- Predictions
Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Celtics NBA game on April 21, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
94
114
Apr 21, 5PM TD Garden
Apr 21, 5PM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 21 | 24 | 14 | 35 | 94 |
Celtics | 26 | 34 | 31 | 23 | 114 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 21 | 24 | 14 | 35 | 94 |
Celtics | 26 | 34 | 31 | 23 | 114 |
Q4 00:15 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:09 Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 2:52 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:36 Celtics makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-113
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-114
Heat turnover
Celtics defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
Jaylen Brown technical foul (Double)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-111
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-112
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-109
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-110
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-108
Heat personal foul
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-107
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-108
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
93-106
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
90-106
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
88-106
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
88-103
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
85-103
Celtics personal foul
Jayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
82-103
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point tip layup
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
79-103
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
77-103
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-101
Celtics turnover
Celtics personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-101
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics turnover
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
73-101
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
70-101
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Caleb Martin)
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-99
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
68-99
Heat personal foul
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
68-96
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-96
Celtics personal foul
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
62-96
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
62-93
Derrick White turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
59-93
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
59-91
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
59-89
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
57-89
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)
Jump ball. Jaylen Brown (Derrick White gains possession)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
57-86
Payton Pritchard defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
57-86
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
57-84
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Instant replay
Celtics challenge timeout
Nikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
57-82
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-82
Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
57-80
Al Horford defensive rebound
Nikola Jovic misses two point driving layup
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
57-77
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point driving layup
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
57-74
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
54-77
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
54-74
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
54-71
Derrick White defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
54-68
Heat turnover
Derrick White turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
54-66
Celtics turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
52-66
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-66
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
47-66
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
47-63
Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-60
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-60
Celtics personal foul
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
43-60
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
43-58
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
41-58
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
41-55
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
38-55
Celtics personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-52
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-52
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin)
Celtics turnover
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
36-52
Heat turnover
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
36-50
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-50
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
32-50
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-48
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-48
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-47
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-48
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
30-46
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point hook shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
30-44
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
30-42
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
30-39
+2
Payton Pritchard makes two point driving reverse layup
27-39
Payton Pritchard offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-37
Heat personal foul
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-36
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-37
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
25-35
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)
Haywood Highsmith offensive foul
Haywood Highsmith turnover (offensive foul)
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
25-32
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kevin Love makes two point tip layup
25-29
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
23-29
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-26
End of 1st Quarter.
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-26
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
19-26
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Sam Hauser offensive rebound
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
17-26
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
14-26
Celtics lineup change (Sam Hauser, Jrue Holiday, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
Heat turnover
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-23
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (Derrick White gains possession)
Celtics lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Delon Wright, Duncan Robinson)
Celtics offensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith blocks Al Horford's two point driving layup
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Celtics turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-23
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
10-23
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
10-20
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Delon Wright)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-17
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Celtics personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jovic blocks Jaylen Brown's two point running layup
Al Horford defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Celtics offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo)
Heat personal foul
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-17
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Celtics personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-17
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
6-17
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-17
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
2-17
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Celtics misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-14
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-14
Heat turnover
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
0-12
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-9
Heat 60 second timeout
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-7
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
0-5
Derrick White defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Jaylen Brown makes three point jump shot
0-3
Jayson Tatum offensive rebound
Celtics misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Jaylen Brown, Kristaps Porzingis, Derrick White, Jrue Holiday, Jayson Tatum)
(Jaylen Brown gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 4 | D. Wright | 17 | 1 | 3 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 11 | 4 | 4 |
| F | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 16 | 4 | 4 |
| G | 16 | C. Martin | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 24 | 6 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 7 | J. Brown | 17 | 8 | 3 |
| C | 8 | K. Porzingis | 18 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 4 | J. Holiday | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 23 | 10 | 10 |
| G | 9 | D. White | 20 | 3 | 4 |
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Heat vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Celtics
- Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -14
- Total (Over/Under): 209
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +750, Celtics -1200
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 14%
- Celtics: 86%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 98-112 Celtics.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 14%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 86%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at TD Garden on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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