- Predictions
Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Warriors NBA game on December 30, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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132
:
122
Dec 31, 1:30AM Chase Center
Dec 31, 1:30AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 34 | 29 | 38 | 31 | 132 |
Warriors | 26 | 28 | 35 | 33 | 122 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 34 | 29 | 38 | 31 | 132 |
Warriors | 26 | 28 | 35 | 33 | 122 |
Q4 00:17 Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:35 Jonathan Kuminga misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:50 Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:19 Dante Exum makes two point driving finger roll layup
Q4 1:40 Chris Paul makes three point jump shot (Trayce Jackson-Davis assists)
Q4 1:51 Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point dunk (Chris Paul assists)
Q4 1:57 Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)
Q4 2:21 Stephen Curry misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 2:47 Chris Paul makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses three point stepback jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
131-122
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
131-122
Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
129-119
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Jonathan Kuminga personal foul (Dereck Lively II draws the foul)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Stephen Curry personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Dante Exum makes two point driving finger roll layup
127-119
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Chris Paul makes three point jump shot (Trayce Jackson-Davis assists)
125-119
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
125-116
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
125-116
Jonathan Kuminga personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point dunk (Chris Paul assists)
123-116
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick Jones Jr. assists)
123-114
Stephen Curry turnover (lost ball) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum)
Warriors offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point stepback jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
121-114
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-114
Jonathan Kuminga shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+3
Chris Paul makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
119-114
Dereck Lively II turnover (lost ball) (Chris Paul steals)
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
119-111
Luka Doncic kicked ball violation
Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum, Josh Green)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Josh Green misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Dante Exum misses two point driving finger roll layup
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
117-108
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Jaden Hardy makes three point jump shot (Dante Exum assists)
117-106
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses two point driving layup
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point stepback jump shot
117-106
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Luka Doncic, Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum, Josh Green)
Trayce Jackson-Davis personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Derrick Jones Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point cutting layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
110-103
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
108-99
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Jonathan Kuminga steals)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Andrew Wiggins, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Josh Green)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-96
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors lineup change (Dario Saric, Brandin Podziemski, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Chris Paul personal foul (Dante Exum draws the foul)
+2
Chris Paul makes two point pullup jump shot
107-96
+2
Dante Exum makes two point driving finger roll layup
107-94
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point cutting layup (Dario Saric assists)
105-94
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point jump shot
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Derrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses two point layup
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot
103-89
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Dario Saric, Brandin Podziemski, Klay Thompson, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum, Grant Williams)
+2
Josh Green makes two point jump shot
101-86
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)
101-86
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot
Jump ball. Dwight Powell (Dwight Powell gains possession)
Andrew Wiggins shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
+1
Grant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-83
+1
Grant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
99-83
Gary Payton II shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Kevon Looney misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Grant Williams shooting foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)
Gary Payton II shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
+3
Josh Green makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
96-82
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Chris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks personal foul
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point driving finger roll layup
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot (Josh Green assists)
93-82
+3
Brandin Podziemski makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
90-79
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+2
Josh Green makes two point jump shot
90-77
Warriors lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kevon Looney, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II)
Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, Grant Williams, Dwight Powell)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point stepback jump shot
90-77
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Luka Doncic blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point turnaround bank jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
88-74
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point putback layup
88-74
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)
88-72
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-72
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-71
Warriors personal foul
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
80-70
Warriors lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kevon Looney, Brandin Podziemski, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry)
Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dante Exum, Josh Green, Dwight Powell)
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Chris Paul assists)
75-64
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Dereck Lively II misses two point cutting layup
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point stepback jump shot
75-61
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point dunk (Stephen Curry assists)
75-61
+2
Dereck Lively II makes two point hook shot (Luka Doncic assists)
75-59
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Jaden Hardy makes two point driving layup (Luka Doncic assists)
69-57
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses two point putback layup
Stephen Curry misses two point driving finger roll layup
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup
67-57
Luka Doncic shooting foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
+2
Dante Exum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Luka Doncic assists)
65-56
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
63-56
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic, Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum)
End of 1st Half.
