Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Thunder NBA game on March 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Grizzlies
104
125
Mar 28, 12AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 28, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
33 26 30 15 104
Thunder
32 31 28 34 125
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
GrizzliesMEM
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGrizzliesThunder1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityGrizzlies +11Thunder -111QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 237Under 2371QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
33 26 30 15 104
Thunder
32 31 28 34 125
Q4 00:18 Adam Flagler misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:36 Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Branden Carlson misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Isaiah Joe misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:21 Lamar Stevens makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
Q4 1:41 Branden Carlson makes three point jump shot (Dillon Jones assists)
Q4 1:54 Lamar Stevens misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 2:13 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running dunk
Q4 2:25 Jalen Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 2:42 Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:16
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Q4 00:18
Adam Flagler misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:34
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 00:36
Jay Huff misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:44
John Konchar defensive rebound
Q4 00:48
Branden Carlson misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:55
Adam Flagler offensive rebound
Q4 00:58
Isaiah Joe misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:21
+2
Lamar Stevens makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jay Huff assists)
104-125
Q4 1:41
+3
Branden Carlson makes three point jump shot (Dillon Jones assists)
102-125
Q4 1:51
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 1:54
Lamar Stevens misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 2:13
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point running dunk
102-122
Q4 2:13
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 2:13
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Dillon Jones, Adam Flagler, Branden Carlson)
Q4 2:13
Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, John Konchar, Jay Huff, Lamar Stevens, Zach Edey)
Q4 2:15
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)
Q4 2:25
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
102-120
Q4 2:34
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 2:34
Santi Aldama kicked ball violation
Q4 2:39
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 2:42
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 2:55
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point dunk (Luguentz Dort assists)
102-118
Q4 2:59
Luke Kennard turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)
Q4 3:01
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q4 3:05
Luguentz Dort misses three point running jump shot
Q4 3:10
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 3:10
Desmond Bane misses two point cutting layup
Q4 3:24
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
102-116
Q4 3:48
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
102-114
Q4 4:04
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-113
Q4 4:04
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
Q4 4:04
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-114
Q4 4:17
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 4:20
Luke Kennard misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:37
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q4 4:37
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 4:37
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Desmond Bane, Scotty Pippen Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Q4 4:39
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)
99-112
Q4 6:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
99-104
Q4 6:18
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 6:19
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:21
Jaren Jackson Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 6:22
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 6:36
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
99-102
Q4 7:00
Vince Williams Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q4 9:13
Luke Kennard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q4 9:25
Chet Holmgren offensive foul (Charge) (Scotty Pippen Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 9:25
Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 9:42
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point layup
94-96
Q4 9:50
Cason Wallace turnover (lost ball) (Scotty Pippen Jr. steals)
Q4 9:59
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 10:03
Jaylen Wells misses three point running jump shot
Q4 10:08
Jalen Williams turnover (bad pass) (Scotty Pippen Jr. steals)
Q4 10:25
+3
Jay Huff makes three point pullup jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
92-96
Q4 10:48
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q4 10:49
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)
89-96
Q4 10:55
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 10:58
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:13
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point fadeaway jump shot
89-93
Q4 11:24
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q4 11:31
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Scotty Pippen Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 11:32
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q4 11:34
Cason Wallace misses two point reverse layup
Q4 11:41
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 11:43
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jay Huff, Luke Kennard, Scotty Pippen Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:00
Kenrich Williams misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Q3 00:11
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Lamar Stevens, Scotty Pippen Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Q3 00:11
Luke Kennard turnover (traveling)
Q3 00:13
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, Scotty Pippen Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr.)
