- Predictions
Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Mavericks NBA game on May 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
101
105
May 11, 7:30PM American Airlines Center
May 11, 7:30PM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 23 | 29 | 26 | 23 | 101 |
Mavericks | 26 | 25 | 31 | 23 | 105 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
1%
99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 23 | 29 | 26 | 23 | 101 |
Mavericks | 26 | 25 | 31 | 23 | 105 |
Q4 00:01 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:09 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:11 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:43 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:13 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:18 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-105
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-104
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-104
Mavericks turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
99-104
Derrick Jones Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. (Luka Doncic gains possession)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-102
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-102
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
97-102
Thunder turnover
Mavericks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
97-100
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-99
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-100
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
95-98
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-97
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-98
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder 60 second timeout
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-96
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
92-95
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Cason Wallace offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-95
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
90-94
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
89-94
Thunder violation
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
89-92
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks personal foul
Jalen Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-92
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
85-92
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
83-92
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
83-90
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
83-88
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
81-88
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-84
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
81-84
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks lineup change (Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-84
Luguentz Dort misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
78-84
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-79
Mavericks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
76-79
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
74-79
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-76
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
74-76
Mavericks lineup change (Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
72-76
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
72-74
Thunder 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
70-74
Josh Green offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
70-71
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
67-71
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-71
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
65-68
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Josh Green offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
P.J. Washington defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-66
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Luguentz Dort)
+2
P.J. Washington makes two point running dunk (Josh Green assists)
65-63
Thunder turnover
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
65-61
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-57
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Dereck Lively II misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Dereck Lively II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-56
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-55
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Derrick Jones Jr.'s two point putback layup
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
63-55
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
61-55
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
59-55
Mavericks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
56-55
+2
Daniel Gafford makes two point tip dunk
56-55
Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
Jalen Williams blocks Kyrie Irving's two point pullup jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
54-53
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
52-53
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
52-51
End of 1st Half.
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
49-51
Mavericks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-48
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Thunder defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Thunder turnover
Mavericks turnover
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-47
Thunder personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks personal foul
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
45-45
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
43-43
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
Thunder turnover (shot clock violation)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
43-41
Thunder violation
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
43-38
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-38
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-38
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-38
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Josh Giddey)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
36-38
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
36-36
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
34-36
Thunder 60 second timeout
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
34-34
Kyrie Irving offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks offensive rebound
Thunder personal foul
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
34-31
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dereck Lively II)
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks violation
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
29-31
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
29-29
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
27-29
Mavericks turnover
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-29
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
23-29
Mavericks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-26
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Thunder personal foul
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-25
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-26
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
20-24
Mavericks offensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point bank jump shot
Derrick Jones Jr. offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Josh Green turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Tim Hardaway Jr., Derrick Jones Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Isaiah Joe, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-24
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Dante Exum, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace)
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Mavericks turnover
Dante Exum defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
15-22
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-20
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-20
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Dante Exum, Josh Green, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
13-20
P.J. Washington offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Dante Exum offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-18
+1
Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-18
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
11-18
Thunder violation
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace)
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Dante Exum, Josh Green, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II)
Dereck Lively II defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Dereck Lively II offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Kyrie Irving defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-15
Mavericks personal foul
Dereck Lively II turnover (offensive foul)
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Mavericks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-15
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
7-15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-13
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
5-13
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
5-13
Mavericks offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Instant replay
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-11
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Thunder turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-8
Thunder personal foul
+1
Derrick Jones Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-9
Thunder personal foul
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
5-6
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
5-4
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
0-2
Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (P.J. Washington, Luka Doncic, Daniel Gafford, Kyrie Irving, Derrick Jones Jr.)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Luguentz Dort)
(Luguentz Dort gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 7 | C. Holmgren | 13 | 8 | 3 |
| G | 2 | S. Gilgeous-Alexander | 31 | 9 | 6 |
| F | 8 | J. Williams | 16 | 6 | 8 |
| G | 21 | A. Wiggins | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| F | 6 | J. Williams | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 77 | L. Doncic | 22 | 15 | 5 |
| G-F | 10 | T. Hardaway Jr. | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 55 | D. Jones Jr. | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| F | 25 | P. Washington | 27 | 6 | 2 |
| G | 11 | K. Irving | 22 | 5 | 7 |
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Thunder vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Mavericks
- Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder +110, Mavericks -120
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 43%
- Mavericks: 57%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 107-109 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 43%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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