Rockets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. Thunder NBA game on March 3, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Rockets
128
137
Mar 4, 1AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 4, 1AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Rockets
 31 31 27 39 128
Thunder
 30 33 39 35 137
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
RocketsHOU
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityRocketsThunder1QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityRockets +14Thunder -141QHALF3QREGF0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 229Under 2291QHALF3QREGF0255075100
TEAM1234T
Rockets
 31 31 27 39 128
Thunder
 30 33 39 35 137
Q4 00:14 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:26 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:37 Nate Williams makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Rockets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Rockets makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:12
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 00:14
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:26
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
128-137
Q4 00:37
+2
Nate Williams makes two point jump shot
128-134
Q4 00:41
Thunder turnover
Q4 1:01
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 1:03
Thunder personal foul
Q4 1:03
+1
Cam Whitmore makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-134
Q4 1:03
Cam Whitmore misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 1:07
Cam Whitmore defensive rebound
Q4 1:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:19
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 1:21
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:21
Reed Sheppard turnover (bad pass)
Q4 1:28
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Q4 1:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:48
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
125-134
Q4 2:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
123-134
Q4 2:16
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
123-132
Q4 2:22
Cam Whitmore defensive rebound
Q4 2:24
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:36
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 2:39
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
120-132
Q4 2:58
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q4 2:59
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:04
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 3:05
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:23
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 3:23
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
120-130
Q4 3:27
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:43
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
120-128
Q4 3:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
117-128
Q4 3:59
Thunder turnover
Q4 4:01
Rockets turnover
Q4 4:03
Nate Williams defensive rebound
Q4 4:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:15
Rockets personal foul
Q4 4:15
N'Faly Dante turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 4:23
Rockets personal foul
Q4 4:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-125
Q4 4:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
117-126
Q4 4:23
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 4:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:34
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 4:34
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 4:37
N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
Q4 4:37
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:37
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 4:40
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:49
Cam Whitmore defensive rebound
Q4 4:51
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:04
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
117-124
Q4 5:15
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Q4 5:15
Rockets personal foul
Q4 5:15
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-123
Q4 5:15
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-124
Q4 5:15
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams)
Q4 5:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:32
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
114-122
Q4 5:46
N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
Q4 5:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:01
N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
Q4 6:01
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
112-122
Q4 6:04
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:12
Cam Whitmore defensive rebound
Q4 6:16
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:18
Isaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound
Q4 6:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:30
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
110-122
Q4 6:37
Rockets personal foul
Q4 6:37
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-121
Q4 6:37
+1
Isaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-122
Q4 6:46
Thunder personal foul
Q4 6:46
+1
Nate Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-120
Q4 6:46
+1
Nate Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-120
Q4 6:57
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 6:57
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 6:57
Rockets lineup change (Jack McVeigh, N'Faly Dante, Nate Williams, Cam Whitmore, Reed Sheppard)
Q4 6:59
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
106-120
Q4 7:04
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q4 7:07
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:28
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
106-117
Q4 7:41
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 7:44
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:48
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q4 7:54
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:07
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
106-114
Q4 8:09
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 8:10
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:11
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
Q4 8:16
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:30
Thunder turnover
Q4 8:43
Thunder personal foul
Q4 8:43
+1
Cam Whitmore makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-112
Q4 8:43
+1
Cam Whitmore makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-112
Q4 8:50
Thunder turnover
Q4 9:06
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
104-112
Q4 9:06
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 9:06
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 9:09
Thunder turnover
Q4 9:33
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
102-112
Q4 9:43
Chet Holmgren turnover
Q4 9:43
Thunder personal foul
Q4 9:43
Chet Holmgren turnover (lost ball)
Q4 9:56
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
99-112
Q4 9:56
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Jae'Sean Tate, Nate Williams, Cam Whitmore, Reed Sheppard)
Q4 10:03
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Q4 10:03
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:07
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:15
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
