Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Bucks NBA game on March 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Thunder
121
105
Mar 17, 1AM Fiserv Forum
Bucks
Mar 17, 1AM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Thunder
 24 29 39 29 121
Bucks
 26 15 33 31 105
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
ThunderOKC
Win %
>99%
<1%
BucksMIL
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunderBucks1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityThunder -5.5Bucks +5.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 233.5Under 233.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Thunder
 24 29 39 29 121
Bucks
 26 15 33 31 105
Q4 00:09 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:17 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:50 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:26 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:06
Adam Flagler defensive rebound
Q4 00:09
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:13
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 00:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:41
Thunder personal foul
Q4 00:41
+1
Pat Connaughton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-104
Q4 00:41
+1
Pat Connaughton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-105
Q4 00:41
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Dillon Jones, Adam Flagler, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 00:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
120-103
Q4 00:53
Bucks personal foul
Q4 00:53
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 1
121-103
Q4 1:05
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
118-102
Q4 1:05
Thunder personal foul
Q4 1:05
Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Dillon Jones, Alex Caruso, Adam Flagler)
Q4 1:05
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
118-103
Q4 1:15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
118-100
Q4 1:27
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
Q4 1:30
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:50
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
116-100
Q4 1:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:58
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 1:58
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 1:58
Bucks personal foul
Q4 1:58
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
114-100
Q4 1:58
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Dillon Jones, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Q4 1:58
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Tyler Smith, Andre Jackson Jr., Chris Livingston, Pat Connaughton)
Q4 2:18
Bucks turnover
Q4 2:23
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q4 2:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:29
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 2:29
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 2:43
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 2:46
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:47
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Q4 2:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:05
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
113-100
Q4 3:14
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
Q4 3:17
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:32
Bucks personal foul
Q4 3:32
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 3:32
Instant replay
Q4 3:32
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 3:32
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 3:32
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-97
Q4 3:32
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Q4 3:38
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
112-97
Q4 3:38
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 3:47
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q4 3:50
Bucks personal foul
Q4 3:50
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 3:50
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 3:50
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-95
Q4 3:50
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Andre Jackson Jr., Pat Connaughton)
Q4 3:50
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Andre Jackson Jr., Pat Connaughton)
Q4 4:04
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
111-95
Q4 4:08
Andre Jackson Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 4:11
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:23
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q4 4:27
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:37
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Andre Jackson Jr., Kevin Porter Jr., Pat Connaughton)
Q4 4:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
111-93
Q4 4:55
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q4 4:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:12
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
109-93
Q4 5:14
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q4 5:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:18
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 5:38
Thunder personal foul
Q4 5:38
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 5:38
Instant replay
Q4 5:38
Brook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 5:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
109-90
Q4 6:03
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
107-90
Q4 6:07
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q4 6:10
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:26
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
107-88
Q4 6:47
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 6:47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 6:47
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q4 6:47
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q4 6:49
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:01
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
107-85
Q4 7:16
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q4 7:21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
107-83
Q4 7:21
Bucks personal foul
Q4 7:21
Alex Caruso misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 7:27
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 7:30
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:38
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:39
Bucks defensive rebound
Q4 7:41
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:01
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
105-83
Q4 8:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
105-80
Q4 8:29
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:29
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-79
Q4 8:29
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-80
Q4 8:34
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:43
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:43
Bucks personal foul
Q4 8:43
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-78
Q4 8:43
+1
Isaiah Joe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-78
Q4 8:43
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q4 9:05
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
101-78
Q4 9:20
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 9:20
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
101-76
Q4 9:27
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:30
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q4 9:32
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:53
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
99-76
Q4 10:07
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
99-74
Q4 10:10
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 10:13
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:17
Thunder turnover
Q4 10:17
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr.)
