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:50
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P1 16:45
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
P1 16:42
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 16:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P1 16:11
Power play - William Nylander won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 16:11
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 16:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:09
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 16:03
Power play - Takeaway by William Nylander in neutral zone
P1 14:56
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 14:38
Power play - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P1 14:38
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
P1 14:38
Penalty to Ross Colton 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Morgan Rielly)
P1 14:36
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 13:48
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P1 13:48
Stoppage - Offside
P1 13:19
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P1 13:19
John Tavares credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
P1 13:08
John Tavares won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 13:08
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:03
Takeaway by John Tavares in neutral zone
P1 12:25
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Calle Jarnkrok in defensive zone
P1 11:59
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
P1 11:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 11:59
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 11:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 11:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 11:49
Giveaway by Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
P1 11:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 11:32
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 11:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 11:22
Ross Colton credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P1 11:02
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P1 11:01
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P1 11:00
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 10:54
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
P1 10:47
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P1 10:41
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
P1 10:41
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 10:32
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Alex Killorn
P1 10:08
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 10:08
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 10:08
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd - TV timeout
P1 09:55
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in defensive zone
P1 09:45
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P1 09:39
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
P1 09:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Ian Cole
P1 08:46
Takeaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
P1 08:25
Giveaway by Calle Jarnkrok in neutral zone
P1 08:14
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
P1 07:59
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 07:33
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 07:05
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 07:05
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P1 06:55
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P1 06:55
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 06:47
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Darren Raddysh
P1 06:20
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P1 06:12
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
P1 06:12
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Brandon Hagel and Nick Perbix
1-1
P1 06:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 05:57
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P1 05:47
GOAL
Goal scored by Morgan Rielly
0-1
P1 05:46
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 05:43
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
P1 05:35
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
P1 05:31
Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
P1 05:22
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 05:22
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:22
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 05:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Sam Lafferty
P1 04:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 04:39
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Victor Hedman in defensive zone
P1 04:32
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 04:32
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 04:32
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:31
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P1 04:30
Takeaway by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P1 04:22
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Sam Lafferty
P1 04:15
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P1 04:15
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:14
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Calle Jarnkrok
P1 03:53
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P1 03:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Bogosian saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 03:45
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Pat Maroon in defensive zone
P1 03:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Pat Maroon
P1 03:14
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in neutral zone
P1 03:05
Takeaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 02:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 02:43
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P1 02:37
Takeaway by Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P1 02:21
Ross Colton credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P1 02:18
SHOT
Ian Cole shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P1 01:44
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P1 01:44
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:41
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
P1 01:39
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P1 01:34
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
P1 01:14
Noel Acciari credited with hit in neutral zone
P1 01:07
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Nick Perbix in offensive zone
P1 00:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 00:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Ilya Samsonov
P1 00:00
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Maple Leafs
38Shots on Goal30
42%Faceoff Win %58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
37Hits44
13Shots Blocked21
8Giveaways19
LightningTB
Maple LeafsTOR
38Shots on Goal30
42%Faceoff Win %58%
2/0 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 2/0
4Penalty Infraction Mins4
37Hits44
13Shots Blocked21
8Giveaways19

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
  • Date: Thursday, April 27, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning +130, Maple Leafs -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 43%
  • Maple Leafs: 57%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 43%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Lightning in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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