96-112
Q4 10:26
Rockets personal foul
Q4 10:26
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q4 10:26
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-111
Q4 10:26
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-112
Q4 10:33
Thunder defensive rebound
Q4 10:33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 10:33
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q4 10:33
Instant replay
Q4 10:36
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:50
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
94-110
Q4 10:54
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q4 10:58
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
94-107
Q4 11:25
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-107
Q4 11:34
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
91-105
Q4 11:34
Thunder personal foul
Q4 11:34
+1
N'Faly Dante makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-105
Q4 11:49
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
89-105
Q3 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., N'Faly Dante, Jae'Sean Tate, Nate Williams, Reed Sheppard)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q3 00:02
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 00:06
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:18
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
89-102
Q3 00:26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 00:28
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:48
Rockets personal foul
Q3 00:48
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-98
Q3 00:48
+1
Cason Wallace makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-99
Q3 00:48
Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Aaron Holiday, N'Faly Dante, Jae'Sean Tate, Nate Williams)
Q3 00:51
Rockets turnover
Q3 1:01
N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
Q3 1:05
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:13
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q3 1:16
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 1:20
Aaron Holiday defensive rebound
Q3 1:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:31
N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
Q3 1:31
+2
N'Faly Dante makes two point jump shot
89-97
Q3 1:35
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 1:42
Nate Williams defensive rebound
Q3 1:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:00
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
87-97
Q3 2:15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
84-97
Q3 2:27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 2:29
N'Faly Dante offensive rebound
Q3 2:29
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:29
+1
N'Faly Dante makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-95
Q3 2:29
N'Faly Dante misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q3 2:32
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:53
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-94
Q3 2:53
Rockets personal foul
Q3 2:53
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-95
Q3 3:03
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 3:05
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
83-92
Q3 3:21
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
80-92
Q3 3:22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Q3 3:25
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:40
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
80-89
Q3 3:40
Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Aaron Holiday, N'Faly Dante, Nate Williams, Cam Whitmore)
Q3 3:49
Thunder turnover
Q3 4:01
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
77-89
Q3 4:15
Jeff Green defensive rebound
Q3 4:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:23
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 4:40
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
74-89
Q3 4:40
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 4:40
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jeff Green, Aaron Holiday, N'Faly Dante, Cam Whitmore)
Q3 4:40
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q3 4:51
Jeff Green defensive rebound
Q3 4:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 5:06
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:19
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
72-89
Q3 5:26
Rockets turnover
Q3 5:26
Rockets personal foul
Q3 5:38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-86
Q3 5:52
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
72-84
Q3 5:57
Thunder turnover
Q3 6:05
Rockets personal foul
Q3 6:05
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jeff Green, Jock Landale, Aaron Holiday, Cam Whitmore)
Q3 6:12
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 6:14
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-84
Q3 6:38
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 6:41
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:51
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
69-82
Q3 6:59
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 7:02
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:16
Thunder turnover
Q3 7:28
Thunder personal foul
Q3 7:28
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-80
Q3 7:28
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-80
Q3 7:45
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
67-80
Q3 7:53
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 7:56
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-76
Q3 8:12
Rockets personal foul
Q3 8:12
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
67-77
Q3 8:18
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q3 8:21
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:22
Rockets offensive rebound
Q3 8:22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 8:24
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:33
Thunder personal foul
Q3 8:33
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q3 8:43
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
67-74
Q3 8:48
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q3 8:54
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 8:54
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:56
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q3 8:56
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:59
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:03
Thunder turnover
Q3 9:09
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 9:11
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:28
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
67-71
Q3 9:37
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 9:38
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:49
Cam Whitmore defensive rebound
Q3 9:54
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:00
Rockets personal foul
Q3 10:00
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 1
67-68
Q3 10:04
Thunder personal foul
Q3 10:04
Rockets personal foul
Q3 10:04
Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 10:13
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Q3 10:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:31
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
67-67
Q3 10:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-67
Q3 10:53
Rockets personal foul
Q3 11:00
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:00
