- Predictions
Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Celtics NBA game on May 1, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
84
118
May 1, 11:30PM TD Garden
May 1, 11:30PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 23 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 84 |
Celtics | 41 | 27 | 30 | 20 | 118 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 23 | 23 | 20 | 18 | 84 |
Celtics | 41 | 27 | 30 | 20 | 118 |
Q4 00:24 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Haywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot
Q4 1:27 Oshae Brissett makes two point putback layup
Q4 1:29 Oshae Brissett misses two point cutting layup
Q4 1:51 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:31 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Xavier Tillman blocks Delon Wright's two point driving layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Celtics turnover
End of 4th Quarter.
Celtics personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
83-118
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
84-118
Celtics turnover
Celtics 60 second timeout
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
81-118
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Oshae Brissett makes two point putback layup
81-116
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Oshae Brissett misses two point cutting layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
81-114
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
79-114
Thomas Bryant turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Xavier Tillman defensive rebound
Xavier Tillman blocks Delon Wright's two point driving layup
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
79-112
Oshae Brissett offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Svi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
79-110
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics personal foul
Svi Mykhailiuk turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
Jaden Springer defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Oshae Brissett misses two point driving layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-110
Celtics personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Patty Mills, Thomas Bryant, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jaden Springer, Xavier Tillman, Oshae Brissett, Svi Mykhailiuk)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
75-110
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-107
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
73-107
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-105
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
71-105
Heat turnover
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Payton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-102
Payton Pritchard misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Jaden Springer, Xavier Tillman, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Thomas Bryant, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Jaden Springer, Luke Kornet, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-101
Celtics turnover
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-101
Thomas Bryant misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday, Svi Mykhailiuk)
Celtics personal foul
Celtics turnover
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith misses three point running pullup jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point hook shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
68-101
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-98
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday)
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
66-98
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Delon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-96
+1
Delon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-96
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
64-96
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
64-93
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-91
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
62-93
Celtics turnover
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics offensive rebound
Derrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-91
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
60-91
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-88
Celtics personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
58-88
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
56-88
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Celtics personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-86
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-86
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics personal foul
Heat violation
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
54-86
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
54-84
Celtics personal foul
Jayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-84
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
50-84
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
50-82
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
48-82
Derrick White defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
48-80
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
48-78
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 3 of 3
46-78
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 3
46-78
Derrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
46-76
Heat 60 second timeout
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
46-73
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-70
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-71
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot
Heat personal foul
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-69
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-68
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-68
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-67
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-68
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 1
42-66
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
41-66
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Jump ball. (Derrick White gains possession)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Delon Wright misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
41-64
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Luke Kornet, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Celtics 60 second timeout
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-61
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-62
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
41-60
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Luke Kornet, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Jrue Holiday turnover (inbound)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-60
Heat personal foul
+1
Payton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-59
+1
Payton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-60
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Patty Mills, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-58
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Al Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-58
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
35-57
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
33-57
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
32-55
Celtics personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
33-55
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics turnover
Heat turnover
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
30-55
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson)
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-55
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
25-55
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Jrue Holiday makes three point jump shot
25-52
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
25-49
Heat 60 second timeout
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
25-47
Heat personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
25-45
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
23-45
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jovic misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
23-43
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Jrue Holiday)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
23-41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-38
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-38
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
20-38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-35
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
18-35
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-32
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
16-32
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Celtics offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-29
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
16-28
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-24
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-25
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-23
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
16-23
Celtics personal foul
Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Luke Kornet, Derrick White)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 1
16-22
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
16-21
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
13-21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-18
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
11-18
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
11-15
Heat 60 second timeout
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
11-13
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
11-11
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
9-11
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-9
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-9
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
5-9
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-7
Celtics personal foul
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
2-7
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot
2-5
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-2
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-2
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Nikola Jovic)
(Derrick White gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| G | 4 | D. Wright | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 88 | P. Mills | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| C-F | 31 | T. Bryant | 10 | 3 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 11 | P. Pritchard | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| F-C | 26 | X. Tillman | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| G-F | 50 | S. Mykhailiuk | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 44 | J. Springer | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| F-G | 12 | O. Brissett | 4 | 3 | 0 |
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Heat vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Celtics
- Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -13.5
- Total (Over/Under): 201.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +675, Celtics -950
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 16%
- Celtics: 84%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 95-107 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 16%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 84%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at TD Garden on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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