Q3 00:13
Zach Edey shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q3 00:13
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-90
Q3 00:13
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 00:13
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-91
Q3 00:29
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point layup (Vince Williams Jr. assists)
89-89
Q3 00:37
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q3 00:40
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot
Q3 1:00
+2
Vince Williams Jr. makes two point driving layup (Luke Kennard assists)
87-89
Q3 1:11
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 1:13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 1:27
Isaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Luke Kennard draws the foul)
Q3 1:27
+1
Luke Kennard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-89
Q3 1:27
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q3 1:27
+1
Luke Kennard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-89
Q3 1:40
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 1:40
Zach Edey personal foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
Q3 1:40
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-88
Q3 1:40
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-89
Q3 1:41
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 1:59
+2
Zach Edey makes two point cutting dunk (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
83-87
Q3 2:04
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 2:06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup
Q3 2:20
+2
Luke Kennard makes two point pullup jump shot (Zach Edey assists)
81-87
Q3 2:33
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
79-87
Q3 2:42
+1
Zach Edey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
78-85
Q3 2:42
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Vince Williams Jr., Scotty Pippen Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., Zach Edey)
Q3 2:42
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 2:42
+1
Zach Edey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-85
Q3 2:42
Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Zach Edey draws the foul)
Q3 3:04
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q3 3:08
Isaiah Hartenstein misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:25
Luke Kennard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q3 3:33
Zach Edey offensive rebound
Q3 3:33
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Zach Edey draws the foul)
Q3 3:33
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr., Zach Edey)
Q3 3:35
Desmond Bane misses three point running jump shot
Q3 3:40
Isaiah Hartenstein turnover (lost ball) (Santi Aldama steals)
Q3 3:57
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 4:00
Desmond Bane misses three point pullup jump shot
Q3 4:10
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point stepback jump shot
77-85
Q3 4:18
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 4:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:21
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 4:35
Grizzlies lineup change (Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q3 4:35
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 4:35
+2
Jaylen Wells makes two point driving layup (Desmond Bane assists)
77-83
Q3 4:35
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 4:56
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 4:58
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Q3 5:10
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 5:13
Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:25
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
75-83
Q3 5:44
+3
Desmond Bane makes three point stepback jump shot
75-80
Q3 5:50
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q3 5:53
Jalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 6:12
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 6:14
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Desmond Bane, Zach Edey)
Q3 6:14
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)
Q3 6:14
+1
Santi Aldama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-80
Q3 6:30
+3
Kenrich Williams makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
71-80
Q3 6:41
Desmond Bane blocks Chet Holmgren's two point cutting dunk
Q3 6:41
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 6:41
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 6:41
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 6:48
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 6:52
Desmond Bane misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:06
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-77
Q3 7:06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 7:06
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 7:06
Scotty Pippen Jr. shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q3 7:18
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
71-76
Q3 7:29
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
68-76
Q3 7:45
+3
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)
68-74
Q3 8:06
Jalen Williams turnover (out of bounds step)
Q3 8:16
+3
Santi Aldama makes three point jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
65-74
Q3 8:24
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 8:27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Q3 8:34
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 8:38
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 8:48
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q3 8:48
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 8:48
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 8:48
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-74
Q3 8:54
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 8:54
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:54
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 9:02
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 9:05
Isaiah Hartenstein blocks Scotty Pippen Jr.'s two point cutting layup
Q3 9:07
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q3 9:12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q3 9:28
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
62-73
Q3 9:41
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q3 9:45
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point running dunk (Luguentz Dort assists)
59-73
Q3 9:49
Scotty Pippen Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Luguentz Dort steals)
Q3 10:06
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q3 10:06
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point dunk (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
59-71
Q3 10:18
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 10:21
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:34
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point fadeaway jump shot
59-69
Q3 10:42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 10:45
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 10:57
Desmond Bane shooting foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Q3 10:57
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-66
Q3 10:57
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-67
Q3 11:03
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 11:03
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q3 11:19
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
59-65
Q3 11:28
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 11:32
Desmond Bane misses three point running pullup jump shot
Q3 11:35
Chet Holmgren turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)
Q3 11:47
Jaylen Wells personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 1:54
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Q2 1:59
+3
Alex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
57-56
Q2 2:15
+2
Jay Huff makes two point reverse layup (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
57-53
Q2 2:24
Jay Huff defensive rebound
Q2 2:26
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:41
Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 2:41
+2
Scotty Pippen Jr. makes two point putback layup
55-53
Q2 2:43
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses two point driving layup
Q2 3:01
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point running dunk (Alex Caruso assists)
53-53
Q2 3:05
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q2 3:08
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:13
Luke Kennard offensive rebound
Q2 3:17
Vince Williams Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:39
Grizzlies lineup change (Jay Huff, Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Vince Williams Jr., Scotty Pippen Jr.)
