- Predictions
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Heat NBA game on January 25, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
143
110
Jan 26, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Jan 26, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 42 | 35 | 38 | 25 | 143 |
Heat | 29 | 35 | 30 | 16 | 110 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 42 | 35 | 38 | 25 | 143 |
Heat | 29 | 35 | 30 | 16 | 110 |
Q4 00:22 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:11 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:54 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Neemias Queta defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
140-110
Heat turnover
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
138-110
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
135-110
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
135-106
+1
Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-107
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Orlando Robinson offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Orlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
135-105
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
136-102
Heat personal foul
Jordan Walsh defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Celtics lineup change (Neemias Queta, Dalano Banton, Svi Mykhailiuk, Lamar Stevens, Jordan Walsh)
Lamar Stevens defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
133-102
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
131-102
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
131-99
Heat personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Oshae Brissett, Neemias Queta, Dalano Banton, Lamar Stevens)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
129-99
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
129-97
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
126-97
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
128-96
+2
Oshae Brissett makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
143-110
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
126-96
Celtics turnover
Sam Hauser turnover (lost ball) (Josh Richardson steals)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Oshae Brissett, Dalano Banton, Luke Kornet, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Haywood Highsmith, Orlando Robinson, Cole Swider, Josh Richardson)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
123-94
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
123-92
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
120-92
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Jayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
118-92
Heat personal foul
+1
Payton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-90
+1
Payton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-90
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
121-94
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
118-94
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Luke Kornet, Al Horford)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-94
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Josh Richardson, Caleb Martin)
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
115-94
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
113-94
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
113-91
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
109-87
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
111-89
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
111-91
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point jump shot
111-91
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
107-87
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
105-87
Heat violation
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
103-87
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Luke Kornet, Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Luke Kornet, Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
103-85
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
103-82
Heat turnover
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
101-82
Heat personal foul
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-79
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
100-79
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
98-79
Jrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
98-76
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
95-76
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-76
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
92-74
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-74
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
90-72
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
87-72
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
87-69
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
85-69
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-68
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-69
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-67
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-67
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
80-67
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-67
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
77-64
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot
74-66
Celtics personal foul
Al Horford turnover
Instant replay
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
74-64
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-63
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-63
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-63
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
72-61
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-60
Celtics personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
69-61
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-58
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-58
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point dunk
69-60
Haywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-58
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
65-55
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
63-55
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
63-53
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-53
Celtics 60 second timeout
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-51
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
60-49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-49
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
58-47
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
58-44
Celtics personal foul
Thomas Bryant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-44
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Jimmy Butler, Josh Richardson)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Luke Kornet, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Jimmy Butler, Josh Richardson)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
55-43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-43
Josh Richardson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
53-41
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
53-38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
50-38
Celtics personal foul
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
50-36
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-36
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
48-34
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
46-34
Celtics turnover
Heat turnover
Al Horford defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
45-31
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-31
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
44-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-31
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
42-29
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-29
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-26
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Duncan Robinson, Josh Richardson, Caleb Martin)
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-27
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
40-25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-25
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
37-23
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-23
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
34-21
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
32-21
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
29-21
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-18
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Payton Pritchard, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser, Al Horford)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-18
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
27-18
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
24-18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-18
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
22-16
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-16
Celtics violation
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-14
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
17-12
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-12
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
15-10
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-10
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
13-8
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
10-8
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-8
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
8-5
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
6-5
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-2
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-2
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-2
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-2
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Celtics turnover
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)
(Derrick White gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 88 | N. Queta | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G-F | 50 | S. Mykhailiuk | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| F | 77 | L. Stevens | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 27 | J. Walsh | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| F | 45 | D. Banton | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| C | 25 | O. Robinson | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 21 | C. Swider | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G | 0 | J. Richardson | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 14 | 3 | 1 |
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Celtics vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Heat
- Date: Thursday, January 25, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -335, Heat +280
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 75%
- Heat: 25%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 116-108 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 75%, while the Heat have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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