- Predictions
Pacers vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pacers vs. Heat NBA game on January 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
128
115
Jan 3, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Jan 3, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 38 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 128 |
Heat | 25 | 25 | 33 | 32 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pacers | 38 | 28 | 41 | 21 | 128 |
Heat | 25 | 25 | 33 | 32 | 115 |
Q4 00:34 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Pacers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:02 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:19 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:03 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:22 Heat misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Pacers turnover (shot clock violation)
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Johnny Furphy, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
128-114
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
128-115
Josh Christopher defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
128-113
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Josh Christopher defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
128-111
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Nikola Jovic, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Josh Christopher)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
128-109
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
126-109
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
126-107
Heat misses two point jump shot
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
124-107
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
Pacers offensive rebound
Myles Turner misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-107
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
121-107
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
121-105
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
119-105
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
117-105
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-102
Tyrese Haliburton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro)
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
116-102
Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
116-99
Andrew Nembhard offensive rebound
Myles Turner misses two point tip layup
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Terry Rozier turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard)
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
114-99
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-96
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard, Ben Sheppard)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-96
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Myles Turner, Ben Sheppard)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
113-94
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
113-90
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
113-90
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
113-88
Heat turnover
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Ben Sheppard misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
110-88
Pacers personal foul
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Pacers turnover
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
110-85
Pacers personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 1
110-86
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
110-83
Heat turnover
Pacers personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Pascal Siakam, Ben Sheppard)
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
Pacers personal foul
Pacers turnover
Obi Toppin offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-83
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-81
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
107-79
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
104-79
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Pascal Siakam, Ben Sheppard)
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
102-79
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-79
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
100-77
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Ben Sheppard offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-77
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
98-75
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-75
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
96-73
Pacers personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-72
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-73
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
93-71
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Myles Turner, Ben Sheppard)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-71
Pacers 60 second timeout
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
90-69
Heat personal foul
Tyrese Haliburton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-69
Pacers turnover
Pacers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-66
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Myles Turner)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-67
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
88-65
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
86-65
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
86-62
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
83-62
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
83-60
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
81-60
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
78-60
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
78-58
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
74-58
Heat personal foul
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-58
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
72-58
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-55
Pascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
71-55
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat violation
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-52
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
71-50
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
68-50
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Instant replay
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-50
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
65-49
Heat personal foul
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 1
66-49
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
63-49
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
63-46
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
61-46
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
59-46
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
59-44
Heat turnover
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
57-44
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard)
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-43
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
57-42
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
57-40
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Jimmy Butler)
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Thomas Bryant, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard)
Andrew Nembhard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
55-40
Heat turnover
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler)
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard)
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler)
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Pascal Siakam, Andrew Nembhard)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
53-40
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-40
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
51-38
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers turnover
Heat violation
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
49-38
Pacers turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
49-35
Pacers personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-35
Heat personal foul
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-34
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-34
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Myles Turner, Ben Sheppard)
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
45-34
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
45-31
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-31
Stoppage (Other)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
42-29
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-29
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-27
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
40-25
End of 1st Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, T.J. McConnell, Obi Toppin, Myles Turner, Ben Sheppard)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
38-25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-25
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-23
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-20
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-21
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Myles Turner, Ben Sheppard)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
36-19
Tyrese Haliburton offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
33-19
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
30-19
Pacers personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-18
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-19
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
28-17
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
26-17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-17
Pacers 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Jimmy Butler)
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Thomas Bryant, Ben Sheppard)
Pacers turnover
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
24-15
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-15
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
21-13
Pacers personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-12
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-13
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Thomas Bryant)
Heat personal foul
Pacers personal foul
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler)
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Thomas Bryant, Andrew Nembhard)
Pacers turnover
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
18-11
Heat misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-9
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
17-7
Heat personal foul
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
18-7
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-7
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
15-5
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-5
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
12-2
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
10-2
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
7-2
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
4-2
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
2-2
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Pacers lineup change (Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam, Myles Turner, Andrew Nembhard)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
(Jimmy Butler gains possession)
Game Prediction Article
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Pacers vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pacers vs. Heat
- Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225
- Moneyline Odds: Pacers +115, Heat -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pacers: 42%
- Heat: 58%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pacers 112-114 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pacers a win probability of 42%, while the Heat have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pacers vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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