Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Celtics NBA game on April 24, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
101
Apr 24, 11PM TD Garden
Apr 24, 11PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 28 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 111 |
Celtics | 27 | 34 | 18 | 22 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 28 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 111 |
Celtics | 27 | 34 | 18 | 22 | 101 |
Q4 00:28 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Celtics makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:57 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Celtics misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Heat makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-101
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-101
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
109-101
Heat 60 second timeout
Celtics personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
108-99
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
109-99
Jaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-99
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics defensive rebound
Jump ball. (Jaylen Brown gains possession)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-97
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
107-98
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
107-96
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-96
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-95
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-96
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
102-94
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-91
Celtics personal foul
Celtics turnover
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Celtics turnover
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
100-91
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
97-91
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
97-89
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
94-88
Heat personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 1
94-89
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-86
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
92-86
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-83
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
90-83
Celtics 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-81
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday)
Celtics personal foul
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
88-81
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-79
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Delon Wright offensive rebound
Delon Wright misses two point tip layup
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Duncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)
Heat personal foul
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
85-79
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
85-77
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
82-77
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
Celtics personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-74
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-75
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
82-73
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Al Horford misses two point turnaround hook shot
Heat personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
82-70
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-70
Celtics 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-70
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Tyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Kristaps Porzingis, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
75-70
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
72-70
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-67
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-67
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
67-67
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
67-65
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics turnover
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-65
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
62-65
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Derrick White blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-62
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-63
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
62-61
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
61-61
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Celtics turnover
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Celtics lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Celtics turnover
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
58-61
Nikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
58-59
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
55-59
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
55-56
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
55-53
Celtics personal foul
+1
Delon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-50
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
+1
Delon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-50
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point driving layup
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-50
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
52-50
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
52-48
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
49-48
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-46
Heat personal foul
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-45
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
47-46
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-44
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
45-44
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-44
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
40-44
Heat violation
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
40-42
Celtics turnover
Sam Hauser defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point tip dunk
37-42
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-40
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-40
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
35-40
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright)
Celtics lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-38
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Celtics personal foul
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
32-38
Celtics personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-35
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-35
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
30-35
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
30-32
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
28-32
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Al Horford blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving floating jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
28-30
Heat turnover
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Instant replay
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-26
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-27
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Celtics personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-25
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
27-25
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Al Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-23
Al Horford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Sam Hauser, Al Horford, Jrue Holiday)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
27-22
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
24-22
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Duncan Robinson, Delon Wright, Haywood Highsmith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday)
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Haywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
24-20
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
21-20
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
21-18
Celtics turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
18-18
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
18-16
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
15-16
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
15-14
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point tip layup
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-14
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)
Jaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics lineup change (Payton Pritchard, Kristaps Porzingis, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
9-14
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
9-11
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-9
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
7-9
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
7-6
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
4-6
Heat personal foul
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-4
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
3-4
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
3-2
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-2
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point driving hook shot
Celtics lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Derrick White)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
(Jayson Tatum gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 24 | 5 | 14 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 16 | C. Martin | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 21 | 10 | 2 |
| F | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 14 | 2 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 4 | J. Holiday | 9 | 3 | 2 |
| G | 11 | P. Pritchard | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| F | 7 | J. Brown | 33 | 8 | 1 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 28 | 8 | 3 |
| G | 9 | D. White | 13 | 1 | 4 |
Game Prediction Article
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Heat vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Celtics
- Date: Wednesday, April 24, 2024
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -14.5
- Total (Over/Under): 205.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +800, Celtics -1200
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 13%
- Celtics: 87%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 96-110 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 13%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at TD Garden on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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