Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on March 10, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Nuggets
140
127
Mar 11, 12AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 11, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
 27 60 51 2 140
Thunder
 32 56 37 2 127
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
NuggetsDEN
Win %
>99%
<1%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNuggetsThunder1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityNuggets +9.5Thunder -9.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 240.5Under 240.51QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
 27 60 51 2 140
Thunder
 32 56 37 2 127
Q4 00:21 Jaylin Williams misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 00:33 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Aaron Wiggins makes two point running layup
Q4 1:05 Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:24 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:11 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:21 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:19
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 00:21
Jaylin Williams misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 00:33
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 00:56
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point running layup
140-127
Q4 1:01
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 1:05
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:24
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
138-125
Q4 1:34
Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
Q4 1:37
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:46
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Dillon Jones, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 1:46
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 1:46
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 2:08
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 2:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:21
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 2:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 2:51
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
129-118
Q4 2:51
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q4 3:07
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q4 3:10
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 3:22
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q4 3:37
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 3:37
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
Q4 3:38
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:51
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 3:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:59
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 4:00
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:09
Chet Holmgren turnover (Michael Porter Jr. steals)
Q4 4:09
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 4:14
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:29
Thunder personal foul
Q4 4:29
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q4 4:29
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q4 4:47
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point jump shot
129-118
Q4 4:48
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 4:49
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:59
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 5:12
Thunder turnover
Q4 5:12
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q4 5:25
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 5:25
Nikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 5:25
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q4 5:46
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
138-125
Q4 5:54
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 5:57
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:11
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot
138-125
Q4 6:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 6:34
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jalen Pickett, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q4 6:40
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 6:42
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q4 6:46
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 6:48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:04
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q4 7:22
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 7:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:42
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 8:02
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot
138-125
Q4 8:10
Nuggets turnover
Q4 8:25
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q4 8:27
Isaiah Joe misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 8:33
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q4 8:37
Russell Westbrook misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:49
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Q4 8:49
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
140-127
Q4 8:49
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q4 8:49
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jalen Pickett, Michael Porter Jr., Russell Westbrook)
Q4 8:49
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-127
Q4 9:00
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
117-106
Q4 9:18
+2
Cason Wallace makes two point driving finger roll layup
117-108
Q4 9:32
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q4 9:43
Zeke Nnaji personal foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)
Q4 9:43
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 9:43
+1
Alex Caruso makes regular free throw 1 of 1
140-127
Q4 9:50
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 9:54
Thunder turnover
Q4 10:04
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 10:05
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
138-125
Q4 10:22
Alex Caruso turnover (Jamal Murray steals)
Q4 10:26
Peyton Watson turnover
Q4 10:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 11:03
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q4 11:12
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Q4 11:14
Aaron Wiggins misses two point driving reverse layup
Q4 11:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:23
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q4 11:23
Nuggets personal foul
Q4 11:35
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q4 11:52
Thunder personal foul
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q4 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.)
