- Predictions
Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Heat NBA game on January 1, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
108
119
Jan 2, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Jan 2, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 24 | 27 | 25 | 32 | 108 |
Heat | 36 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 119 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 24 | 27 | 25 | 32 | 108 |
Heat | 36 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 119 |
Q4 00:35 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:20 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:47 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat turnover
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-118
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-119
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
108-117
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
106-117
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
106-115
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
106-113
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
104-113
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
104-111
CJ McCollum offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-111
CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-110
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-111
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
100-109
Heat personal foul
+1
Dejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-108
+1
Dejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-108
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Heat personal foul
+1
Brandon Boston makes regular free throw 1 of 2
97-108
+1
Brandon Boston makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-108
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-108
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
96-106
Heat turnover
Pelicans turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-106
Heat personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-104
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-104
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-104
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
92-102
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-101
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Brandon Boston)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-102
Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Daniel Theis, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Brandon Boston)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
92-99
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-99
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
90-97
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Brandon Boston)
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat personal foul
Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-97
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat 60 second timeout
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
87-97
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
87-96
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
85-96
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
83-96
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
83-94
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-94
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
80-92
Pelicans personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
78-92
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
78-91
Pelicans personal foul
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-91
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Brandon Boston)
Heat turnover
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
76-90
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Javonte Green, Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
76-87
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-84
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
76-82
Heat turnover
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
74-82
Heat personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-80
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-80
Javonte Green defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
72-80
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Javonte Green, Daniel Theis, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic)
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-80
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-78
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic)
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Herbert Jones, Daniel Theis, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
70-75
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-75
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
68-73
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
66-73
Heat personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-70
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-70
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Pelicans turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
64-70
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
64-67
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-67
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
62-65
Heat personal foul
CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
60-65
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-65
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
58-63
Yves Missi defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
56-63
Yves Missi offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-63
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
53-61
Jump ball. Jimmy Butler (Dejounte Murray gains possession)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
51-61
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-58
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
51-56
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
51-53
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
49-53
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
49-50
Daniel Theis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
47-50
Brandon Boston defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
45-50
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic)
Heat personal foul
Haywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Brandon Boston defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-50
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-50
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
41-50
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-50
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans lineup change (Herbert Jones, Daniel Theis, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Brandon Boston)
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Brandon Boston)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
38-48
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
36-48
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
36-45
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-45
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
34-43
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Brandon Boston)
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Brandon Boston makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-43
+1
Brandon Boston makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-43
Heat turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
30-43
Jordan Hawkins defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Brandon Boston)
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans personal foul
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
28-43
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-43
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-40
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Brandon Boston offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Brandon Boston defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-38
Yves Missi offensive rebound
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
26-36
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Jordan Hawkins, Javonte Green, Dejounte Murray, Brandon Boston)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
24-36
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
24-33
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Alec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 3
21-31
+1
Alec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 3
21-32
+1
Alec Burks makes regular free throw 3 of 3
21-33
Heat personal foul
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-30
+1
CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-30
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
19-30
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-27
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
19-25
Daniel Theis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans challenge timeout
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans challenge timeout
Trey Murphy III offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic)
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Javonte Green, Daniel Theis, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jordan Hawkins offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
17-25
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
17-22
Daniel Theis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Herbert Jones gains possession)
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
14-22
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
10-22
Heat personal foul
Heat violation
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Alec Burks, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic)
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Herbert Jones, Daniel Theis, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
11-22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-22
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
8-20
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-19
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-20
Pelicans lineup change (Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, Daniel Theis, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-18
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-15
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-16
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-13
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-14
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Dejounte Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
5-11
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
3-11
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
3-9
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
3-7
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-7
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Dejounte Murray turnover (lost ball)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
0-5
Pelicans turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith)
Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Dejounte Murray, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
(Tyler Herro gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 21 | Y. Missi | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 2 | H. Jones | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 5 | D. Murray | 10 | 3 | 7 |
| G | 3 | C. McCollum | 16 | 2 | 4 |
| F | 25 | T. Murphy III | 34 | 3 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 8 | 6 | 5 |
| F-G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 12 | 4 | 4 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 15 | 7 | 9 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 29 | 1 | 4 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Game Prediction Article
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Pelicans vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Heat
- Date: Wednesday, January 1, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -9
- Total (Over/Under): 220
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +295, Heat -370
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 24%
- Heat: 76%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 106-114 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 24%, while the Heat have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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