Q4 10:39
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 10:39
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:39
Bucks personal foul
Q4 10:56
Bucks personal foul
Q4 10:56
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-74
Q4 10:56
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-74
Q4 10:59
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 11:02
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:04
Damian Lillard defensive rebound
Q4 11:12
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:23
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q4 11:26
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
94-74
Q4 11:43
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q4 11:47
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr.)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 00:01
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:07
Bucks personal foul
Q3 00:07
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-74
Q3 00:07
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-74
Q3 00:27
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:27
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-73
Q3 00:27
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-74
Q3 00:27
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 00:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
90-72
Q3 00:51
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
88-72
Q3 1:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-69
Q3 1:16
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
86-69
Q3 1:20
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Q3 1:22
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:39
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
86-66
Q3 1:46
Bucks turnover
Q3 1:50
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q3 1:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:01
Bucks personal foul
Q3 2:07
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 2:07
Jump ball. (Bucks gains possession)
Q3 2:07
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:07
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-65
Q3 2:07
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-66
Q3 2:08
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-64
Q3 2:18
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q3 2:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:41
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
81-64
Q3 2:58
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
81-61
Q3 3:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 3:06
Bucks lineup change (Damian Lillard, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Jericho Sims)
Q3 3:06
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 3:13
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q3 3:13
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
78-61
Q3 3:15
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Q3 3:15
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:20
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:26
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 3:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:33
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q3 3:38
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
77-59
Q3 4:00
Bucks personal foul
Q3 4:00
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 1
78-59
Q3 4:00
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Gary Trent Jr., Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 4:07
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 4:08
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
Q3 4:08
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:13
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
75-59
Q3 4:44
Bucks personal foul
Q3 4:44
Instant replay
Q3 4:44
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 4:49
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 4:53
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:05
Thunder turnover
Q3 5:07
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q3 5:10
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:27
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:27
Bucks defensive rebound
Q3 5:39
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
73-59
Q3 6:02
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
73-56
Q3 6:18
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
70-56
Q3 6:18
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 6:18
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q3 6:18
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q3 6:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
70-54
Q3 6:45
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
68-54
Q3 7:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
68-51
Q3 7:14
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
66-51
Q3 7:25
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
66-49
Q3 7:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:30
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Q3 7:30
Bucks turnover
Q3 7:40
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q3 7:43
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:43
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 7:43
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 7:43
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 7:45
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 7:49
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:57
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 8:01
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:13
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q3 8:16
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:27
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Q3 8:27
Thunder violation
Q3 8:28
Bucks personal foul
Q3 8:28
Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 8:28
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q3 8:28
Instant replay
Q3 8:28
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-47
Q3 8:28
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-47
Q3 8:31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:54
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:54
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-46
Q3 8:54
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-47
Q3 9:06
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
64-45
Q3 9:23
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
62-45
Q3 9:28
Taurean Prince defensive rebound
Q3 9:31
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:37
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q3 9:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:42
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 9:45
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:08
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
62-43
Q3 10:26
Thunder personal foul
Q3 10:26
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-42
Q3 10:26
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-43
Q3 10:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
59-41
Q3 10:43
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 10:46
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:56
Thunder personal foul
Q3 11:03
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:03
Bucks offensive rebound
Q3 11:03
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-41
Q3 11:19
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q3 11:25
Bucks turnover
Q3 11:40
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
55-41
Q2 00:00
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 00:18
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 00:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:18
Bucks defensive rebound
Q2 00:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:21
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:23
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q2 00:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:43
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 00:47
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:04
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 1:07
Bucks personal foul
Q2 1:07
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-41
Q2 1:07
Isaiah Hartenstein misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 1:07
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 1:12
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 1:16
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:19
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 1:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:41
Bucks turnover
Q2 2:00
Bucks personal foul
Q2 2:00
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-41
Q2 2:00
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-41
Q2 2:04
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 2:07
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:29
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q2 2:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:46
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 2:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:50
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 2:55
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:09
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:09
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 3:23
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
50-41
Q2 3:35
Bucks turnover
Q2 3:50
Bucks defensive rebound
Q2 3:50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 3:50
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q2 3:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:58
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 4:01
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:24
Bucks personal foul
Q2 4:24
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 4:24
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-41
Q2 4:24
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
48-41
Q2 4:40
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
46-41
Q2 4:41
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 5:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-39
Q2 5:15
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
44-39
Q2 5:33
Bucks personal foul
Q2 5:33
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 5:33
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 5:33
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-36
Q2 5:33
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 5:49
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
43-36
Q2 6:05
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-34
Q2 6:16
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:16
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 6:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:16
