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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Lightning vs. Sabres NHL game on January 11, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NHL
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NHL
Lightning
6
1
Jan 12, 12AM KeyBank Center
Sabres
Jan 12, 12AM KeyBank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM123T
Lightning
2316
Sabres
0011
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
LightningTB
Win %
100%
0%
SabresBUF
Win Probability
TEAM123T
Lightning
2316
Sabres
0011
P3 19:01 Shot on goal by Mark Pysyk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:04 Jack Quinn shot blocked by Brayden Point
P3 15:49 Jan Rutta shot blocked by Will Butcher
P3 15:16 Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 14:24 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 13:57 Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
P3 12:51 Shot on goal by Rasmus Asplund saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:39 Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 12:18 Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 12:12 Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 09:49 Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 09:09 Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 08:25 Jacob Bryson shot blocked by Jan Rutta
P3 08:04 Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 07:27 Ross Colton shot blocked by Jeff Skinner
P3 06:59 Shot missed by Taylor Raddysh
P3 05:51 Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 05:31 Power play - Goal scored by Vinnie Hinostroza
P3 05:29 Power play - Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:23 Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
GOALS
ALL
P3 20:00
End of 3rd Period.
P3 19:24
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Cody Eakin in defensive zone
P3 19:24
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P3 19:01
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Pysyk saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 18:43
Giveaway by Patrick Maroon in offensive zone
P3 18:04
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Brayden Point
P3 17:59
Giveaway by Nikita Kucherov in neutral zone
P3 17:29
Brayden Point won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P3 17:29
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 17:00
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P3 16:37
Giveaway by Victor Hedman in offensive zone
P3 15:49
SHOT
Jan Rutta shot blocked by Will Butcher
P3 15:43
Jan Rutta credited with hit in offensive zone
P3 15:16
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 14:40
Cody Eakin credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P3 14:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 13:57
Brayden Point won faceoff against Cody Eakin in neutral zone
P3 13:57
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
6-1
P3 12:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Asplund saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 12:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 12:34
Colin Miller credited with hit on Ross Colton in defensive zone
P3 12:19
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
P3 12:19
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
P3 12:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 12:12
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 12:02
John Hayden credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
P3 12:00
Erik Cernak credited with hit on Anders Bjork in defensive zone
P3 09:49
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P3 09:49
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 09:49
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P3 09:45
Takeaway by Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P3 09:09
SHOT
Shot missed by Zemgus Girgensons
P3 09:04
Takeaway by Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P3 08:25
SHOT
Jacob Bryson shot blocked by Jan Rutta
P3 08:04
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 08:00
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P3 07:37
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P3 07:37
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
P3 07:27
SHOT
Ross Colton shot blocked by Jeff Skinner
P3 07:23
Mark Jankowski credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
P3 07:01
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
P3 07:01
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P3 06:59
SHOT
Shot missed by Taylor Raddysh
P3 05:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 05:31
Cody Eakin won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
P3 05:31
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Vinnie Hinostroza
5-1
P3 05:29
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 04:57
Shorthanded - Pierre-Edouard Bellemare won faceoff against Zemgus Girgensons in neutral zone
P3 04:57
Stoppage - Offside
P3 04:23
SHOT
Power play - Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P3 04:03
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Mikhail Sergachev
P3 03:41
Power play - Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P3 03:41
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Tripping
P3 03:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Cozens saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 03:07
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
P3 03:07
SHOT
Shot on goal by Sabres saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Henri Jokiharju saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P3 01:28
Takeaway by Rasmus Asplund in defensive zone
P3 00:35
Cody Eakin won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P3 00:35
Stoppage - Clock Problem
P3 00:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jan Rutta saved by Malcolm Subban
P3 00:12
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
P3 00:12
Stoppage - Icing
P3 00:00
Ross Colton won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P2 20:00
End of 2nd Period.
