- Predictions
Heat vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Hawks NBA game on December 28, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
120
Dec 28, 8PM State Farm Arena
Dec 28, 8PM State Farm Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 50 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 110 |
Hawks | 51 | 10 | 32 | 27 | 120 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 50 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 110 |
Hawks | 51 | 10 | 32 | 27 | 120 |
Q4 00:32 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:46 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Hawks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:53 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:56 Heat misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Hawks turnover
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-119
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-120
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Trae Young misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
Trae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-118
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
110-117
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
107-117
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
107-114
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Garrison Mathews makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-111
+1
Garrison Mathews makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-112
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-109
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-110
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-108
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat personal foul
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-107
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-108
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-106
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, Garrison Mathews, Trae Young, De'Andre Hunter)
Hawks turnover
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson)
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks offensive rebound
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-106
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
100-106
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-104
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
98-104
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-102
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
96-101
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier)
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, Keaton Wallace, Trae Young, De'Andre Hunter)
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 1
96-102
Hawks personal foul
Hawks 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-98
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-98
Hawks turnover
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-98
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier)
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci, De'Andre Hunter)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
91-98
Heat turnover
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Jalen Johnson, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci, Zaccharie Risacher)
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-95
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-95
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
89-95
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
87-95
Heat personal foul
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Jalen Johnson, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
87-93
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Jalen Johnson, Garrison Mathews, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Garrison Mathews defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
De'Andre Hunter misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Hawks offensive rebound
+1
De'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-93
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
84-92
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Alec Burks, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
84-89
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
84-87
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Larry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-86
+1
Larry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-87
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Heat violation
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-85
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, Garrison Mathews, Trae Young, De'Andre Hunter)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-85
Alec Burks defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
79-85
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
77-85
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-83
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
74-83
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-81
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-81
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
72-81
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
72-78
Heat personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Garrison Mathews, Keaton Wallace, Zaccharie Risacher, De'Andre Hunter)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson)
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-75
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci, Zaccharie Risacher, De'Andre Hunter)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson)
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci, Zaccharie Risacher, De'Andre Hunter)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
70-75
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-73
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
68-73
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-71
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
66-71
Hawks 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
66-68
Hawks turnover
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-68
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
62-68
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-66
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-66
Hawks personal foul
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
58-66
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks personal foul
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
58-64
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Jalen Johnson, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Hawks misses three point jump shot
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
58-61
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
58-59
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
55-59
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
55-57
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-55
Hawks turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-55
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
50-55
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson)
Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
50-53
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Hawks personal foul
+1
Alec Burks makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-51
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, Garrison Mathews, Trae Young, De'Andre Hunter)
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith)
+1
Alec Burks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-51
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
47-51
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-48
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
45-48
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-46
Heat personal foul
+1
Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-45
+1
Vit Krejci makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-46
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Garrison Mathews, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci, De'Andre Hunter)
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
43-44
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
43-42
Hawks turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
40-42
Hawks turnover
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Hawks 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson)
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci, Zaccharie Risacher, De'Andre Hunter)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-42
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
35-42
Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Alec Burks, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier)
Heat personal foul
Vit Krejci defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
35-40
Vit Krejci offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-37
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Garrison Mathews, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Hawks personal foul
Garrison Mathews turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-37
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
31-37
Zaccharie Risacher offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Hawks turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-35
Hawks personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-35
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Garrison Mathews, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
28-35
End of 1st Quarter.
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, Garrison Mathews, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Alec Burks, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
Heat violation
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-33
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
26-33
Heat turnover
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
26-30
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Garrison Mathews makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-27
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Alec Burks, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
+1
Garrison Mathews makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-26
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
24-26
Garrison Mathews defensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
23-24
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
24-24
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 3 of 3
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
22-24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-21
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
20-21
Heat personal foul
Garrison Mathews misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Hawks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
20-18
Heat 60 second timeout
Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
20-16
Hawks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-13
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Alec Burks, Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier)
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Jalen Johnson, Garrison Mathews, Trae Young, De'Andre Hunter)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-13
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Keaton Wallace defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Hawks turnover
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-13
Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-13
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
16-13
Hawks personal foul
Hawks lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Garrison Mathews, Keaton Wallace, Zaccharie Risacher, De'Andre Hunter)
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
13-13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-11
+3
Hawks makes three point jump shot
11-11
Heat personal foul
Hawks 60 second timeout
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Keaton Wallace, Vit Krejci, Zaccharie Risacher, De'Andre Hunter)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-8
Hawks personal foul
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-8
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
7-8
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-6
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
5-6
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Trae Young defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
5-4
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Hawks personal foul
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Hawks misses two point jump shot
Trae Young turnover (lost ball)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-2
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Hawks makes two point jump shot
3-2
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
3-0
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Hawks misses three point jump shot
Zaccharie Risacher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Hawks lineup change (Clint Capela, Jalen Johnson, Vit Krejci, Trae Young, Zaccharie Risacher)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson)
(Tyler Herro gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 28 | 7 | 10 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 17 | 10 | 2 |
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 16 | 5 | 5 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 14 | 6 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 24 | G. Mathews | 18 | 2 | 2 |
| F-G | 12 | D. Hunter | 26 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 1 | J. Johnson | 28 | 13 | 5 |
| G | 11 | T. Young | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| F | 22 | L. Nance Jr. | 10 | 10 | 1 |
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Heat vs. Hawks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Hawks
- Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 227
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -112, Hawks +100
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 52%
- Hawks: 48%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 114-113 Hawks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 52%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 48%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Hawks in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Hawks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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