Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Lightning NHL game on April 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Maple Leafs
4
3
Apr 11, 11PM Amalie Arena
Lightning
Apr 11, 11PM Amalie Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2114
Lightning
1113
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Maple LeafsTOR
Win %
100%
0%
LightningTB
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Maple Leafs
2114
Lightning
1113
P3 19:57 Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 19:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:43 Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:36 Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:29 Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 19:15 Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 18:28 Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:03 Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 17:58 Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
P3 17:11 Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Luke Schenn
P3 16:59 Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 16:16 Erik Cernak shot blocked by David Kampf
P3 15:05 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:55 Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 14:53 Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 14:49 Shot missed by Lightning
P3 14:40 Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:13 Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:05 Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 13:49 Goal scored by Mikhail Sergachev
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:57
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 19:50
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:43
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P3 19:43
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Home Timeout
P3 19:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 19:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:36
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P3 19:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Corey Perry
P3 19:15
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 18:37
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P3 18:29
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P3 18:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 18:28
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 18:21
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
P3 18:03
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 18:03
Penalty to T.J. Brodie 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
P3 18:03
SHOT
Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 17:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
P3 17:35
Anthony Cirelli credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
P3 17:11
SHOT
Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Luke Schenn
P3 16:59
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P3 16:59
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 16:59
SHOT
Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Noel Acciari
P3 16:55
Takeaway by Ross Colton in offensive zone
P3 16:30
Takeaway by Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P3 16:23
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P3 16:23
Stoppage - Hand Pass
P3 16:16
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
P3 16:16
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 16:16
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by David Kampf
P3 15:38
Takeaway by Michael Bunting in neutral zone
P3 15:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:55
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P3 14:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P3 14:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P3 14:40
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:25
Takeaway by Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P3 14:13
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
P3 14:13
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 14:13
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joseph Woll
P3 14:05
SHOT
Darren Raddysh shot blocked by Jake McCabe
P3 13:56
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in defensive zone
P3 13:49
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P3 13:49
GOAL
Goal scored by Mikhail Sergachev
4-3
P3 13:47
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P3 12:49
Takeaway by Corey Perry in offensive zone
P3 12:33
Brayden Point won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P3 12:33
GOAL
Goal scored by Ryan O'Reilly assisted by Matthew Knies and William Nylander
4-2
P3 12:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:31
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
P3 12:02
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P3 11:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Perbix
P3 11:51
Lightning credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
P3 11:36
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
P3 09:36
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P3 09:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:35
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 09:31
Shorthanded - Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
P3 09:20
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:49
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Zachary Aston-Reese
P3 08:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 08:27
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 08:01
Shorthanded - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
P3 08:01
Stoppage - Offside
P3 07:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:35
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P3 07:35
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 07:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P3 07:11
Power play - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P3 07:11
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 07:11
Stoppage - TV timeout
P3 07:11
Penalty to Morgan Rielly 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Nicholas Paul)
P3 07:11
Penalty to Morgan Rielly 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Ross Colton)
P3 07:11
Penalty to Nicholas Paul 2 minutes for Misconduct
P3 06:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Morgan Rielly
P3 06:42
Giveaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P3 06:42
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P3 06:11
Conor Timmins credited with hit on Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P3 06:05
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Perbix saved by Joseph Woll
P3 05:45
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in defensive zone
P3 05:39
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
P3 05:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P3 05:39
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P3 05:29
Brayden Point credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
P3 05:01
Justin Holl credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 04:53
Takeaway by Brayden Point in neutral zone
P3 04:43
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 04:43
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 04:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ian Cole saved by Joseph Woll
P3 04:23
John Tavares credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P3 04:07
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in offensive zone
P3 04:03
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nicholas Paul saved by Joseph Woll
P3 03:40
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Luke Schenn in offensive zone
P3 03:25
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P3 03:15
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P3 03:12
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P3 03:08
SHOT
Shot missed by Anthony Cirelli
P3 02:19
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Nikita Kucherov
P3 02:17
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P3 02:17
Stoppage - Skater Puck Frozen
P3 02:12
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
P3 02:12
Stoppage - Icing
P3 02:00
John Tavares credited with hit on Corey Perry in defensive zone
P3 01:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
P3 01:03
Giveaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
P3 01:02
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Matthew Knies in defensive zone
P3 00:57
SHOT
