Heat vs. Raptors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Raptors NBA game on January 17, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
97
121
Jan 18, 12:30AM Scotiabank Arena
Jan 18, 12:30AM Scotiabank Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 18 | 25 | 30 | 24 | 97 |
Raptors | 41 | 37 | 16 | 27 | 121 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 18 | 25 | 30 | 24 | 97 |
Raptors | 41 | 37 | 16 | 27 | 121 |
Q4 00:38 Raptors makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Raptors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:48 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Raptors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:41 Raptors makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:57 Heat misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
End of 4th Quarter.
Raptors turnover
Heat turnover
Javon Freeman-Liberty offensive rebound
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
97-121
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Garrett Temple defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-119
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Javon Freeman-Liberty, Garrett Temple, Chris Boucher, Gradey Dick, Jalen McDaniels)
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
95-119
Heat personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-119
Heat turnover
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
92-118
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
92-115
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-113
Raptors personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat personal foul
Thaddeus Young misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
Thaddeus Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-113
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
90-112
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Gary Trent Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
90-108
Heat personal foul
+1
Scottie Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
90-109
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-106
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett, Dennis Schroder)
Dennis Schroder misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-106
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
85-106
Heat turnover
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, RJ Barrett, Chris Boucher, Dennis Schroder)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
85-104
Chris Boucher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
85-101
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-99
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
83-99
Raptors personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-96
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-96
Raptors turnover
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Gary Trent Jr., Chris Boucher, Dennis Schroder)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
81-96
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Chris Boucher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Gradey Dick turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., Chris Boucher)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
79-96
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Chris Boucher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Scottie Barnes turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
77-96
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-94
Raptors turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-94
End of 3rd Quarter.
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, Chris Boucher, Gradey Dick)
Chris Boucher defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
73-94
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
70-94
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-91
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-91
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors defensive rebound
Raptors turnover
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
67-90
Chris Boucher offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
Raptors lineup change (Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Chris Boucher, Dennis Schroder)
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 2
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
Raptors lineup change (Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett, Dennis Schroder)
Nikola Jovic misses two point putback layup
Heat offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors turnover
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point tip layup
67-88
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
65-88
Thaddeus Young defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-85
Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett, Dennis Schroder)
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
64-85
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
64-83
Heat personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-83
Immanuel Quickley offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-82
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Immanuel Quickley, RJ Barrett, Dennis Schroder)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
59-82
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors offensive rebound
Thaddeus Young offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
57-82
Raptors personal foul
Scottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett, Dennis Schroder)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
55-82
Raptors 60 second timeout
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-82
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-82
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
49-82
Raptors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-80
Raptors turnover
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett)
Raptors 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-80
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-80
Raptors turnover
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
43-80
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett)
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
Kyle Lowry offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
43-78
Scottie Barnes offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Haywood Highsmith blocks Immanuel Quickley's two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-76
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
41-76
Heat turnover
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
41-74
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-72
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
Raptors 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-72
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
37-71
Heat personal foul
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 1
37-72
Jontay Porter defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-69
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
35-69
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-67
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
33-67
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
31-67
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors personal foul
Scottie Barnes turnover (offensive foul)
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-65
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
30-65
Raptors personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-62
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-62
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
28-62
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-59
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-59
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
24-59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
24-56
Raptors 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., Dennis Schroder)
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-56
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
20-56
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)
Heat turnover
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
20-53
Heat turnover
Raptors lineup change (Jontay Porter, RJ Barrett, Chris Boucher, Gradey Dick, Dennis Schroder)
Raptors personal foul
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
20-50
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-47
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Chris Boucher makes two point turnaround hook shot
18-47
Chris Boucher offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Chris Boucher defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Chris Boucher blocks Haywood Highsmith's three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
RJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Raptors offensive rebound
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-45
Thaddeus Young defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
18-44
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
18-41
Heat turnover
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
18-39
Thaddeus Young defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
18-36
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
18-34
Thaddeus Young defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
18-32
Raptors 60 second timeout
Raptors lineup change (Thaddeus Young, RJ Barrett, Chris Boucher, Gradey Dick, Dennis Schroder)
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
18-29
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Thaddeus Young offensive rebound
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Gary Trent Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Gary Trent Jr. offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Gary Trent Jr. steals)
Kyle Lowry blocks Gary Trent Jr.'s two point driving layup
Thaddeus Young defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
15-29
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
15-26
Thaddeus Young defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
15-24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
15-22
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., Dennis Schroder)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Raptors misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-22
Heat personal foul
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-21
+1
RJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-22
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-20
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
9-20
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
9-18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-15
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
9-15
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
Raptors personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-15
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Thaddeus Young, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-15
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
4-15
Heat violation
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-13
Raptors personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
2-13
RJ Barrett offensive rebound
Raptors misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-10
+2
Raptors makes two point jump shot
0-10
Immanuel Quickley defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jontay Porter blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
0-8
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
0-4
+1
Immanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
0-5
Jontay Porter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Raptors turnover
Jontay Porter offensive rebound
Jontay Porter offensive rebound
Jontay Porter misses two point jump shot
Raptors misses two point jump shot
Scottie Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Raptors makes three point jump shot
0-3
RJ Barrett defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro)
Raptors lineup change (Scottie Barnes, Jontay Porter, Immanuel Quickley, Gary Trent Jr., RJ Barrett)
(RJ Barrett gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 12 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 55 | D. Robinson | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| G | 7 | K. Lowry | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 0 | J. Richardson | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 10 | 3 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 4 | S. Barnes | 13 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 33 | G. Trent Jr. | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 5 | I. Quickley | 17 | 8 | 9 |
| C | 11 | J. Porter | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| F | 25 | C. Boucher | 2 | 6 | 0 |
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Heat vs. Raptors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Raptors
- Date: Wednesday, January 17, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -154, Raptors +130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 61%
- Raptors: 39%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 114-111 Raptors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 61%, while the Raptors have a win probability of 39%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Raptors in the NBA game at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Raptors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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