+2
Chris Paul makes two point fadeaway jump shot
63-54
Josh Green turnover (bad pass) (Andrew Wiggins steals)
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point cutting dunk (Stephen Curry assists)
63-52
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-50
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Andrew Wiggins, Kevon Looney, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry)
Dereck Lively II shooting foul (Trayce Jackson-Davis draws the foul)
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)
60-50
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
+3
Dante Exum makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
60-48
Mavericks offensive rebound
Chris Paul blocks Luka Doncic's two point pullup jump shot
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
55-48
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
55-47
+3
Josh Green makes three point jump shot (Dereck Lively II assists)
55-45
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
52-45
Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dante Exum, Josh Green, Dwight Powell)
Trayce Jackson-Davis shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point pullup jump shot
51-45
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point finger roll layup
51-45
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Brandin Podziemski turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point running reverse layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)
49-40
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Gary Payton II blocks Luka Doncic's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Dwight Powell)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Chris Paul misses three point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Dario Saric misses three point jump shot
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+3
Chris Paul makes three point jump shot (Dario Saric assists)
36-33
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point jump shot
36-30
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point cutting dunk (Dario Saric assists)
36-28
+2
Dereck Lively II makes two point jump shot (Dante Exum assists)
36-26
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point cutting layup
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Dario Saric, Jonathan Kuminga, Brandin Podziemski, Klay Thompson)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum, Grant Williams)
End of 1st Quarter.
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Andrew Wiggins, Brandin Podziemski, Gary Payton II, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
+3
Chris Paul makes three point jump shot (Dario Saric assists)
34-26
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-23
Luka Doncic personal foul
Dario Saric offensive rebound
Chris Paul misses two point pullup jump shot
Luka Doncic personal foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Dwight Powell misses two point turnaround hook shot
Dario Saric turnover
Dario Saric personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)
Mavericks turnover
+2
Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup
32-22
+2
Grant Williams makes two point layup (Josh Green assists)
32-20
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Dario Saric, Andrew Wiggins, Brandin Podziemski, Trayce Jackson-Davis)
Kevon Looney personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point turnaround jump shot
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
30-20
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+3
Josh Green makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
27-20
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point jump shot
24-20
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
24-18
Warriors lineup change (Dario Saric, Andrew Wiggins, Kevon Looney, Brandin Podziemski, Stephen Curry)
Stephen Curry personal foul
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point jump shot (Dante Exum assists)
23-18
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
21-18
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point driving hook shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
21-15
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot
21-13
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)
21-13
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-10
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-10
Andrew Wiggins shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point turnaround jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Stephen Curry blocks Luka Doncic's two point driving floating jump shot
Derrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Dante Exum makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
14-10
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point reverse layup (Chris Paul assists)
11-8
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Derrick Jones Jr. blocks Klay Thompson's two point driving layup
Warriors lineup change (Chris Paul, Jonathan Kuminga, Kevon Looney, Klay Thompson, Stephen Curry)
Mavericks lineup change (Derrick Jones Jr., Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum)
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point cutting dunk (Jonathan Kuminga assists)
7-6
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Derrick Jones Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Derrick Jones Jr. personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
7-4
Warriors offensive rebound
Warriors turnover (shot clock violation)
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Derrick Jones Jr. makes two point running dunk
4-4
Trayce Jackson-Davis turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Jones Jr. steals)
+2
Dereck Lively II makes two point putback layup
4-4
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Jonathan Kuminga makes two point driving dunk (Stephen Curry assists)
0-4
Jaden Hardy personal foul
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Derrick Jones Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 55 | D. Jones Jr. | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 39 | 8 | 10 |
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 16 | 6 | 5 |
| C | 2 | D. Lively II | 12 | 14 | 1 |
| G | 8 | J. Green | 18 | 0 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 3 | C. Paul | 24 | 2 | 6 |
| F | 0 | J. Kuminga | 16 | 9 | 3 |
| F | 22 | A. Wiggins | 14 | 5 | 4 |
| G | 30 | S. Curry | 25 | 2 | 7 |
| C | 32 | T. Jackson-Davis | 17 | 6 | 2 |
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Mavericks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Warriors
- Date: Saturday, December 30, 2023
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 243
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +146, Warriors -174
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 35%
- Warriors: 65%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 118-122 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 35%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 65%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Chase Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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