Shot missed by Jake McCabe
P3 00:27
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P3 00:08
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P3 00:08
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 00:00
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:33
Power play - Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P2 19:19
SHOT
Power play - Nikita Kucherov shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
P2 19:15
Shorthanded - Justin Holl credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 18:59
Shorthanded - Takeaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 18:57
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by David Kampf saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 18:49
Shorthanded - Takeaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 18:31
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 18:31
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Victor Hedman)
P2 18:31
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 18:27
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 17:48
Shorthanded - Brayden Point credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
P2 17:42
Power play - Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 17:32
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
P2 17:26
Power play - Giveaway by Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P2 16:56
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 16:56
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Calle Jarnkrok
3-2
P2 16:54
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 16:16
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P2 16:16
Penalty to Mikey Eyssimont 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drawn by Timothy Liljegren)
P2 16:16
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 16:15
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikey Eyssimont saved by Joseph Woll
P2 16:02
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 16:02
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by T.J. Brodie)
P2 16:02
Stoppage - Offside
P2 15:51
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P2 15:36
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Noel Acciari in offensive zone
P2 15:36
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:35
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:33
SHOT
Power play - Steven Stamkos shot blocked by Luke Schenn
P2 15:26
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 15:26
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:26
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P2 15:20
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 15:20
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 15:20
Penalty to Matthew Knies 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Brandon Hagel)
P2 15:09
Brandon Hagel credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
P2 14:56
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P2 14:44
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P2 14:28
Shorthanded - Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Corey Perry in defensive zone
P2 14:11
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
P2 13:46
Power play - Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P2 13:25
Shorthanded - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 13:25
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 13:24
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P2 13:16
Shorthanded - Justin Holl credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in defensive zone
P2 12:38
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 12:38
Penalty to Noel Acciari 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Mikey Eyssimont)
P2 12:34
SHOT
Brayden Point shot blocked by Conor Timmins
P2 12:28
SHOT
Shot missed by Victor Hedman
P2 12:00
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 12:00
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P2 11:51
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Noel Acciari in defensive zone
P2 11:38
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P2 11:15
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
P2 11:05
Giveaway by Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P2 11:05
Alex Killorn credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
P2 10:51
Nicholas Paul credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
P2 10:26
SHOT
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P2 10:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 10:03
Takeaway by Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 09:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Luke Schenn
P2 09:44
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 09:44
Stoppage - Icing
P2 09:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joseph Woll
P2 09:20
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on Conor Timmins in defensive zone
P2 09:13
Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P2 08:58
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 08:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 08:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joseph Woll
P2 08:51
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Noel Acciari in neutral zone
P2 08:51
Stoppage - Offside
P2 08:45
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 08:33
Zachary Aston-Reese credited with hit on Darren Raddysh in neutral zone
P2 08:27
David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P2 08:27
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 08:27
SHOT
Nicholas Paul shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P2 08:11
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:03
Shorthanded - Victor Hedman credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
P2 07:57
Shorthanded - Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on Conor Timmins in defensive zone
P2 07:39
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:08
Power play - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P2 06:08
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Lightning
P2 06:08
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 06:08
Penalty to Brandon Hagel 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Noel Acciari)
P2 06:08
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Ross Colton
P2 05:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brandon Hagel saved by Joseph Woll
P2 05:21
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
P2 05:21
GOAL
Goal scored by Nick Perbix
2-2
P2 05:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P2 05:15
Victor Hedman credited with hit on Luke Schenn in offensive zone
P2 05:08
SHOT
Victor Hedman shot blocked by Zachary Aston-Reese
P2 04:53
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 04:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P2 04:33
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P2 04:20
David Kampf won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P2 04:20
Penalty to Michael Bunting 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Corey Perry)
P2 04:20
Penalty to Corey Perry 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Michael Bunting)
P2 03:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Timmins saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 03:48
Erik Cernak credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 03:43
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P2 03:30
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
P2 03:10
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Nick Perbix
P2 03:06
Giveaway by Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P2 02:56
Takeaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
P2 02:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
P2 02:31
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P2 02:31
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P2 02:29
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Joseph Woll
P2 01:23
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
P2 01:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joseph Woll
P2 01:23
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Maple Leafs
P2 01:23
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 01:23
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Joseph Woll
P2 01:16
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:30
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anthony Cirelli saved by Joseph Woll
P2 00:17
SHOT
Anthony Cirelli shot blocked by Timothy Liljegren