Q3 00:02
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:10
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 00:12
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:33
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q3 00:36
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:43
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Q3 00:43
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
140-127
Q3 00:43
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-127
Q3 00:50
Thunder violation
Q3 00:59
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q3 1:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:17
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q3 1:24
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 1:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:25
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
Q3 1:35
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 1:35
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q3 1:47
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q3 2:01
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
138-125
Q3 2:10
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 2:14
Christian Braun misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:32
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 2:35
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:47
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q3 3:02
+2
Alex Caruso makes two point driving layup (Isaiah Joe assists)
138-125
Q3 3:06
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Q3 3:08
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 3:16
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:16
+1
Russell Westbrook makes regular free throw 2 of 2
138-125
Q3 3:16
Russell Westbrook misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 3:16
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q3 3:16
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 3:16
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q3 3:28
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q3 3:33
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 3:33
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q3 3:42
Christian Braun misses two point layup
Q3 3:54
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q3 4:00
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 4:03
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 4:10
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 4:12
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:26
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
87-88
Q3 4:54
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q3 5:09
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q3 5:27
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
87-88
Q3 5:27
Nuggets personal foul
Q3 5:27
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-127
Q3 5:35
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q3 5:37
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:49
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q3 5:52
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 5:56
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:17
Thunder personal foul
Q3 6:17
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 6:17
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q3 6:17
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
140-127
Q3 6:17
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-127
Q3 6:21
Thunder turnover
Q3 6:29
Nuggets turnover
Q3 6:37
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 6:40
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 6:53
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
140-127
Q3 7:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
140-127
Q3 7:31
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 7:32
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q3 7:32
Russell Westbrook misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:37
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:49
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 7:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:05
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:05
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
138-122
Q3 8:05
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
140-127
Q3 8:08
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 8:12
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:20
Nuggets turnover
Q3 8:28
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 8:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:40
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q3 8:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:47
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 8:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:47
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 9:01
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
129-118
Q3 9:15
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q3 9:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:30
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 9:32
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:47
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
129-118
Q3 10:02
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 10:05
Russell Westbrook misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:22
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
129-118
Q3 10:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
117-108
Q3 10:42
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Q3 10:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:49
Russell Westbrook defensive rebound
Q3 10:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:04
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:17
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
117-108
Q3 11:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
117-108
Q3 11:44
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 00:00
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 00:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q2 00:02
Alex Caruso turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q2 00:02
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 00:10
Thunder personal foul
Q2 00:10
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 00:10
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q2 00:10
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
87-88
Q2 00:10
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 00:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
87-88
Q2 00:28
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q2 00:32
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:45
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
87-88
Q2 00:49
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q2 00:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:08
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-75
Q2 1:15
Nuggets defensive rebound
Q2 1:15
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 1:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:21
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q2 1:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:34
Isaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Q2 1:34
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point layup (Russell Westbrook assists)
67-73
Q2 1:34
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
70-75
Q2 1:34
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 1:54
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
70-75
Q2 1:55
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q2 1:57
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:22
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
70-75
Q2 2:44
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving finger roll layup
67-73
Q2 2:44
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 2:44
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q2 2:44
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
70-75
Q2 2:55
Christian Braun turnover
Q2 3:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
67-73
Q2 3:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
70-75
Q2 3:44
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:44
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q2 3:44
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 3:56
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)
47-49
Q2 4:10
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
67-73
Q2 4:17
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q2 4:20
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:31
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
67-73
Q2 4:39
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:51
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
67-73
Q2 5:00
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-49
Q2 5:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-73
Q2 5:10
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 5:10
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q2 5:10
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 5:10
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 1
67-73
Q2 5:21
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 5:23
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:42
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
47-49
Q2 5:44
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q2 5:46
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:52
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 5:56
Russell Westbrook misses three point pullup jump shot
Q2 6:07
Peyton Watson personal foul (Jalen Williams draws the foul)
Q2 6:07
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-49
Q2 6:07
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Cason Wallace)
Q2 6:07
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 6:07
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 6:14
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
61-71
Q2 6:15
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q2 6:16
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-71
Q2 6:47
Jalen Pickett personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Q2 6:47
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q2 6:47
Jalen Pickett turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 6:47
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 6:47
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jalen Pickett, Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q2 7:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-71
Q2 7:10
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 7:13
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:18
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 7:18
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:31
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q2 7:31
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 7:33
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
47-49
Q2 7:33
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
Q2 7:44
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Q2 7:44
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 7:44
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
67-73
Q2 7:44
Thunder personal foul
Q2 7:44
Zeke Nnaji turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 7:48
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Q2 7:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:02
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
47-49
Q2 8:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-49
Q2 8:33
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 8:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
47-43
Q2 8:50
Jalen Williams turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)
Q2 8:57
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Q2 8:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:09
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
47-43
Q2 9:33
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
47-43
Q2 9:39
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 9:40
Peyton Watson misses two point running layup
Q2 9:44
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 9:47
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:00
Nuggets personal foul
Q2 10:09
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point running jump shot (Zeke Nnaji assists)
42-41
Q2 10:09
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Q2 10:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:33
Zeke Nnaji turnover
Q2 10:34
Alex Caruso turnover (lost ball) (Zeke Nnaji steals)
Q2 10:37
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q2 10:40
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:51
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Q2 10:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:03
Thunder personal foul
Q2 11:03
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-41
Q2 11:03
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-43
Q2 11:20
Thunder personal foul
Q2 11:27
+3
Isaiah Joe makes three point jump shot
42-41
Q2 11:31
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 11:34
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:48
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-41
Q1 00:00
Alex Caruso misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Cason Wallace)
Q1 00:04
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
27-32
Q1 00:13
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 00:14
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:33
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
27-32
Q1 00:51
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q1 00:53
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:00
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:00
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-32
Q1 1:00
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Christian Braun)
Q1 1:00
Nuggets offensive rebound
Q1 1:00
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-32
Q1 1:19
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 1:19
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
27-32
Q1 1:41
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
27-32
Q1 2:02
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
25-29
Q1 2:03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q1 2:06
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point running pullup jump shot
Q1 2:10
Nuggets turnover
Q1 2:11
Zeke Nnaji offensive rebound
Q1 2:12
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:29
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 2:32
Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:44
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 2:47
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:52
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Zeke Nnaji, Jalen Pickett, Michael Porter Jr.)