Thunder defensive rebound
Q3 11:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 11:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-65
Q3 11:36
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
65-63
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jabari Smith Jr., Jock Landale, Cam Whitmore, Reed Sheppard)
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 00:01
Rockets turnover
Q2 00:19
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Q2 00:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:31
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
62-63
Q2 00:40
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-63
Q2 00:47
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q2 00:51
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-61
Q2 1:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
60-59
Q2 1:25
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
58-59
Q2 1:41
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
58-56
Q2 1:58
Cam Whitmore defensive rebound
Q2 2:01
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:20
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
56-56
Q2 2:40
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
53-56
Q2 2:52
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
53-54
Q2 3:08
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
51-54
Q2 3:10
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q2 3:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:18
Rockets turnover
Q2 3:23
Jeff Green defensive rebound
Q2 3:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:43
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
51-52
Q2 3:45
Cam Whitmore offensive rebound
Q2 3:49
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:12
Rockets personal foul
Q2 4:12
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-51
Q2 4:12
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-52
Q2 4:27
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q2 4:29
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:41
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:41
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jeff Green, Jock Landale, Aaron Holiday, Cam Whitmore)
Q2 4:41
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q2 4:52
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 4:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:07
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
49-50
Q2 5:11
Cam Whitmore defensive rebound
Q2 5:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:16
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q2 5:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:20
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
Q2 5:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:28
Rockets turnover
Q2 5:48
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
46-50
Q2 5:59
Thunder personal foul
Q2 5:59
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-47
Q2 5:59
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-47
Q2 6:09
Thunder personal foul
Q2 6:26
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-47
Q2 6:27
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q2 6:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 6:31
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q2 6:35
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:40
Rockets offensive rebound
Q2 6:40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:43
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:00
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-45
Q2 7:01
Rockets 60 second timeout
Q2 7:01
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jabari Smith Jr., Jock Landale, Aaron Holiday, Cam Whitmore)
Q2 7:03
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 7:06
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q2 7:23
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
44-43
Q2 7:31
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, N'Faly Dante, Nate Williams, Cam Whitmore)
Q2 7:31
Rockets turnover
Q2 7:37
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:43
Rockets personal foul
Q2 7:43
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-38
Q2 7:43
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-38
Q2 7:43
Instant replay
Q2 7:55
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
44-38
Q2 8:05
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 8:23
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-39
Q2 8:28
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q2 8:29
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:32
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q2 8:34
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:35
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q2 8:38
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:43
Rockets turnover
Q2 8:59
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
42-36
Q2 8:59
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., N'Faly Dante, Nate Williams, Cam Whitmore, Reed Sheppard)
Q2 9:12
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
41-33
Q2 9:12
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 9:15
N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
Q2 9:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:23
Rockets turnover
Q2 9:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
39-33
Q2 9:46
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
39-31
Q2 9:51
Jump ball. Jae'Sean Tate (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
Q2 10:07
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:10
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:23
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
37-31
Q2 10:27
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:40
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
35-31
Q2 10:46
N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
Q2 10:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:03
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 11:07
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:16
Rockets personal foul
Q2 11:16
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 11:16
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 11:16
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-31
Q2 11:30
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
33-30
Q2 11:38
N'Faly Dante defensive rebound
Q2 11:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:52
Rockets personal foul
Q2 11:52
Nate Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., N'Faly Dante, Jae'Sean Tate, Nate Williams, Reed Sheppard)
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jalen Williams)
Q1 00:01
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 00:09
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 00:10
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:26
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
31-30
Q1 00:30
Jae'Sean Tate offensive rebound
Q1 00:30
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
31-27
Q1 00:33
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:37
Thunder personal foul
Q1 00:44
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-27
Q1 00:48
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 00:51
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:07
Rockets personal foul
Q1 1:07
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-24
