- Predictions
Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Celtics NBA game on October 27, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
119
Oct 27, 11:30PM TD Garden
Oct 27, 11:30PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 28 | 27 | 33 | 23 | 111 |
Celtics | 25 | 35 | 27 | 32 | 119 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 28 | 27 | 33 | 23 | 111 |
Celtics | 25 | 35 | 27 | 32 | 119 |
Q4 00:09 Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:17 Jaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
Q4 00:36 Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:59 Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
Q4 1:02 Bam Adebayo misses two point layup
Q4 1:10 Jrue Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 1:29 Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:35 Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:48 Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
111-119
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Heat 60 second timeout
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-116
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
111-115
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
111-114
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point layup
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot
111-114
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot
111-112
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-112
Kevin Love misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Derrick White personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-112
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
104-111
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-109
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-109
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Kristaps Porzingis personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Derrick White turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Jrue Holiday's two point running layup
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running dunk
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Jaylen Brown's two point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-109
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
102-109
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 1
102-106
Celtics personal foul
Celtics violation
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk
100-106
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-104
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-104
Kristaps Porzingis personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point turnaround jump shot
100-104
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-102
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-102
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-102
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
Kristaps Porzingis kicked ball violation
+3
Jaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot
96-101
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
96-98
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
Jayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving layup
96-98
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point floating jump shot
96-98
Al Horford defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Sam Hauser personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot
+3
Dru Smith makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
93-96
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Derrick White makes three point pullup jump shot
90-96
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+2
Derrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
90-93
Thomas Bryant turnover (offensive foul)
Thomas Bryant offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
90-91
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-88
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-88
Jayson Tatum shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Derrick White misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-88
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics offensive rebound
Thomas Bryant blocks Al Horford's two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat offensive rebound
Dru Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
88-87
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup
88-84
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point fadeaway jump shot
88-84
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot
88-82
Al Horford offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Al Horford turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point running layup
Jayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Thomas Bryant, Tyler Herro, Dru Smith)
Tyler Herro turnover (traveling)
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup
83-82
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot
83-80
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Thomas Bryant, Tyler Herro, Dru Smith)
Payton Pritchard personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Thomas Bryant misses two point jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
81-80
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Oshae Brissett, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Thomas Bryant, Dru Smith)
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
81-79
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point driving layup
81-78
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Oshae Brissett, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
Heat 60 second timeout
Oshae Brissett personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
Oshae Brissett turnover
Bam Adebayo turnover (traveling)
+2
Derrick White makes two point layup
79-78
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot
79-76
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-76
+1
Tyler Herro makes technical free throw 1 of 1
79-76
Kristaps Porzingis technical foul
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)
79-76
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
79-76
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
72-73
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Oshae Brissett, Jrue Holiday)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Derrick White turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
70-73
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point putback dunk
70-73
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
70-71
+2
Derrick White makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)
70-71
Derrick White offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
65-69
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
65-69
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
+3
Kristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
65-67
Kevin Love offensive rebound
+2
Kevin Love makes two point tip layup
65-64
Jimmy Butler misses two point layup
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot
65-64
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
60-62
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-62
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-61
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
60-60
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
End of 1st Half.
Celtics offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-60
Dru Smith shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
55-59
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
55-59
Derrick White defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point hook shot
Jayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Jayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
+3
Jaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
53-56
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-53
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-53
Jaylen Brown shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)
Dru Smith turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point dunk
51-53
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (Derrick White assists)
51-51
Derrick White defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup
51-49
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Jamal Cain misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis kicked ball violation
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Jamal Cain, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
51-47
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)
51-47
Jamal Cain personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jamal Cain steals)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
49-45
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
49-43
Duncan Robinson misses two point driving layup
Jayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Jamal Cain defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot
49-43
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point driving layup
49-43
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
Jamal Cain turnover (out of bounds step)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-41
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-40
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Jamal Cain, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
44-39
Celtics delay of game violation
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup
44-39
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup
42-37
+3
Dru Smith makes three point pullup jump shot
42-35
+2
Derrick White makes two point jump shot
39-35
Celtics offensive rebound
Al Horford misses two point tip layup
Al Horford offensive rebound
Al Horford offensive rebound
Al Horford misses two point tip layup
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
39-33
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Dru Smith blocks Derrick White's two point driving layup
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
39-33
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
39-33
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Thomas Bryant misses three point pullup jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Payton Pritchard personal foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
39-31
+3
Dru Smith makes three point jump shot (Thomas Bryant assists)
39-28
+3
Payton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
30-28
Al Horford defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Thomas Bryant makes two point driving dunk (Dru Smith assists)
30-25
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Derrick White, Oshae Brissett, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
End of 1st Quarter.
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)
+2
Oshae Brissett makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)
28-25
Dru Smith personal foul (Loose ball) (Oshae Brissett draws the foul)
Celtics offensive rebound
Al Horford misses two point turnaround hook shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Thomas Bryant misses two point tip layup
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Dru Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot
Oshae Brissett turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Thomas Bryant, Tyler Herro, Dru Smith)
Al Horford turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
28-23
Heat delay of game violation
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Thomas Bryant, Tyler Herro, Dru Smith)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)
28-23
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Oshae Brissett, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Celtics offensive rebound
Oshae Brissett misses two point putback layup
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Oshae Brissett, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Thomas Bryant, Dru Smith)
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
26-20
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Dru Smith misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point driving finger roll layup
Al Horford defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point fadeaway jump shot
26-18
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
26-16
Kevin Love shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point putback layup
26-15
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Sam Hauser misses three point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-13
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Sam Hauser, Oshae Brissett, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-13
Jrue Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Dru Smith)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)
24-13
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot
24-13
Jrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)
24-13
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point bank jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Al Horford blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point driving layup
16-13
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-11
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot
15-11
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
15-11
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Kevin Love assists)
15-8
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
11-8
Jrue Holiday kicked ball violation
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point running layup
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running pullup jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot
11-8
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
11-8
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot
11-5
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point putback layup
Derrick White offensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point driving layup
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point driving layup
5-5
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point cutting layup
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point driving layup
Derrick White defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot
5-3
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Jrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
5-3
Bam Adebayo vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Derrick White gains possession)
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 14 | 6 | 3 |
| G | 7 | K. Lowry | 13 | 7 | 5 |
| F | 42 | K. Love | 9 | 9 | 2 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 28 | 6 | 6 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 27 | 7 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 9 | D. White | 28 | 6 | 3 |
| F | 7 | J. Brown | 27 | 6 | 1 |
| G | 4 | J. Holiday | 17 | 10 | 7 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 22 | 8 | 5 |
| C-F | 42 | A. Horford | 0 | 10 | 2 |
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Heat vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Celtics
- Date: Friday, October 27, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +290, Celtics -350
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 22%
- Celtics: 78%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 105-114 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 22%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at TD Garden on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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