Q1 2:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 2:52
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Q1 2:52
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q1 2:57
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 2:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:13
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving layup
25-27
Q1 3:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-27
Q1 3:41
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 3:44
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:00
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 4:00
Jamal Murray personal foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)
Q1 4:00
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-24
Q1 4:00
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-25
Q1 4:02
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:16
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-20
Q1 4:16
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q1 4:16
+2
Isaiah Hartenstein makes two point jump shot
23-22
Q1 4:16
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 4:21
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 4:27
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:32
Thunder personal foul
Q1 4:42
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 4:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:55
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
23-20
Q1 4:57
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 5:01
Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:08
Peyton Watson turnover
Q1 5:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-32
Q1 5:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
21-19
Q1 5:17
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 5:17
Thunder violation
Q1 5:17
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
21-20
Q1 5:17
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun)
Q1 5:17
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
Q1 5:21
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q1 5:25
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:37
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 5:37
Thunder personal foul
Q1 5:37
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
21-15
Q1 5:37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-16
Q1 5:37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-17
Q1 5:37
Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 5:39
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 5:43
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 5:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
20-15
Q1 6:11
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
20-13
Q1 6:31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-13
Q1 6:45
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
18-11
Q1 7:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-11
Q1 7:11
Nuggets turnover
Q1 7:13
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
16-11
Q1 7:27
Thunder turnover
Q1 7:37
Thunder personal foul
Q1 7:37
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-9
Q1 7:37
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-9
Q1 7:48
Thunder turnover
Q1 7:50
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 7:50
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 7:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:57
Nuggets personal foul
Q1 8:07
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 8:08
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
14-9
Q1 8:22
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-9
Q1 8:34
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
11-7
Q1 8:41
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Q1 8:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:51
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 8:54
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-7
Q1 9:28
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
9-5
Q1 9:37
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 9:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:44
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 9:46
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Q1 9:46
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:48
Jamal Murray offensive rebound
Q1 9:48
Jamal Murray misses two point tip layup
Q1 9:52
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:00
Russell Westbrook offensive rebound
Q1 10:01
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:14
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Q1 10:20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:27
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:27
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-5
Q1 10:27
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-5
Q1 10:48
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point pullup jump shot
5-5
Q1 10:58
+3
Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
5-3
Q1 11:20
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
2-3
Q1 11:34
+2
Russell Westbrook makes two point pullup jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
2-0
Q1 11:42
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
Q1 11:45
Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 12:00
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., Christian Braun, Russell Westbrook)
Q1 12:00
Nikola Jokic vs. Chet Holmgren (Russell Westbrook gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Nuggets
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F1M. Porter Jr.1762
G27J. Murray3446
F0C. Braun1455
C15N. Jokic35188
G4R. Westbrook1657
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F3D. Jones000
G21A. Wiggins841
G11I. Joe323
F13O. Dieng011
F6J. Williams030

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Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Monday, March 10, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -9
  • Total (Over/Under): 240.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +320, Thunder -375

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 24%
  • Thunder: 76%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 115-123 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 24%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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