Q2 3:39
Scotty Pippen Jr. shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Q2 3:39
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
53-50
Q2 3:39
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
53-51
Q2 3:45
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q2 3:49
Santi Aldama misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:02
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:02
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q2 4:05
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:07
Alex Caruso offensive rebound
Q2 4:08
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup
Q2 4:16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q2 4:18
Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point running jump shot
Q2 4:21
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q2 4:25
Alex Caruso misses three point pullup jump shot
Q2 4:48
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 4:48
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 4:50
+3
Jaylen Wells makes three point jump shot (Santi Aldama assists)
53-48
Q2 4:59
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Q2 5:01
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot
Q2 5:36
+3
Alex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
47-48
Q2 5:57
+3
Luke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
47-45
Q2 6:11
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q2 6:14
Alex Caruso misses three point stepback jump shot
Q2 6:20
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 6:21
Santi Aldama misses two point driving finger roll layup
Q2 6:30
Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 6:33
Jalen Williams misses two point stepback jump shot
Q2 6:44
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jay Huff, Luke Kennard, Santi Aldama, Scotty Pippen Jr.)
Q2 6:44
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 6:44
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:45
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q2 7:04
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point running finger roll layup
44-45
Q2 7:11
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 7:14
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:25
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-43
Q2 7:25
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-42
Q2 7:25
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q2 7:25
Jaren Jackson Jr. shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
Q2 7:26
Cason Wallace misses two point driving layup
Q2 7:40
+2
Zach Edey makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)
44-41
Q2 7:54
Desmond Bane shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
Q2 7:54
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-41
Q2 7:54
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-40
Q2 8:04
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-39
Q2 8:04
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-39
Q2 8:04
Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 8:04
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 8:10
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Q2 8:13
Isaiah Hartenstein misses two point alley-oop layup
Q2 8:25
+3
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)
40-39
Q2 8:39
Jalen Williams personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 8:47
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point driving finger roll layup (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
37-39
Q2 8:56
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 9:01
Jaren Jackson Jr. misses three point running jump shot
Q2 9:07
Chet Holmgren turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)
Q2 9:20
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 9:22
Desmond Bane misses three point stepback jump shot
Q2 9:33
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q2 9:37
Chet Holmgren misses three point stepback jump shot
Q2 9:49
Alex Caruso shooting foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
Q2 9:49
+1
Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-37
Q2 10:02
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q2 10:05
Jaylen Wells misses three point pullup jump shot
Q2 10:14
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Williams assists)
35-37
Q2 10:17
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 10:19
Alex Caruso blocks Desmond Bane's two point driving layup
Q2 10:31
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
35-35
Q2 10:44
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)
35-32
Q2 10:52
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Q2 10:52
Jalen Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Q2 10:54
John Konchar misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:10
Jalen Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q2 11:11
Jaylen Wells turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)
Q2 11:18
Zach Edey defensive rebound
Q2 11:20
Chet Holmgren misses two point stepback jump shot
Q2 11:37
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 11:37
Desmond Bane turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)
Q2 11:44
Jalen Williams turnover (bad pass) (John Konchar steals)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q1 00:00
Isaiah Joe misses three point pullup jump shot
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, John Konchar, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr., Zach Edey)
Q1 00:02
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Q1 00:02
+1
Zach Edey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-32
Q1 00:02
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Zach Edey draws the foul)
Q1 00:02
+1
Zach Edey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-32
Q1 00:04
Jaylin Williams misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:23
+2
Vince Williams Jr. makes two point driving layup (Jaren Jackson Jr. assists)
31-32
Q1 00:30
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:34
Zach Edey blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point driving layup
Q1 00:53
Luke Kennard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q1 5:24
Luke Kennard defensive rebound
Q1 5:27
Thunder misses two point jump shot

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Grizzlies vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Grizzlies vs. Thunder
  • Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +460, Thunder -550

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Grizzlies: 23%
  • Thunder: 77%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 114-123 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 23%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 77%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Grizzlies vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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