Heat vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Thunder NBA game on March 8, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Heat
100
107
Mar 9, 1AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Mar 9, 1AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Heat
29 28 16 27 100
Thunder
27 20 30 30 107
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
HeatMIA
Win %
<1%
>99%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
29 28 16 27 100
Thunder
27 20 30 30 107
Q4 00:19 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:13 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:50 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:04 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:15
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q4 00:19
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander kicked ball violation
Q4 00:23
Heat personal foul
Q4 00:23
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 00:23
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:23
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-107
Q4 00:23
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 00:23
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 00:23
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q4 00:23
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Patty Mills, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q4 00:28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 00:31
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
100-106
Q4 00:45
Heat personal foul
Q4 00:45
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q4 00:45
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q4 00:50
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q4 00:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:13
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
100-104
Q4 1:25
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q4 1:25
Thunder personal foul
Q4 1:36
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
97-104
Q4 1:47
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
97-101
Q4 1:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
95-101
Q4 2:11
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:11
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-99
Q4 2:11
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-99
Q4 2:11
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q4 2:29
Heat personal foul
Q4 2:29
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-98
Q4 2:29
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-99
Q4 2:29
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 2:47
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 2:50
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
93-97
Q4 2:50
Thunder personal foul
Q4 2:50
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 2:50
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams)
Q4 3:04
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
91-97
Q4 3:22
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
91-95
Q4 3:41
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q4 3:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
88-95
Q4 3:41
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 3:41
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 3:41
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q4 3:42
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:08
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-93
Q4 4:15
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q4 4:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:33
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q4 4:37
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:01
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-93
Q4 5:12
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 5:15
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:39
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q4 5:41
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:01
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q4 6:03
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:17
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 6:17
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q4 6:17
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams)
Q4 6:17
Heat violation
Q4 6:19
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-91
Q4 6:21
Luguentz Dort offensive rebound
Q4 6:24
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q4 6:38
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:58
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
86-89
Q4 7:07
Heat personal foul
Q4 7:16
Thunder personal foul
Q4 7:16
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 7:16
Instant replay
Q4 7:16
Heat lineup change (Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q4 7:16
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins)
Q4 7:16
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 7:16
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 7:16
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-87
Q4 7:21
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q4 7:23
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:37
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-87
Q4 7:50
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q4 7:52
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:57
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q4 8:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:19
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
83-87
Q4 8:30
Heat personal foul
Q4 8:40
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
85-87
Q4 8:45
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q4 8:46
Aaron Wiggins blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup
Q4 9:10
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
81-84
Q4 9:26
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q4 9:26
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 9:27
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point putback layup
81-82
Q4 9:27
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q4 9:28
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:34
Thunder turnover
Q4 9:44
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
79-82
Q4 10:03
Thunder personal foul
Q4 10:03
Jalen Williams turnover (offensive foul)
Q4 10:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
77-82
Q4 10:36
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
75-82
Q4 10:43
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q4 10:45
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 10:58
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q4 11:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:07
Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
Q4 11:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-80
Q4 11:43
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
73-80
Q4 11:46
Jalen Williams offensive rebound
Q4 11:48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q3 00:01
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q3 00:03
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:19
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q3 00:22
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:31
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 00:34
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
76-77
Q3 00:34
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:49
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
73-77
Q3 00:59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
73-75
Q3 1:15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
71-75
Q3 1:31
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
71-73
Q3 1:55
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
69-73
Q3 2:06
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:22
Thunder personal foul
Q3 2:22
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
68-70
Q3 2:22
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-70
Q3 2:37
Heat personal foul
Q3 2:37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
67-69
Q3 2:37
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-70
Q3 2:50
Heat turnover
Q3 3:04
Thunder personal foul
Q3 3:04
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort)
Q3 3:04
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)
Q3 3:14
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Q3 3:18
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-68
Q3 3:38
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Q3 3:46
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 3:50
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q3 3:54
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:07
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 4:08
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q3 4:08
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Q3 4:09
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:24
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 4:28
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:40
Heat turnover
Q3 4:50
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 4:50
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:01
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
65-68
Q3 5:11
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q3 5:11
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams)
Q3 5:20
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q3 5:24
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 5:30
Thunder personal foul
Q3 5:30
Thunder violation
Q3 5:45
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-64
Q3 5:45
Heat personal foul
Q3 5:45
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
65-65
Q3 5:45
Thunder lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams)
Q3 5:56
Heat turnover
Q3 5:56
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Q3 6:12
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-62
Q3 6:15
Heat turnover
Q3 6:25
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q3 6:30
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:46
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q3 6:47
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q3 6:49
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:09
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-60
Q3 7:19
Heat turnover
Q3 7:33
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-58
Q3 7:43
Heat personal foul
Q3 7:45
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q3 7:47
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:03
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
65-56
Q3 8:12
