- Predictions
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Oilers vs. Maple Leafs NHL game on March 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
4
7
Mar 12, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
Mar 12, 12AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Oilers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Oilers | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Maple Leafs | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
P3 19:10 Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 19:10 Goal scored by Noel Acciari (Empty Net)
P3 18:47 Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 18:10 Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
P3 17:37 Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Matt Murray
P3 14:50 Evan Bouchard shot blocked by John Tavares
P3 13:56 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 13:25 Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Matt Murray
P3 12:47 Shot missed by Justin Holl
P3 12:40 Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 12:31 Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Connor McDavid
P3 12:24 Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Matt Murray
P3 11:42 Brett Kulak shot blocked by Mitch Marner
P3 11:37 Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Matt Murray
P3 11:34 Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Matt Murray
P3 10:50 Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 10:50 Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Mitch Marner and John Tavares
P3 10:30 Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Stuart Skinner
P3 09:55 Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
P3 09:37 Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Stuart Skinner
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Devin Shore won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Stuart Skinner
GOAL
Goal scored by Noel Acciari (Empty Net)
4-7
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Nick Bjugstad in defensive zone
SHOT
Leon Draisaitl shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Darnell Nurse
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins saved by Matt Murray
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - TV timeout
Penalty to Mitch Marner 2 minutes for Tripping
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by John Tavares
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Derek Ryan in defensive zone
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Cody Ceci in defensive zone
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Evander Kane in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
William Nylander won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Leon Draisaitl assisted by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Connor McDavid
4-6
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evan Bouchard saved by Matt Murray
Shorthanded - David Kampf won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Penalty to Timothy Liljegren 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Warren Foegele)
Warren Foegele credited with hit on Mitch Marner in offensive zone
SHOT
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Kailer Yamamoto won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Noel Acciari in defensive zone
Noel Acciari won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Auston Matthews assisted by Mitch Marner and John Tavares
3-6
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Stuart Skinner
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
Shorthanded - Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Penalty to Warren Foegele 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Noel Acciari)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Darnell Nurse shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Warren Foegele
Takeaway by Connor McDavid in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to Evander Kane 2 minutes for Misconduct
Shorthanded - Vincent Desharnais credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Vincent Desharnais in defensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for High Sticking (Drawn by Michael Bunting)
David Kampf won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by William Nylander in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Penalty to Vincent Desharnais 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by John Tavares)
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Misconduct
Penalty to John Tavares 2 minutes for Slashing
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Kailer Yamamoto in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
Warren Foegele credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
SHOT
Alexander Kerfoot shot blocked by Brett Kulak
Power play - Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Power play - Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Noel Acciari
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Jake McCabe in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Leon Draisaitl
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Matt Murray
Power play - Giveaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
Power play - Zach Hyman credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Connor McDavid
Power play - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to Justin Holl 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
Giveaway by Connor McDavid in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Matt Murray
John Tavares won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brett Kulak saved by Matt Murray
Leon Draisaitl credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Connor McDavid won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by John Tavares
3-5
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
Penalty to Darnell Nurse 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Mitch Marner)
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Leon Draisaitl credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Evan Bouchard
Takeaway by Nick Bjugstad in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Noel Acciari
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Stuart Skinner
Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
David Kampf won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by John Tavares assisted by Auston Matthews
3-4
SHOT
Shot on goal by Leon Draisaitl saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Stuart Skinner
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Evan Bouchard credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Takeaway by T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Ekholm saved by Matt Murray
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by William Nylander assisted by Mitch Marner
3-3
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Nick Bjugstad credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Bjugstad saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Shot missed by Warren Foegele
Cody Ceci credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Noel Acciari shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Zach Hyman credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Hyman saved by Matt Murray
Connor McDavid won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner
3-2
Takeaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Derek Ryan in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Mattias Janmark shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Michael Bunting credited with hit on Evan Bouchard in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Evander Kane in defensive zone
William Nylander won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Darnell Nurse saved by Matt Murray
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in offensive zone