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Q2 6:24
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 6:27
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:39
Thunder turnover
Q2 7:02
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 7:05
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:05
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, AJ Green, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 7:05
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-34
Q2 7:05
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 7:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-33
Q2 7:17
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q2 7:25
Bucks personal foul
Q2 7:32
Bucks personal foul
Q2 7:32
AJ Green turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 7:32
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q2 7:33
AJ Green defensive rebound
Q2 7:38
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:41
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Q2 7:41
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:41
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 7:47
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:04
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
38-33
Q2 8:10
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 8:13
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:20
Gary Trent Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 8:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:37
Thunder personal foul
Q2 8:37
Gary Trent Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 8:37
Bucks offensive rebound
Q2 8:37
+1
Gary Trent Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-33
Q2 8:39
Thunder turnover
Q2 8:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:52
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 8:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:52
Jericho Sims turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q2 8:58
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 9:02
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:16
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 9:16
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q2 9:18
Thunder turnover
Q2 9:31
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 9:35
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:47
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-32
Q2 9:56
Thunder personal foul
Q2 9:56
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 3
33-30
Q2 9:56
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 3
33-31
Q2 9:56
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 3 of 3
33-32
Q2 10:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
33-29
Q2 10:17
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 10:23
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
30-29
Q2 10:43
Bucks personal foul
Q2 10:43
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-29
Q2 10:56
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
28-29
Q2 11:23
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
28-26
Q2 11:32
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 11:35
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:49
Bucks personal foul
Q2 11:49
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 11:49
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 11:49
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-26
Q1 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Damian Lillard, Kyle Kuzma, AJ Green, Gary Trent Jr., Jericho Sims)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 00:05
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q1 00:05
Bucks personal foul
Q1 00:07
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:25
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:28
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:52
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
24-26
Q1 1:03
Jump ball. (Jericho Sims gains possession)
Q1 1:03
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 1:03
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 1:03
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 1:04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass)
Q1 1:20
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:20
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-22
Q1 1:20
+1
Damian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-23
Q1 1:20
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 1:20
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 1:20
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 1:20
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 1:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:40
Bucks defensive rebound
Q1 1:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 1:52
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
24-21
Q1 2:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:17
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 2:17
Thunder violation
Q1 2:17
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
Q1 2:31
Bucks personal foul
Q1 2:31
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 2:31
Bucks lineup change (Damian Lillard, Kyle Kuzma, Gary Trent Jr., Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 2:31
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 2:52
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
24-18
Q1 3:00
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Q1 3:03
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
24-15
Q1 3:21
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 3:29
Bucks offensive rebound
Q1 3:29
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 3:30
Thunder personal foul
Q1 3:30
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-16
Q1 3:30
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Dillon Jones, Alex Caruso, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 3:30
Bucks lineup change (Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 3:43
Thunder turnover
Q1 3:43
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Dillon Jones, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Isaiah Joe)
Q1 3:53
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
Q1 3:57
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-15
Q1 4:27
Dillon Jones defensive rebound
Q1 4:30
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
19-15
Q1 4:46
Bucks violation
Q1 4:49
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 4:54
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-15
Q1 5:21
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q1 5:24
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:35
Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 5:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:50
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q1 5:53
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:02
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 6:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:23
Thunder personal foul
Q1 6:23
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-14
Q1 6:23
+1
Kevin Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-15
Q1 6:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-13
Q1 6:46
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 6:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:46
Bucks 60 second timeout
Q1 6:46
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Kenrich Williams, Dillon Jones, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 6:46
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince, Gary Trent Jr., Kevin Porter Jr.)
Q1 6:47
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:48
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q1 6:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:03
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
13-13
Q1 7:28
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
13-11
Q1 7:38
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 7:42
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
11-11
Q1 7:42
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:42
Taurean Prince misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q1 7:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-9
Q1 7:52
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 7:57
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:15
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Q1 8:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:40
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 8:43
Thunder personal foul
Q1 8:43
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-9
Q1 8:43
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 8:47
Thunder turnover
Q1 9:03
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
9-8
Q1 9:23
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-6
Q1 9:33
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
7-6
Q1 9:55
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-4
Q1 10:15
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
5-4
Q1 10:21
Thunder turnover
Q1 10:41
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
5-2
Q1 10:58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
5-0
Q1 11:10
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q1 11:14
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:28
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
3-0
Q1 11:40
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 11:43
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Taurean Prince)
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Cason Wallace, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 12:00
(Kyle Kuzma gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G9A. Caruso1035
F6J. Williams310
G14A. Flagler000
F3D. Jones030
F34K. Williams065
Bucks
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F21T. Smith000
G44A. Jackson Jr.210
G24P. Connaughton101
F7C. Livingston000
G13R. Rollins610

Game Prediction Article

Ryan Leaver
Mar 15, 2025
Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction: Oklahoma City Predicted to Win Sunday's NBA Matchup [3/16/2025]
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Thunder vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Thunder vs. Bucks
  • Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -6
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Thunder -215, Bucks +192

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Thunder: 68%
  • Bucks: 32%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 118-113 Bucks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 68%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 32%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Thunder vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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