- Predictions
Heat vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Pacers NBA game on November 15, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
124
111
Nov 16, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Nov 16, 12AM Gainbridge Fieldhouse
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 26 | 35 | 37 | 26 | 124 |
Pacers | 29 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 111 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 26 | 35 | 37 | 26 | 124 |
Pacers | 29 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 111 |
Q4 00:02 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Pacers misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:26 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:36 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Heat offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Obi Toppin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
124-110
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Josh Richardson, Kel'el Ware)
+1
Obi Toppin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
124-111
Johnny Furphy defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
124-109
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
122-109
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
122-107
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
122-105
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
122-103
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
120-103
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
119-103
Enrique Freeman defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
119-101
Pacers turnover
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
117-101
Johnny Furphy offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
124-111
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
117-98
Quenton Jackson offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Enrique Freeman, Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Johnny Furphy, Quenton Jackson)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
117-96
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
114-96
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
111-96
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
111-94
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-94
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-94
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson)
Pacers personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
107-94
Bennedict Mathurin offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-92
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
106-92
Heat violation
Pacers defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Pascal Siakam gains possession)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
106-90
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
106-87
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
103-87
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
101-87
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
101-85
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
Pacers turnover
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Enrique Freeman makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-84
+1
Enrique Freeman makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-85
Heat turnover
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
98-83
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
95-83
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
95-81
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Pacers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-81
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-81
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
91-81
Pacers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-79
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
91-79
Heat personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
89-79
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson)
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
89-77
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Josh Richardson)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
89-75
Obi Toppin defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
89-72
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)
Pacers lineup change (Enrique Freeman, Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell, Quenton Jackson)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
89-70
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
89-67
Pacers turnover
Jarace Walker offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo)
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-67
Pacers turnover
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
84-67
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
83-64
Pacers personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
84-64
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
81-64
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Enrique Freeman, Jarace Walker, Obi Toppin, Johnny Furphy, T.J. McConnell)
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
79-64
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-64
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
74-63
Heat personal foul
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 1
74-64
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
74-61
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
71-61
Pacers offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
71-59
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
68-59
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-57
Pacers turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
66-57
Pacers personal foul
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
63-57
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
63-55
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
61-55
Instant replay (Request)
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love)
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo)
Pacers turnover
Myles Turner defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-55
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
61-53
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
58-53
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
58-50
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
Pacers personal foul
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
57-50
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
57-47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Obi Toppin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Heat violation
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
55-47
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-44
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
53-44
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-42
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
50-42
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Pacers personal foul
+1
Terry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-42
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Obi Toppin)
Terry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pacers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-42
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
45-42
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
45-40
Pacers 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
45-37
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Tyrese Haliburton, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Obi Toppin)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
42-37
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
39-36
Heat personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Tyrese Haliburton, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
+1
Pascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 1
39-37
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-34
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-34
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
35-34
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-32
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers turnover
Pacers personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-32
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-32
Heat personal foul
T.J. McConnell misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pacers offensive rebound
+1
T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-32
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
31-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-29
Pacers personal foul
Jarace Walker turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
29-29
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
26-29
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-26
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-26
Myles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pascal Siakam defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-25
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
22-25
Heat turnover
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pacers turnover
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
22-22
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson)
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Myles Turner, T.J. McConnell)
+1
T.J. McConnell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
22-23
T.J. McConnell defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pacers 60 second timeout
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Jarace Walker, Ben Sheppard, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-20
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
20-20
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-18
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-18
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Josh Richardson, Kel'el Ware)
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
18-18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-15
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
16-15
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-13
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
14-13
Pacers personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 3
12-10
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 3
13-10
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Kel'el Ware)
Pacers lineup change (Jarace Walker, Tyrese Haliburton, Bennedict Mathurin, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 3
14-10
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
11-10
Heat personal foul
Pacers lineup change (Tyrese Haliburton, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner, Obi Toppin, T.J. McConnell)
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo)
Myles Turner defensive rebound
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pacers turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-8
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-8
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Pascal Siakam offensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Tyrese Haliburton offensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-8
Pacers turnover
Pacers defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
6-8
Heat turnover
+3
Pacers makes three point jump shot
6-5
Pacers 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
6-2
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-2
+2
Pacers makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses two point jump shot
Ben Sheppard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Bennedict Mathurin defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Tyrese Haliburton defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Pacers misses three point jump shot
Pacers lineup change (Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard, Bennedict Mathurin, Myles Turner)
Heat lineup change (Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love)
(Pascal Siakam gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 14 | 7 | 6 |
| F-G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 9 | 3 | 4 |
| G | 0 | J. Richardson | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| F | 55 | D. Robinson | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 11 | 4 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 33 | M. Turner | 9 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 0 | T. Haliburton | 18 | 2 | 6 |
| F | 43 | P. Siakam | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 26 | B. Sheppard | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| F | 0 | B. Mathurin | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Game Prediction Article
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Heat vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Pacers
- Date: Friday, November 15, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Pacers favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +158, Pacers -185
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 33%
- Pacers: 67%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 112-117 Pacers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 33%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 67%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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