- Predictions
Kings vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Warriors NBA game on January 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
129
99
Jan 6, 1:30AM Chase Center
Jan 6, 1:30AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 36 | 39 | 30 | 24 | 129 |
Warriors | 21 | 30 | 24 | 24 | 99 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 36 | 39 | 30 | 24 | 129 |
Warriors | 21 | 30 | 24 | 24 | 99 |
Q4 00:30 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:15 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:04 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
129-99
Pat Spencer misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
129-98
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
129-96
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
126-96
Kings turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
126-93
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
125-92
Warriors personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-91
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
123-92
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jump ball. (Moses Moody gains possession)
Orlando Robinson turnover (lost ball)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
123-89
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Doug McDermott turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
123-87
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
123-84
Alex Len offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
120-84
Jordan McLaughlin offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings personal foul
Pat Spencer misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Pat Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-84
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
117-83
Kings 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Jordan McLaughlin, Alex Len, Doug McDermott, Orlando Robinson)
Warriors turnover
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
115-83
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
112-83
Trey Lyles offensive rebound
Kings turnover
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
112-81
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Jordan McLaughlin, Trey Lyles, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan)
Kings personal foul
Warriors personal foul
+1
Trey Lyles makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-79
+1
Trey Lyles makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-79
Keegan Murray defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
110-79
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Trey Lyles offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
107-79
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Gui Santos offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
105-79
Kings personal foul
Kevon Looney misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Kings turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
105-77
Pat Spencer defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Pat Spencer, Kevon Looney, Moses Moody, Gui Santos)
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Trey Lyles, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
105-75
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
105-72
Kings misses three point jump shot
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-72
+1
Malik Monk makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-72
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Moses Moody turnover (lost ball)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
101-72
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
98-72
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Devin Carter makes regular free throw 1 of 3
95-72
+1
Devin Carter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-72
Warriors personal foul
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kings turnover
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, DeMar DeRozan)
Kings 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
94-72
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Warriors personal foul
+1
Malik Monk makes technical free throw 1 of 1
94-67
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-68
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Kyle Anderson)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-69
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
93-67
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Kyle Anderson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
93-65
Kings personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-65
+1
Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-65
Warriors turnover
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
88-65
Kings turnover
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
88-63
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, Kevin Huerter, Keon Ellis)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
86-63
Kings 60 second timeout
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
86-61
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
86-59
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, Keon Ellis)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Kyle Anderson, Andrew Wiggins)
Warriors turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
84-59
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
82-59
Kings offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
82-57
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
82-55
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
80-55
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
80-53
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
77-53
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Keegan Murray offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover (offensive foul)
Kings personal foul
Kings personal foul
DeMar DeRozan turnover (offensive foul)
Keon Ellis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
77-51
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Draymond Green, Dennis Schroder, Andrew Wiggins)
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan, Keon Ellis)
Kings personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kevon Looney, Dennis Schroder, Kyle Anderson, Andrew Wiggins)
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-51
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
75-50
Kings personal foul
Dennis Schroder misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-50
Warriors lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Draymond Green, Dennis Schroder, Buddy Hield, Andrew Wiggins)
Kings offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
+1
Trey Lyles makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-49
+1
Trey Lyles makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-49
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Dennis Schroder, Buddy Hield, Andrew Wiggins)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
70-49
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
68-49
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
68-46
Warriors turnover
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Devin Carter offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Devin Carter defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Kevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-46
+1
Kevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-46
Warriors delay of game violation
Warriors delay of game violation
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
64-46
Kings turnover
Kings personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-42
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Malik Monk, Trey Lyles, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Dennis Schroder, Buddy Hield, Kyle Anderson)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-43
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
64-41
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
61-41
Warriors turnover
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Malik Monk defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
58-41
Warriors personal foul
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-41
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Kevon Looney, Dennis Schroder, Buddy Hield, Andrew Wiggins)
Kings offensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Kings misses two point jump shot
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
56-38
Kings personal foul
+1
Kevon Looney makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-38
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, DeMar DeRozan, Keon Ellis)
Warriors lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Kevon Looney, Dennis Schroder, Buddy Hield, Andrew Wiggins)
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, DeMar DeRozan, Keon Ellis)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
56-38
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
53-38
Kings personal foul
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-37
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-38
Dennis Schroder offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Kevon Looney, Dennis Schroder, Moses Moody, Andrew Wiggins)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
51-36
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Warriors defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Draymond Green, Dennis Schroder, Moses Moody, Andrew Wiggins)
Kings offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
48-36
Warriors turnover
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
45-36
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
42-36
Warriors personal foul
Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
40-35
Kings personal foul
Kings lineup change (Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, Keon Ellis)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-36
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, Keegan Murray, Keon Ellis)
Kings turnover
Kings lineup change (Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan, Keon Ellis)
Kings 60 second timeout
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
40-32
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
40-28
Kings personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
40-29
Warriors personal foul
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-25
+1
DeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-25
Kings lineup change (Alex Len, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan, Keon Ellis)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
38-25
Kings turnover
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
38-23
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
38-21
Alex Len defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
36-21
End of 1st Quarter.
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Alex Len, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan)
Warriors lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Andrew Wiggins)
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Warriors personal foul
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Alex Len, Trey Lyles, Keegan Murray, Keon Ellis)
Warriors lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Dennis Schroder, Moses Moody)
+1
Devin Carter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-19
Devin Carter misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
35-19
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
35-17
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Kings turnover
Trey Lyles defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
33-17
Kings lineup change (Devin Carter, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan)
Warriors personal foul
Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
31-17
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-17
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Dennis Schroder, Buddy Hield, Moses Moody, Kyle Anderson)
Kings lineup change (Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, Kevin Huerter, DeMar DeRozan, Keon Ellis)
+1
Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-17
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
27-17
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
27-14
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Buddy Hield, Kyle Anderson, Andrew Wiggins)
Warriors turnover
Buddy Hield defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Trey Lyles, Kevin Huerter, Keon Ellis)
Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
25-14
Warriors 60 second timeout
Kings turnover
Warriors turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
22-14
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
20-14
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
20-12
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
17-12
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
17-10
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
14-10
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Kevin Huerter, Keon Ellis)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Buddy Hield, Kyle Anderson, Andrew Wiggins)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
14-8
Warriors turnover
Kings turnover
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
12-8
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Keegan Murray defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
12-6
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
10-6
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
10-3
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Keegan Murray offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
7-3
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
7-0
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
5-0
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
2-0
Keegan Murray offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover (lost ball)
Kings lineup change (Malik Monk, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, DeMar DeRozan, Keon Ellis)
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Draymond Green, Dennis Schroder, Andrew Wiggins)
(Malik Monk gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 25 | A. Len | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| C | 77 | O. Robinson | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 7 | D. McDermott | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 22 | D. Carter | 13 | 7 | 2 |
| G | 3 | J. McLaughlin | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 43 | L. Waters III | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 4 | M. Moody | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| G | 61 | P. Spencer | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| F | 15 | G. Santos | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| C-F | 5 | K. Looney | 9 | 5 | 0 |
Game Prediction Article
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Kings vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Kings vs. Warriors
- Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Kings +135, Warriors -154
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Kings: 39%
- Warriors: 61%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 111-114 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 39%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Chase Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Kings vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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