- Predictions
Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Thunder NBA game on April 12, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
107
125
Apr 13, 12AM Paycom Center
Apr 13, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 34 | 18 | 31 | 24 | 107 |
Thunder | 41 | 28 | 26 | 30 | 125 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 34 | 18 | 31 | 24 | 107 |
Thunder | 41 | 28 | 26 | 30 | 125 |
Q4 00:32 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:38 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Bucks makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:03 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Bucks makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Stoppage (Other)
Thunder turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
100-113
MarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
98-113
MarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
95-113
Thunder turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
93-113
Thunder turnover
Olivier Sarr defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-113
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
91-111
TyTy Washington Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Thunder turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
89-111
Chris Livingston offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-111
Bucks personal foul
Andre Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Bucks lineup change (TyTy Washington Jr., Chris Livingston, MarJon Beauchamp, Ryan Rollins, Thanasis Antetokounmpo)
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Lindy Waters III, Mike Muscala, Olivier Sarr, Aaron Wiggins)
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-108
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
87-105
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
87-102
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
84-102
Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Lindy Waters III, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder 60 second timeout
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
84-99
Thunder turnover
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Lindy Waters III defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
82-99
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
82-97
Bucks personal foul
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Gordon Hayward, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
80-96
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Lindy Waters III, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-97
Thanasis Antetokounmpo turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
80-94
Bucks personal foul
Thunder 60 second timeout
Bucks personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 1
80-95
Bucks lineup change (TyTy Washington Jr., Chris Livingston, Andre Jackson Jr., MarJon Beauchamp, Thanasis Antetokounmpo)
Bucks turnover
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Thunder personal foul
+1
Danilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-92
+1
Danilo Gallinari makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-92
Bucks lineup change (TyTy Washington Jr., Danilo Gallinari, Chris Livingston, Andre Jackson Jr., MarJon Beauchamp)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
78-91
Danilo Gallinari personal foul (Take) (Isaiah Joe draws the foul)
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
78-92
Bucks turnover
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Danilo Gallinari defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Andre Jackson Jr. misses two point running layup
Thunder turnover
Chet Holmgren shooting foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)
Bucks offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Chris Livingston draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Danilo Gallinari turnover
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
70-87
End of 3rd Quarter.
+2
TyTy Washington Jr. makes two point jump shot
71-85
Chris Livingston defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
69-85
Bucks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-84
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-85
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Chris Livingston defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Joe turnover
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Danilo Gallinari draws the foul)
+2
Danilo Gallinari makes two point jump shot
66-83
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
64-83
Pat Connaughton misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot (Isaiah Joe assists)
64-80
Isaiah Joe personal foul (Pat Connaughton draws the foul)
Bucks offensive rebound
Pat Connaughton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Gordon Hayward turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
64-77
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
62-77
+2
Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot
59-77
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Danilo Gallinari, Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Danilo Gallinari, Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Gordon Hayward)
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
59-75
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Danilo Gallinari misses three point jump shot
Patrick Beverley defensive rebound
Gordon Hayward misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Gordon Hayward)
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Danilo Gallinari, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Jae Crowder's three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot
Bucks turnover
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis turnover
Malik Beasley defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Malik Beasley makes two point jump shot
52-65
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
50-65
Jaylin Williams personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Thunder defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks turnover (shot clock violation)
Pat Connaughton misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-65
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
48-62
Bucks personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Danilo Gallinari, Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
48-63
Bucks turnover
+2
Jaylin Williams makes two point floating jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
59-75
+2
Malik Beasley makes two point jump shot
48-60
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
46-60
Bobby Portis turnover
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-57
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Gordon Hayward, Aaron Wiggins)
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
46-55
Bucks turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
46-53
Chet Holmgren turnover
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses two point jump shot
+2
Gordon Hayward makes two point jump shot
43-53
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Danilo Gallinari misses two point jump shot
+1
Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-51
Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Patrick Beverley personal foul (Chet Holmgren draws the foul)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
43-50
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Danilo Gallinari, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Danilo Gallinari, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
43-47
Isaiah Joe misses three point jump shot
+3
Jae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)
43-47
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
38-47
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+2
Chet Holmgren makes two point alley-oop dunk (Cason Wallace assists)
36-47
Bucks turnover
Patrick Beverley defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Patrick Beverley turnover
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Patrick Beverley offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
36-45
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Patrick Beverley makes two point jump shot
36-43
Jalen Williams turnover (Patrick Beverley steals)
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Jump ball. Chet Holmgren vs. Bobby Portis (Jalen Williams gains possession)
Thunder personal foul
Instant replay (Challenge)
Jalen Williams blocks Bobby Portis's three point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Thunder 60 second timeout
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Patrick Beverley misses two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
34-43
Bucks personal foul
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-40
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-41
Bucks turnover
End of 1st Quarter.
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Pat Connaughton)
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
Thunder personal foul
+1
Patrick Beverley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-39
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Andre Jackson Jr., Bobby Portis, Pat Connaughton)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren)
+1
Patrick Beverley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-39
Bucks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-38
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-39
Bucks personal foul
Isaiah Joe offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
32-37
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
30-37
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
27-37
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
27-34
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-34
Bucks turnover
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
25-32
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
25-30
Bucks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-29
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-30
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Isaiah Joe, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
23-28
Thunder 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Andre Jackson Jr., Bobby Portis, Pat Connaughton)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
23-26
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+3
Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot
20-26
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
20-22
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Gordon Hayward)
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams, Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams)
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-23
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
20-21
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-21
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Malik Beasley defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point running pullup jump shot
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
17-19
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
17-17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
15-17
Thunder personal foul
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-15
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-15
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Jae Crowder, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton)
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Gordon Hayward offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
13-15
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Jae Crowder offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Jae Crowder, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
11-15
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Chet Holmgren blocks Khris Middleton's two point driving layup
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
11-12
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
11-10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-10
Gordon Hayward offensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
9-8
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
9-6
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
7-6
Thunder personal foul
Bobby Portis technical foul (Double)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
7-4
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Thunder misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
5-4
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-3
+1
Chet Holmgren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-4
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-2
Thunder offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
2-0
Bucks lineup change (Brook Lopez, Patrick Beverley, Bobby Portis, Khris Middleton, Malik Beasley)
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Gordon Hayward, Chet Holmgren)
(Bobby Portis gains possession)
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Bucks vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Thunder
- Date: Friday, April 12, 2024
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -13.5
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +625, Thunder -820
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 15%
- Thunder: 85%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 106-118 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 15%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 85%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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