P2 19:51
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 19:41
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 19:37
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brayden Point saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 19:28
SHOT
Alex Killorn shot blocked by Mark Pysyk
P2 19:17
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P2 18:45
Power play - Alex Killorn credited with hit on Henri Jokiharju in neutral zone
P2 18:23
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot missed by Rasmus Asplund
P2 17:47
SHOT
Vinnie Hinostroza shot blocked by Erik Cernak
P2 17:36
Vinnie Hinostroza credited with hit on Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 17:11
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Ross Colton in defensive zone
P2 17:11
Penalty to Dylan Cozens 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare)
P2 16:21
Shorthanded - Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone
P2 16:21
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 16:21
Penalty to Patrick Maroon 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Malcolm Subban)
P2 16:12
SHOT
Shot missed by Brayden Point
P2 15:58
Brayden Point won faceoff against Rasmus Asplund in offensive zone
P2 15:58
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 15:58
SHOT
Shot missed by Lightning
P2 15:58
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 15:18
Ross Colton won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in offensive zone
P2 15:18
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P2 15:12
SHOT
Lightning shot blocked by Will Butcher
P2 15:11
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
P2 14:42
SHOT
Anders Bjork shot blocked by Corey Perry
P2 14:04
Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P2 14:04
GOAL
Goal scored by Steven Stamkos assisted by Alex Killorn and Anthony Cirelli
5-0
P2 13:18
SHOT
Shot missed by Zach Bogosian
P2 13:14
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Foote saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 11:42
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 11:38
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 10:21
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
P2 10:21
GOAL
Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov assisted by Corey Perry and Steven Stamkos
4-0
P2 09:12
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Colin Miller saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 09:06
Power play - Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P2 09:06
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 09:04
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 08:57
Shorthanded - Erik Cernak credited with hit on Victor Olofsson in defensive zone
P2 08:46
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mathieu Joseph saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 08:00
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P2 08:00
Stoppage - TV timeout
P2 08:00
Penalty to Nikita Kucherov 2 minutes for Hooking (Drawn by Mark Jankowski)
P2 07:23
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ondrej Palat saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 06:49
SHOT
Shot missed by Cody Eakin
P2 06:44
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jacob Bryson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 06:42
Takeaway by Cody Eakin in offensive zone
P2 06:24
Power play - Giveaway by Vinnie Hinostroza in offensive zone
P2 06:11
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Alex Killorn saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 05:13
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:26
Shorthanded - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P2 04:26
Penalty to Corey Perry 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Jeff Skinner)
P2 04:24
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jeff Skinner saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 04:16
John Hayden credited with hit on Corey Perry in neutral zone
P2 03:29
Cody Eakin won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in defensive zone
P2 03:29
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P2 03:29
SHOT
Erik Cernak shot blocked by Will Butcher
P2 03:17
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P2 03:17
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P2 03:09
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P2 03:09
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 03:08
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 03:00
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 01:53
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cal Foote saved by Malcolm Subban
P2 01:16
Zemgus Girgensons credited with hit on Erik Cernak in offensive zone
P2 01:01
Cody Eakin won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in offensive zone
P2 01:01
Stoppage - Icing
P2 00:59
John Hayden credited with hit on Mikhail Sergachev in offensive zone
P2 00:51
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Cody Eakin in defensive zone
P2 00:51
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P2 00:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Will Butcher saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P2 00:41
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Cozens
P2 00:36
Corey Perry credited with hit on Mark Pysyk in neutral zone
P2 00:27
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P2 00:27
GOAL
Power play - Goal scored by Nikita Kucherov
3-0
P2 00:00
Shorthanded - Mark Jankowski won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in neutral zone
P2 00:00
Sabres replaced goalie. (Malcolm Subban)
P1 20:00
End of 1st Period.