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:57
Shorthanded - Mikhail Sergachev credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
P1 19:46
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 19:11
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Ian Cole
P1 18:55
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 18:50
Power play - Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 18:50
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 18:50
Penalty to Pat Maroon 2 minutes for Roughing (Drawn by Luke Schenn) (Served by Corey Perry)
P1 18:50
Penalty to Luke Schenn 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Pat Maroon)
P1 18:50
Penalty to Pat Maroon 5 minutes for Fighting (Drawn by Luke Schenn)
P1 18:32
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Conor Timmins in offensive zone
P1 18:10
David Kampf won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P1 18:10
Stoppage - Offside
P1 18:06
Giveaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 17:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Calle Jarnkrok saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 17:46
Darren Raddysh credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
P1 16:48
Takeaway by Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P1 16:43
SHOT
Nick Perbix shot blocked by Matthew Knies
P1 16:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Joseph Woll
P1 16:01
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P1 16:01
GOAL
Goal scored by Luke Schenn
2-1
P1 15:48
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
P1 15:48
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Joseph Woll
P1 15:48
GOAL
Goal scored by Pat Maroon
1-2
P1 15:48
SHOT
Shot missed by Darren Raddysh
P1 15:21
SHOT
Calle Jarnkrok shot blocked by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
P1 15:08
John Tavares won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P1 15:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:08
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 15:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matthew Knies saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:00
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
P1 14:22
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in neutral zone
P1 14:22
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 13:59
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Brayden Point in neutral zone
P1 13:59
GOAL
Goal scored by Alex Killorn
1-1
P1 13:56
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Joseph Woll
P1 13:52
SHOT
Shot on goal by Lightning saved by Joseph Woll
P1 13:20
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P1 13:20
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 13:20
SHOT
Shot on goal by Timothy Liljegren saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 12:48
David Kampf won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P1 12:48
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Ryan O'Reilly and Calle Jarnkrok
1-0
P1 12:12
Takeaway by Brandon Hagel in defensive zone
P1 12:06
Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 12:06
Penalty to Alex Killorn 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by T.J. Brodie)
P1 11:59
Shorthanded - T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 11:43
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Joseph Woll
P1 11:18
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Steven Stamkos
P1 11:09
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P1 11:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 11:08
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Joseph Woll
P1 10:24
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P1 10:24
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Misconduct
P1 10:24
Penalty to Jake McCabe 2 minutes for Interference
P1 10:09
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in neutral zone
P1 10:09
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 10:09
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Player Injury
P1 10:02
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Corey Perry in neutral zone
P1 09:40
Pat Maroon credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
P1 09:04
Steven Stamkos credited with hit on Luke Schenn in offensive zone
P1 08:57
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 08:51
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Nicholas Paul in defensive zone
P1 08:31
Nicholas Paul won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 08:31
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 08:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darren Raddysh saved by Joseph Woll
P1 08:27
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P1 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joseph Woll
P1 07:54
Nikita Kucherov credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
P1 07:38
Justin Holl credited with hit on Mikey Eyssimont in defensive zone
P1 07:03
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan O'Reilly
P1 06:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:50
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Ross Colton in offensive zone
P1 06:50
Stoppage - Icing
P1 06:44
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P1 06:44
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P1 06:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan O'Reilly saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 06:26
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Victor Hedman in neutral zone
P1 05:53
SHOT
Jake McCabe shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P1 05:45
John Tavares won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in offensive zone
P1 05:45
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 05:45
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:55
Takeaway by Matthew Knies in offensive zone
P1 04:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joseph Woll
P1 03:57
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 03:57
Stoppage - Icing
P1 03:26
Luke Schenn credited with hit on Corey Perry in defensive zone
P1 02:47
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Alex Killorn in defensive zone
P1 02:30
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joseph Woll
P1 01:51
Takeaway by Andrei Vasilevskiy in defensive zone
P1 01:35
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 01:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Joseph Woll
P1 01:12
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
P1 00:53
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in offensive zone
P1 00:53
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 00:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joseph Woll
P1 00:39
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 00:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 00:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mikhail Sergachev saved by Joseph Woll
P1 00:32
Brayden Point won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
P1 00:32
Penalty to Morgan Rielly 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Anthony Cirelli)
P1 00:11
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Ryan O'Reilly in defensive zone
P1 00:11
Penalty to Alex Killorn 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Morgan Rielly)
P1 00:00
Ryan O'Reilly won faceoff against Nicholas Paul in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Maple Leafs
STATS
Lightning
24Shots on Goal48
48%Faceoff Win %52%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 8/0
28Penalty Infraction Mins24
23Hits29
17Shots Blocked6
3Giveaways10
Maple LeafsTOR
LightningTB
24Shots on Goal48
48%Faceoff Win %52%
6/2 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 8/0
28Penalty Infraction Mins24
23Hits29
17Shots Blocked6
3Giveaways10

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Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning
  • Date: Tuesday, April 11, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Amalie Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs +195, Lightning -225

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Maple Leafs: 40%
  • Lightning: 60%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 40%, while the Lightning have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Maple Leafs in the NHL game at Amalie Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Maple Leafs vs. Lightning predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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