- Predictions
Capitals vs. Islanders Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Capitals vs. Islanders NHL game on March 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
1
Mar 12, 12:30AM UBS Arena
Mar 12, 12:30AM UBS Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Islanders | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitals | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
Islanders | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
P3 18:09 Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
P3 18:05 Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Semyon Varlamov
P3 15:41 Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
P3 15:36 Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 15:24 Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Matt Irwin
P3 15:06 Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 13:38 Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 13:19 Goal scored by Nicklas Backstrom
P3 13:05 Craig Smith shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
P3 12:44 Shot missed by Capitals
P3 12:18 Goal scored by Nic Dowd
P3 11:52 Shot missed by Dylan Strome
P3 10:41 Power play - T.J. Oshie shot blocked by Adam Pelech
P3 09:02 Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
P3 08:00 Nick Jensen shot blocked by Hudson Fasching
P3 07:33 Shot on goal by Alexander Alexeyev saved by Semyon Varlamov
P3 06:16 Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Parise saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 05:42 Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
P3 05:29 Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Darcy Kuemper
P3 05:26 Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
End of 3rd Period.
Power play - Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Tom Wilson 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Pierre Engvall)
Anders Lee credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Semyon Varlamov
Ryan Pulock credited with hit on Craig Smith in defensive zone
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Matt Irwin in neutral zone
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Josh Bailey in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
Takeaway by Adam Pelech in offensive zone
Scott Mayfield credited with hit on Sonny Milano in neutral zone
Matt Martin credited with hit on Nic Dowd in neutral zone
Alexander Alexeyev credited with hit on Pierre Engvall in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Ryan Pulock
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Darcy Kuemper
Takeaway by Ryan Pulock in neutral zone
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Matt Irwin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Darcy Kuemper
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ryan Pulock saved by Darcy Kuemper
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nicklas Backstrom in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nicklas Backstrom
5-1
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Craig Smith shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Giveaway by Sonny Milano in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Nic Dowd
4-1
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Strome
Shorthanded - Alexander Romanov credited with hit on Tom Wilson in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - T.J. Oshie shot blocked by Adam Pelech
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against T.J. Oshie in defensive zone
Penalty to Zach Parise 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel)
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Takeaway by Pierre Engvall in neutral zone
Adam Pelech credited with hit on Conor Sheary in defensive zone
SHOT
Nick Jensen shot blocked by Hudson Fasching
Giveaway by Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Alexeyev saved by Semyon Varlamov
Matt Martin credited with hit on Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Takeaway by Josh Bailey in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Zach Parise saved by Darcy Kuemper
Shorthanded - Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Ryan Pulock in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Power play - Bo Horvat shot blocked by Nic Dowd
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Tom Wilson in offensive zone
Penalty to Nicolas Aube-Kubel 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Sebastian Aho)
Conor Sheary won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Mantha
3-1
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Semyon Varlamov
Power play - Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Josh Bailey in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Josh Bailey
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeny Kuznetsov saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Evgeny Kuznetsov saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Power play - Alex Ovechkin shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
SHOT
Power play - Rasmus Sandin shot blocked by Bo Horvat
Power play - T.J. Oshie won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Penalty to Casey Cizikas 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Dylan Strome)
T.J. Oshie credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in neutral zone
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in offensive zone
Giveaway by Trevor van Riemsdyk in defensive zone
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
Power play - Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Josh Bailey in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shorthanded - Kyle Palmieri shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Islanders
T.J. Oshie credited with hit on Cal Clutterbuck in offensive zone
SHOT
Evgeny Kuznetsov shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Parise saved by Darcy Kuemper
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Casey Cizikas in defensive zone
Sebastian Aho credited with hit on Tom Wilson in defensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Penalty to Anders Lee 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Conor Sheary)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Noah Dobson
SHOT
Power play - Noah Dobson shot blocked by Nic Dowd
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Nicklas Backstrom 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Hudson Fasching)
Nicklas Backstrom credited with hit on Hudson Fasching in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Martin saved by Darcy Kuemper
Matt Martin credited with hit on Nick Jensen in offensive zone
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Bo Horvat in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nic Dowd saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Anders Lee shot blocked by Trevor van Riemsdyk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Martin
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Dylan Strome
SHOT
Islanders shot blocked by Dylan Strome
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot missed by Cal Clutterbuck
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Clutterbuck saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Darcy Kuemper
Power play - Giveaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Darcy Kuemper
Power play - Giveaway by Brock Nelson in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Craig Smith 2 minutes for Holding (Drawn by Sebastian Aho)
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
SHOT
Shot on goal by Anders Lee saved by Darcy Kuemper
Takeaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Bo Horvat in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Capitals
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Simon Holmstrom
Giveaway by Tom Wilson in offensive zone
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Casey Cizikas shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Nic Dowd
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Darcy Kuemper
