- Predictions
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Heat NBA game on April 27, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
104
84
Apr 27, 10PM Kaseya Center
Apr 27, 10PM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 21 | 42 | 24 | 17 | 104 |
Heat | 12 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 84 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 21 | 42 | 24 | 17 | 104 |
Heat | 12 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 84 |
Q4 00:28 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:45 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Thomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot
Q4 2:18 Patty Mills misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 2:52 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:43 Heat misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Celtics turnover
Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Oshae Brissett defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-84
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Svi Mykhailiuk, Oshae Brissett, Sam Hauser)
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-84
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
102-84
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Thomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot
104-84
Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
Patty Mills misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Patty Mills, Nikola Jovic, Thomas Bryant, Orlando Robinson)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Celtics 60 second timeout
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
102-79
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
100-79
Heat personal foul
Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-77
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
99-77
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-75
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-75
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-75
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-73
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-70
Celtics personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
97-71
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
97-68
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
95-68
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
93-67
Celtics personal foul
+1
Patty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 1
93-68
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
93-64
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Patty Mills, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Celtics personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Al Horford makes two point putback layup
95-68
Al Horford offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point driving layup
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
89-64
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-61
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-61
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Patty Mills, Nikola Jovic, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 1
87-61
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
86-61
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
86-59
+2
Nikola Jovic makes two point driving layup
86-59
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
83-57
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Sam Hauser)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
80-57
Heat personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Thomas Bryant, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
78-57
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
76-57
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
76-55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
74-55
Jump ball. Jaime Jaquez Jr. vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Nikola Jovic gains possession)
Heat defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Kristaps Porzingis's two point fadeaway jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
74-53
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-53
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
72-51
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
72-48
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat personal foul
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Celtics offensive rebound
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-48
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving reverse layup
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-45
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
70-43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
68-43
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
68-41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
66-41
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
66-39
Celtics offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Derrick White misses three point pullup jump shot
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 3
62-39
Celtics offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 3
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 3
63-39
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
61-39
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-37
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
61-36
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Derrick White offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point running layup
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
59-36
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
57-36
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
54-36
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
54-33
Celtics personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-32
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-33
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Derrick White offensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
52-31
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
50-31
Heat personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
48-31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-30
Celtics personal foul
Celtics personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
45-31
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-28
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-28
Heat turnover
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)
Celtics personal foul
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point putback layup
44-28
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
41-28
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-24
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-25
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
41-23
Celtics personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-22
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-23
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
39-21
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-21
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point putback layup
41-23
Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-19
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
35-16
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 3
31-16
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 3
32-16
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 3
33-16
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Kristaps Porzingis, Sam Hauser)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-16
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-14
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
30-12
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
27-12
Heat turnover
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
24-12
Heat offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-14
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
21-12
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat turnover
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-12
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
19-10
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
17-10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
17-8
Haywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday, Sam Hauser)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
14-8
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving layup
Celtics turnover
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
14-6
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-6
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Luke Kornet, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)
Heat personal foul
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point tip dunk
12-3
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
10-3
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
8-3
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
5-3
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Derrick White turnover (out of bounds step)
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Nikola Jovic blocks Jaylen Brown's two point hook shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
3-2
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
3-3
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
3-0
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Derrick White offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Kristaps Porzingis)
(Tyler Herro gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C-F | 40 | L. Kornet | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| F-G | 12 | O. Brissett | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 11 | P. Pritchard | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 30 | S. Hauser | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| G-F | 50 | S. Mykhailiuk | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C-F | 31 | T. Bryant | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| G | 88 | P. Mills | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 15 | 8 | 1 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| C | 25 | O. Robinson | 0 | 1 | 1 |
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Celtics vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Heat
- Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -9.5
- Total (Over/Under): 205.5
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -430, Heat +340
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 77%
- Heat: 23%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 108-99 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 77%, while the Heat have a win probability of 23%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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