Penalty to Michael Bunting 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drawn by Ryan McLeod)
Penalty to Ryan McLeod 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Michael Bunting)
John Tavares won faceoff against Derek Ryan in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Zach Hyman in defensive zone
SHOT
Zach Hyman shot blocked by Jake McCabe
Giveaway by Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Zach Hyman in neutral zone
Shorthanded - Vincent Desharnais credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Erik Gustafsson shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Mattias Ekholm in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Power play - Sam Lafferty won faceoff against Connor McDavid in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
Shorthanded - Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Penalty to Kailer Yamamoto 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Mark Giordano)
Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Vincent Desharnais in offensive zone
Sam Lafferty won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Stuart Skinner
Connor McDavid won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Darnell Nurse in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Warren Foegele saved by Matt Murray
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Brett Kulak in neutral zone
Giveaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
Giveaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Brett Kulak
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Stoppage - High Stick
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
Ryan McLeod won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Connor McDavid assisted by Evan Bouchard and Nick Bjugstad
3-1
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Mattias Ekholm
Giveaway by Evander Kane in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot on goal by Maple Leafs saved by Stuart Skinner
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against William Nylander in neutral zone
Penalty to Auston Matthews 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drawn by Connor McDavid)
Penalty to Connor McDavid 2 minutes for Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Kailer Yamamoto
Takeaway by Stuart Skinner in defensive zone
Connor McDavid credited with hit on Jake McCabe in offensive zone
SHOT
Evander Kane shot blocked by Mitch Marner
Giveaway by T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Giveaway by Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Referee or Linesman - Ice problem
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Darnell Nurse credited with hit on William Nylander in defensive zone
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Cody Ceci in defensive zone
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
Giveaway by David Kampf in offensive zone
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
Takeaway by William Nylander in offensive zone
Evander Kane credited with hit on Erik Gustafsson in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Evander Kane
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evander Kane saved by Matt Murray
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Cody Ceci credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Stuart Skinner
Nick Bjugstad credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sam Lafferty saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Calle Jarnkrok
Nick Bjugstad credited with hit on Sam Lafferty in defensive zone
Noel Acciari credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
Takeaway by Brett Kulak in defensive zone
Vincent Desharnais credited with hit on Zachary Aston-Reese in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jake McCabe saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noel Acciari saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Giveaway by Michael Bunting in neutral zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Stuart Skinner
John Tavares credited with hit on Brett Kulak in offensive zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
John Tavares won faceoff against Leon Draisaitl in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Evander Kane assisted by Connor McDavid and Cody Ceci
2-1
Darnell Nurse credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
Jake McCabe credited with hit on Nick Bjugstad in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Mattias Janmark
Nick Bjugstad won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mattias Janmark saved by Matt Murray
Sam Lafferty won faceoff against Mattias Janmark in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Takeaway by Leon Draisaitl in defensive zone
Giveaway by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in defensive zone
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Leon Draisaitl
Giveaway by Cody Ceci in defensive zone
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Darnell Nurse
Giveaway by Connor McDavid in defensive zone
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Shot missed by Evander Kane
SHOT
Evan Bouchard shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Bjugstad saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Zachary Aston-Reese in neutral zone
Nick Bjugstad credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Ryan McLeod in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Derek Ryan saved by Matt Murray
Giveaway by Michael Bunting in neutral zone
Takeaway by Michael Bunting in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor McDavid saved by Matt Murray
Connor McDavid credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Evander Kane saved by Matt Murray
Connor McDavid won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mattias Ekholm
1-1
Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against Sam Lafferty in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Noel Acciari assisted by Zachary Aston-Reese
1-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zachary Aston-Reese saved by Stuart Skinner
Shorthanded - Leon Draisaitl won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Power play - Sam Lafferty credited with hit on Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Sam Lafferty saved by Stuart Skinner
Power play - Alexander Kerfoot won faceoff against Nick Bjugstad in defensive zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by John Tavares
SHOT
Power play - Mitch Marner shot blocked by Vincent Desharnais
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Stuart Skinner
Giveaway by Jake McCabe in offensive zone
Alexander Kerfoot credited with hit on Darnell Nurse in offensive zone
Connor McDavid credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Connor McDavid in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/2 | |||
| 20 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| |
|---|
| 26 | Shots on Goal | 38 | |||
| 46% | Faceoff Win % | 54% | |||
| 3/1 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/2 | |||
| 20 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 16 | |||
| 23 | Hits | 22 | |||
| 12 | Shots Blocked | 10 | |||
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
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Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): Not Available
- Moneyline Odds: Oilers +105, Maple Leafs +175
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Oilers: 47%
- Maple Leafs: 53%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Oilers a win probability of 47%, while the Maple Leafs have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Oilers in the NHL game at Scotiabank Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Oilers vs. Maple Leafs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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