P1 19:59
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Ondrej Palat
P1 19:54
Power play - Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in offensive zone
P1 19:54
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 19:53
SHOT
Power play - Mikhail Sergachev shot blocked by Mark Jankowski
P1 19:39
Shorthanded - Rasmus Asplund won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in defensive zone
P1 19:39
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 19:38
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Steven Stamkos saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 19:08
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Cody Eakin in defensive zone
P1 19:08
Stoppage - Icing
P1 18:49
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Mark Jankowski saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 18:40
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 18:28
Power play - Brayden Point won faceoff against Cody Eakin in offensive zone
P1 18:28
Penalty to Zemgus Girgensons 2 minutes for Slashing (Drawn by Mathieu Joseph)
P1 18:17
Colin Miller credited with hit on Mathieu Joseph in defensive zone
P1 16:43
SHOT
Anders Bjork shot blocked by Zach Bogosian
P1 15:48
Takeaway by Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
P1 15:19
SHOT
Shot on goal by Cody Eakin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 15:11
Zemgus Girgensons won faceoff against Brayden Point in defensive zone
P1 15:11
Stoppage - TV timeout
P1 15:10
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Kucherov saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 15:05
Takeaway by Victor Olofsson in neutral zone
P1 14:48
Giveaway by Victor Olofsson in offensive zone
P1 14:13
SHOT
Jack Quinn shot blocked by Victor Hedman
P1 13:56
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Steven Stamkos in defensive zone
P1 13:56
Stoppage - Icing
P1 13:25
SHOT
Mark Jankowski shot blocked by Cal Foote
P1 12:50
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ross Colton saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 12:33
Ross Colton won faceoff against Mark Jankowski in neutral zone
P1 12:33
Stoppage - High Stick
P1 12:32
SHOT
Shot missed by Corey Perry
P1 11:33
Cody Eakin won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in offensive zone
P1 11:33
Stoppage - Puck in Benches
P1 11:28
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Olofsson saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 11:13
Takeaway by Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 11:11
SHOT
Shot missed by Nikita Kucherov
P1 11:07
Giveaway by Ondrej Palat in offensive zone
P1 10:54
SHOT
Ondrej Palat shot blocked by Mark Pysyk
P1 10:45
Brayden Point won faceoff against Rasmus Asplund in neutral zone
P1 10:45
GOAL
Goal scored by Anthony Cirelli assisted by Mikhail Sergachev and Alex Killorn
2-0
P1 10:34
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 10:19
Dylan Cozens won faceoff against Anthony Cirelli in offensive zone
P1 10:19
Stoppage - Puck in Netting - TV timeout
P1 10:18
SHOT
Mark Jankowski shot blocked by Anthony Cirelli
P1 07:53
Takeaway by Jack Quinn in neutral zone
P1 07:39
SHOT
Shot on goal by Victor Hedman saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 07:31
SHOT
Shot on goal by Patrick Maroon saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 07:29
SHOT
Shot missed by Jan Rutta
P1 07:16
Rasmus Asplund won faceoff against Pierre-Edouard Bellemare in neutral zone
P1 07:16
Stoppage - Offside - TV timeout
P1 07:05
Giveaway by Brett Murray in offensive zone
P1 06:29
Zach Bogosian credited with hit on Mark Jankowski in defensive zone
P1 06:13
Giveaway by Taylor Raddysh in offensive zone
P1 06:06
SHOT
Shot on goal by Taylor Raddysh saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 05:25
Dylan Cozens credited with hit on Nikita Kucherov in offensive zone
P1 05:18
Ondrej Palat credited with hit on Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 04:55
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jack Quinn saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:44
Brayden Point won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in defensive zone
P1 04:44
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 04:43
SHOT
Victor Olofsson shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev
P1 04:27
Anthony Cirelli won faceoff against Jeff Skinner in defensive zone
P1 04:27
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
P1 04:26
SHOT
Shot on goal by Rasmus Dahlin saved by Andrei Vasilevskiy
P1 04:22
Rasmus Asplund won faceoff against Ross Colton in offensive zone
P1 04:22
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
P1 02:16
Vinnie Hinostroza won faceoff against Ross Colton in neutral zone
P1 02:16
GOAL
Goal scored by Ondrej Palat assisted by Victor Hedman and Jan Rutta
1-0
P1 01:57
SHOT
Jan Rutta shot blocked by Rasmus Dahlin
P1 01:38
Rasmus Asplund won faceoff against Brayden Point in offensive zone
P1 01:38
Stoppage - Icing
P1 01:18
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre-Edouard Bellemare saved by Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
P1 01:14
Henri Jokiharju credited with hit on Corey Perry in defensive zone
P1 00:35
Takeaway by Victor Hedman in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Steven Stamkos won faceoff against Dylan Cozens in neutral zone
P1 00:00
Game Setup.
Stats
Lightning
STATS
Sabres
36Shots on Goal18
46%Faceoff Win %54%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
7Hits12
11Shots Blocked8
5Giveaways3
LightningTB
SabresBUF
36Shots on Goal18
46%Faceoff Win %54%
2/1 PP Opportunities/PP Goals 4/1
8Penalty Infraction Mins4
7Hits12
11Shots Blocked8
5Giveaways3
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Lightning vs. Sabres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Lightning vs. Sabres
  • Date: Tuesday, January 11, 2022
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: KeyBank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Lightning favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6
  • Moneyline Odds: Lightning -300, Sabres +260

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Lightning: 68%
  • Sabres: 32%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Lightning a win probability of 68%, while the Sabres have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Lightning are more likely to beat the Sabres in the NHL game at KeyBank Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Lightning vs. Sabres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.

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