Q1 1:07
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-25
Q1 1:13
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 1:15
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:27
Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
Q1 1:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-23
Q1 1:31
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Q1 1:31
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:40
Rockets violation
Q1 1:52
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
29-21
Q1 2:05
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-21
Q1 2:11
Rockets turnover
Q1 2:23
Jae'Sean Tate defensive rebound
Q1 2:25
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:40
Rockets personal foul
Q1 2:40
Rockets lineup change (Jeff Green, Aaron Holiday, Jae'Sean Tate, Nate Williams, Reed Sheppard)
Q1 2:49
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
27-19
Q1 3:12
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
24-19
Q1 3:15
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q1 3:18
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:21
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Q1 3:22
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:29
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q1 3:31
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:45
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Q1 3:48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:56
Alex Caruso defensive rebound
Q1 3:57
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Q1 3:57
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:01
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:10
Jeff Green defensive rebound
Q1 4:13
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:13
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Q1 4:26
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
24-16
Q1 4:26
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 4:33
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Q1 4:36
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:49
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
21-16
Q1 5:06
Rockets personal foul
Q1 5:06
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-15
Q1 5:06
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jeff Green, Jabari Smith Jr., Aaron Holiday, Cam Whitmore)
Q1 5:06
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso)
Q1 5:06
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-16
Q1 5:15
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
19-14
Q1 5:16
Cam Whitmore offensive rebound
Q1 5:17
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 5:30
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 5:33
Rockets personal foul
Q1 5:33
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 5:33
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 5:33
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams)
Q1 5:33
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jabari Smith Jr., Jock Landale, Aaron Holiday, Cam Whitmore)
Q1 5:33
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 5:33
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams)
Q1 5:33
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jabari Smith Jr., Jock Landale, Aaron Holiday, Cam Whitmore)
Q1 5:33
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams)
Q1 5:47
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
17-14
Q1 5:56
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Q1 5:58
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
15-14
Q1 6:13
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q1 6:27
Thunder personal foul
Q1 6:27
Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 6:27
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:33
Isaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound
Q1 6:35
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Q1 6:35
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:40
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:48
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Q1 6:50
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:03
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
13-14
Q1 7:16
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-14
Q1 7:23
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q1 7:26
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:37
Thunder turnover
Q1 7:54
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
11-12
Q1 8:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-12
Q1 8:28
Rockets personal foul
Q1 8:28
Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 8:37
Rockets personal foul
Q1 8:37
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-9
Q1 8:37
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-10
Q1 8:41
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 8:43
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:52
Jalen Green defensive rebound
Q1 8:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:08
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
9-8
Q1 9:19
Thunder personal foul
Q1 9:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-8
Q1 9:46
Rockets turnover
Q1 10:03
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-6
Q1 10:13
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
7-4
Q1 10:18
Thunder turnover
Q1 10:28
Thunder personal foul
Q1 10:28
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-4
Q1 10:28
+1
Reed Sheppard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-4
Q1 10:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
3-4
Q1 10:54
Cam Whitmore offensive rebound
Q1 10:54
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
3-2
Q1 10:57
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:59
Cam Whitmore offensive rebound
Q1 11:01
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:24
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
1-2
Q1 11:34
Thunder personal foul
Q1 11:34
Jalen Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 11:34
Rockets offensive rebound
Q1 11:34
+1
Jalen Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
1-0
Q1 11:44
Thunder turnover
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein)
Q1 12:00
Rockets lineup change (Jalen Green, Jabari Smith Jr., Jock Landale, Cam Whitmore, Reed Sheppard)
Q1 12:00
(Jalen Williams gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
On Court
On Court
Rockets
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F7C. Whitmore27113
G15R. Sheppard2524
G-F58J. McVeigh600
G19N. Williams610
C3N. Dante1091
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G2S. Gilgeous-Alexander5157
G22C. Wallace1454
F7C. Holmgren11113
G5L. Dort1112
F8J. Williams2443

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Rockets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. Thunder
  • Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -14.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 230
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets +750, Thunder -770

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 15%
  • Thunder: 85%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 109-121 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 15%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 85%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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