Nicolas Aube-Kubel credited with hit on Alexander Romanov in offensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Conor Sheary saved by Semyon Varlamov
Giveaway by Noah Dobson in offensive zone
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Adam Pelech in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Anthony Mantha saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Alex Ovechkin
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Bo Horvat in offensive zone
SHOT
Power play - T.J. Oshie shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Alexander Romanov in defensive zone
Power play - Takeaway by T.J. Oshie in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Bo Horvat won faceoff against T.J. Oshie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Power play - Nicklas Backstrom shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Semyon Varlamov
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Josh Bailey in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Casey Cizikas won faceoff against T.J. Oshie in defensive zone
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Hudson Fasching in defensive zone
Penalty to Hudson Fasching 2 minutes for Misconduct (Drawn by Nick Jensen)
SHOT
Alexander Romanov shot blocked by Nick Jensen
Takeaway by Tom Wilson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Semyon Varlamov
Takeaway by Adam Pelech in defensive zone
Giveaway by Nicolas Aube-Kubel in offensive zone
Noah Dobson credited with hit on Nicolas Aube-Kubel in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Nicolas Aube-Kubel
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Brock Nelson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Zach Parise saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Martin
SHOT
Shot on goal by Casey Cizikas saved by Darcy Kuemper
Giveaway by Alex Ovechkin in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Pelech saved by Darcy Kuemper
Giveaway by Cal Clutterbuck in defensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
SHOT
Shot missed by Cal Clutterbuck
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Josh Bailey won faceoff against Nicklas Backstrom in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by T.J. Oshie assisted by Rasmus Sandin and Trevor van Riemsdyk
2-1
SHOT
Shot missed by Conor Sheary
Matt Martin credited with hit on Alexander Alexeyev in offensive zone
SHOT
Evgeny Kuznetsov shot blocked by Adam Pelech
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Semyon Varlamov
Bo Horvat credited with hit on Anthony Mantha in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Shot on goal by Simon Holmstrom saved by Darcy Kuemper
Giveaway by Rasmus Sandin in defensive zone
Giveaway by Anders Lee in offensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Nick Jensen credited with hit on Zach Parise in defensive zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Kyle Palmieri in defensive zone
Giveaway by Dylan Strome in offensive zone
Giveaway by Sonny Milano in offensive zone
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Ovechkin saved by Semyon Varlamov
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Semyon Varlamov
Cal Clutterbuck credited with hit on Alexander Alexeyev in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
Anders Lee credited with hit on Martin Fehervary in offensive zone
SHOT
Bo Horvat shot blocked by Nick Jensen
Nic Dowd credited with hit on Sebastian Aho in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Sandin saved by Semyon Varlamov
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Capitals saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Shot missed by Sebastian Aho
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Adam Pelech in defensive zone
Tom Wilson credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Romanov
Giveaway by Darcy Kuemper in defensive zone
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nicklas Backstrom in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Bo Horvat won faceoff against Dylan Strome in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sonny Milano saved by Semyon Varlamov
Brock Nelson won faceoff against Dylan Strome in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Matt Irwin credited with hit on Matt Martin in defensive zone
Casey Cizikas won faceoff against Evgeny Kuznetsov in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Matt Irwin saved by Semyon Varlamov
Nic Dowd won faceoff against Josh Bailey in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen - TV timeout
Nick Jensen credited with hit on Cal Clutterbuck in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Casey Cizikas
SHOT
Hudson Fasching shot blocked by Evgeny Kuznetsov
Evgeny Kuznetsov won faceoff against Casey Cizikas in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Strome
1-1
Nicklas Backstrom won faceoff against Brock Nelson in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Pierre Engvall
0-1
Casey Cizikas credited with hit on Nicolas Aube-Kubel in offensive zone
SHOT
Cal Clutterbuck shot blocked by Rasmus Sandin
Takeaway by Cal Clutterbuck in offensive zone
Shorthanded - Nick Jensen credited with hit on Anders Lee in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Islanders
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Power play - Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Matt Irwin
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Josh Bailey saved by Darcy Kuemper
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against T.J. Oshie in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Martin Fehervary saved by Semyon Varlamov
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Trevor van Riemsdyk saved by Semyon Varlamov
Shorthanded - Takeaway by Tom Wilson in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Bo Horvat
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Bo Horvat saved by Darcy Kuemper
Power play - Brock Nelson won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Noah Dobson saved by Darcy Kuemper
Power play - Bo Horvat won faceoff against Nic Dowd in offensive zone
Penalty to Evgeny Kuznetsov 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Anders Lee)
SHOT
Brock Nelson shot blocked by Nicklas Backstrom
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brock Nelson saved by Darcy Kuemper
SHOT
Shot missed by Matt Martin
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Scott Mayfield saved by Darcy Kuemper
Alex Ovechkin credited with hit on Scott Mayfield in offensive zone
Martin Fehervary credited with hit on Bo Horvat in defensive zone
Sonny Milano credited with hit on Simon Holmstrom in offensive zone
SHOT
Martin Fehervary shot blocked by Noah Dobson
Giveaway by Darcy Kuemper in defensive zone
Dylan Strome won faceoff against Bo Horvat in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 18 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
| |
|---|
| 27 | Shots on Goal | 18 | |||
| 42% | Faceoff Win % | 58% | |||
| 4/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 5/0 | |||
| 10 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 8 | |||
| 24 | Hits | 19 | |||
| 19 | Shots Blocked | 11 | |||
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
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Capitals vs. Islanders: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Capitals vs. Islanders
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: UBS Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Islanders favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 5.5
- Moneyline Odds: Capitals +110, Islanders -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Capitals: 45%
- Islanders: 55%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Capitals a win probability of 45%, while the Islanders have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Islanders are more likely to beat the Capitals in the NHL game at UBS Arena on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Capitals vs. Islanders predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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