- Predictions
Heat vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Pacers NBA game on November 17, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
119
Nov 17, 10PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Nov 17, 10PM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 20 | 29 | 26 | 35 | 110 |
Pacers | 28 | 24 | 33 | 34 | 119 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 20 | 29 | 26 | 35 | 110 |
Pacers | 28 | 24 | 33 | 34 | 119 |
Q4 00:12 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
110-119
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Josh Richardson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
110-117
Pacers personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
109-115
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-115
Pacers 60 second timeout
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
108-115
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
108-112
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
105-112
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-110
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
102-110
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-108
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
101-108
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
101-105
Heat personal foul
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-104
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-105
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
Heat personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-103
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-103
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
97-103
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
97-100
T.J. McConnell offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
97-97
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-97
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-97
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Duncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
92-97
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
92-95
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-94
+1
Tyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-95
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-93
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-93
Heat personal foul
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-92
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-93
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
87-91
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
84-91
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)
Pascal Siakam turnover (offensive foul)
Pacers personal foul
Pacers personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 3
82-89
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 3
83-89
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 3
84-89
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
81-89
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
78-89
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-87
Pacers personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
Pacers personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
75-87
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pacers turnover
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
75-85
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson)
Heat 60 second timeout
Myles Turner offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
72-85
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jarace Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-83
Jarace Walker misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-82
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
70-82
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Jarace Walker)
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-80
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
67-80
Heat violation
T.J. McConnell offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-78
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-78
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-78
+1
Tyrese Haliburton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-77
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-76
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
60-76
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Jarace Walker)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
60-74
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
60-71
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
59-71
Pacers turnover
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
56-70
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-71
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
56-69
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
56-67
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
56-64
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
56-62
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Myles Turner offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
54-62
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
54-60
Heat personal foul
Pacers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
54-57
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-57
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
51-57
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
51-54
Heat personal foul
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 1
51-55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-52
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson)
End of 1st Half.
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo)
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
49-52
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-52
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Pacers offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-52
Pacers turnover
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
42-52
Heat turnover
Duncan Robinson personal foul
+1
Tyrese Haliburton makes technical free throw 1 of 1
42-50
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
42-49
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
42-47
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Terry Rozier offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-45
Terry Rozier offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
40-45
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-43
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
38-43
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
38-41
Heat defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-41
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-41
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jarace Walker offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
33-41
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
30-41
Quenton Jackson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Quenton Jackson, Jarace Walker)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Bennedict Mathurin, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
30-38
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
30-34
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)
Heat violation
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
30-35
Heat personal foul
Jarace Walker misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Pacers offensive rebound
Pacers lineup change (T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-32
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
28-32
Heat turnover
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-30
Pacers violation
Pacers turnover
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-30
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
23-30
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
23-28
Pacers turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat turnover
Pacers turnover
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
20-28
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-25
Pacers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-25
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
15-25
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
15-23
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Pacers personal foul
Instant replay
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson)
Pacers lineup change (Ben Sheppard, T.J. McConnell, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson)
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Obi Toppin offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
15-21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-19
Heat personal foul
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-18
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-19
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Jarace Walker)
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
13-17
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Tyrese Haliburton offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
13-15
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
10-15
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
10-13
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-13
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-13
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-12
+1
Bennedict Mathurin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-13
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-11
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
3-11
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 1
3-8
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-8
Terry Rozier offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
0-8
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
0-5
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Myles Turner (Kevin Love gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo)
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Pascal Siakam)
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Heat vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Pacers
- Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pacers favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +143, Pacers -160
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 36%
- Pacers: 64%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 112-116 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 36%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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