- Predictions
Pelicans vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Heat NBA game on March 22, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
88
Mar 23, 12AM Kaseya Center
Mar 23, 12AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 21 | 25 | 30 | 35 | 111 |
Heat | 20 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 88 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pelicans | 21 | 25 | 30 | 35 | 111 |
Heat | 20 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 88 |
Q4 00:34 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Jordan Hawkins misses two point running dunk
Q4 00:42 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Pelicans makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:56 Pelicans makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Pelicans turnover (shot clock violation)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
111-88
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Jordan Hawkins misses two point running dunk
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
113-85
Heat turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
111-85
Jose Alvarado offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
108-85
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
108-82
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jamal Cain offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-82
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
105-80
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
103-80
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Cody Zeller defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Cody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
+1
Cody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-78
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Jose Alvarado, Matt Ryan, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Cody Zeller)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-78
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
102-76
Pelicans 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Jamal Cain, Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Orlando Robinson, Haywood Highsmith)
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Terry Rozier offensive rebound
Terry Rozier misses two point tip layup
Heat misses two point jump shot
Cole Swider defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Terry Rozier misses two point tip layup
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
99-76
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-76
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
96-75
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-75
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
94-72
Heat personal foul
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
92-72
Jose Alvarado offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
89-72
Heat lineup change (Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
89-69
Heat 60 second timeout
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Cole Swider defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
87-69
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
87-67
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Delon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-67
Delon Wright misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
84-66
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans personal foul
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
82-66
Heat 60 second timeout
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
80-66
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
78-66
Pelicans offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
76-66
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-65
+1
Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
73-66
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith)
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-63
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
73-64
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
73-61
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
71-61
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
71-58
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Naji Marshall)
Heat offensive rebound
Pelicans personal foul
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
69-58
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
66-58
Heat personal foul
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-55
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)
+1
Trey Murphy III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-55
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
64-55
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
64-53
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
64-50
CJ McCollum offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Pelicans defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-50
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-50
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
59-50
Stoppage (Other)
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
59-47
Heat turnover
Heat offensive rebound
Herbert Jones blocks Jimmy Butler's two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)
Pelicans personal foul
Zion Williamson turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
57-47
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
57-45
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat turnover
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
54-45
Heat personal foul
+1
Herbert Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 1
55-45
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Zion Williamson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
52-45
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Trey Murphy III misses two point driving layup
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Larry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-45
Larry Nance Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
48-45
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-44
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
46-45
End of 1st Half.
Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
46-41
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
46-42
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-38
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-39
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
46-37
Pelicans personal foul
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-36
Heat lineup change (Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-37
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
44-35
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Zion Williamson offensive rebound
Pelicans turnover
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
42-35
Pelicans turnover
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier)
Heat offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Delon Wright defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
42-32
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-32
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
39-30
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
36-30
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III)
Pelicans turnover
Herbert Jones defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Jose Alvarado misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pelicans offensive rebound
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum)
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum)
+1
Jose Alvarado makes regular free throw 2 of 2
36-27
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-27
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
35-24
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Delon Wright, Cole Swider, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler)
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
33-24
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
30-24
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
28-24
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
25-24
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
25-22
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
23-22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
21-22
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Larry Nance Jr. offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Jonas Valanciunas, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Naji Marshall)
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Caleb Martin, Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
21-20
Heat turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
19-20
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
16-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
13-20
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Herbert Jones, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)
Pelicans turnover
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Jose Alvarado defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Delon Wright, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
13-18
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin, Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
Heat turnover
+3
Pelicans makes three point jump shot
10-18
Pelicans personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
7-17
Pelicans lineup change (Jose Alvarado, Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy III, Naji Marshall)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-18
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
CJ McCollum defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
7-16
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
5-16
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
4-14
Heat personal foul
+1
Larry Nance Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
5-14
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-14
Pelicans turnover
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Pelicans 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
2-12
Pelicans lineup change (Larry Nance Jr., Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
Pelicans turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-9
+2
Pelicans makes two point jump shot
2-7
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
0-7
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-4
Pelicans turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
0-2
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Patty Mills offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pelicans turnover
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Trey Murphy III defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pelicans misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Nikola Jovic, Jimmy Butler)
Pelicans lineup change (Jonas Valanciunas, Zion Williamson, Herbert Jones, CJ McCollum, Trey Murphy III)
(CJ McCollum gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 8 | N. Marshall | 9 | 5 | 1 |
| G | 15 | J. Alvarado | 9 | 4 | 2 |
| G | 5 | H. Jones | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 3 | C. McCollum | 20 | 4 | 4 |
| C | 17 | J. Valanciunas | 4 | 7 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 4 | D. Wright | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| F-G | 11 | J. Jaquez Jr. | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| C-F | 31 | T. Bryant | 8 | 3 | 0 |
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Pelicans vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pelicans vs. Heat
- Date: Friday, March 22, 2024
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 207.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +120, Heat -142
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pelicans: 39%
- Heat: 61%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 103-106 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 39%, while the Heat have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pelicans vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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