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 8:16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Duncan Robinson's two point layup
Q3 8:18
Duncan Robinson turnover (lost ball)
Q3 8:21
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 8:24
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 8:45
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 8:48
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:54
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q3 8:56
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:11
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
65-54
Q3 9:31
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
65-51
Q3 9:47
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q3 9:50
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:01
Thunder personal foul
Q3 10:01
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-51
Q3 10:01
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-51
Q3 10:11
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
60-51
Q3 10:33
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
60-49
Q3 10:44
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q3 10:46
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q3 10:56
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q3 10:59
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
57-49
Q3 11:23
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q3 11:23
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q3 11:31
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Q3 11:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q3 11:38
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q3 11:42
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:00
Thunder offensive rebound
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams)
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q2 00:12
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
57-47
Q2 00:31
Heat personal foul
Q2 00:31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
54-46
Q2 00:31
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q2 00:31
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-47
Q2 00:41
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
54-45
Q2 00:48
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Q2 00:51
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:57
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Q2 00:58
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 1:14
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q2 1:18
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:30
Jimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 1:30
Heat personal foul
Q2 1:50
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 1:50
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q2 1:50
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q2 1:57
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
52-45
Q2 2:10
Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
Q2 2:13
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:15
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q2 2:18
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:26
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 2:29
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:49
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
52-43
Q2 3:05
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 3:07
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:17
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 3:19
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 3:42
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
50-43
Q2 3:53
Thunder personal foul
Q2 3:53
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 3:53
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 3:53
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-40
Q2 3:53
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Haywood Highsmith, Bam Adebayo, Terry Rozier)
Q2 3:58
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q2 4:01
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:10
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:17
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 4:17
Thunder personal foul
Q2 4:25
Heat personal foul
Q2 4:25
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-39
Q2 4:25
+1
Jalen Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-40
Q2 4:25
Thunder lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 4:29
Heat turnover
Q2 4:37
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Q2 4:39
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:44
Jalen Williams defensive rebound
Q2 4:48
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:00
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 5:02
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:17
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-38
Q2 5:32
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
47-38
Q2 5:45
Heat turnover
Q2 6:00
Thunder turnover
Q2 6:13
Heat personal foul
Q2 6:13
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Q2 6:15
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 6:20
Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:37
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
47-35
Q2 6:57
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 6:57
Thunder lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams)
Q2 6:58
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
47-33
Q2 7:03
Thunder turnover
Q2 7:16
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
45-33
Q2 7:30
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q2 7:33
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:49
Thunder defensive rebound
Q2 7:49
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 7:50
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:03
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q2 8:07
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:15
Heat personal foul
Q2 8:19
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q2 8:23
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:28
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q2 8:30
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:53
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-33
Q2 9:13
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
40-33
Q2 9:28
Thunder lineup change (Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q2 9:28
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 9:29
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot
47-33
Q2 9:40
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Q2 9:45
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:59
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
38-31
Q2 10:11
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q2 10:12
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:18
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q2 10:21
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q2 10:34
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
35-31
Q2 10:48
Heat turnover
Q2 10:50
Patty Mills defensive rebound
Q2 10:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:04
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-29
Q2 11:27
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
32-29
Q2 11:45
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-27
Q2 11:45
Thunder personal foul
Q2 11:45
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
32-27
Q1 00:00
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q2 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q1 00:01
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Q1 00:01
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:11
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
29-27
Q1 00:31
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
26-27
Q1 00:42
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q1 00:44
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:59
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-24
Q1 1:14
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q1 1:17
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:27
Heat violation
Q1 1:39
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 1:41
Thunder personal foul
Q1 1:41
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q1 1:41
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 1:41
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 1:41
Heat lineup change (Patty Mills, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)
Q1 1:44
Thunder turnover
Q1 1:58
Heat turnover
Q1 1:58
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)
Q1 2:14
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
23-24
Q1 2:16
Jaylin Williams offensive rebound
Q1 2:21
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 2:38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
23-21
Q1 2:38
Thunder violation
Q1 2:42
Thunder turnover
Q1 3:02
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
21-21
Q1 3:15
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
18-21
Q1 3:20
Gordon Hayward defensive rebound
Q1 3:21
Jaylin Williams blocks Terry Rozier's two point putback layup
Q1 3:22
Cason Wallace defensive rebound
Q1 3:23
Jaylin Williams blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup
Q1 3:27
Thunder turnover
Q1 3:42
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 3:45
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:00
Thunder turnover
Q1 4:07
Thunder personal foul
Q1 4:07
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-19
Q1 4:07
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-19
Q1 4:17
Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 4:17
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 4:20
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:20
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
16-19
Q1 4:26
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:26
Thunder offensive rebound
Q1 4:26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 4:33
Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
Q1 4:36
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:45
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 4:47
Heat personal foul
Q1 4:47
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-16
Q1 4:47
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q1 4:47
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Luguentz Dort, Jaylin Williams)
Q1 4:56
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-15
Q1 5:11
+3
Thunder makes three point jump shot
14-15
Q1 5:19
Thunder lineup change (Isaiah Joe, Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort)
Q1 5:19
Heat personal foul
Q1 5:31
Thunder personal foul
Q1 5:31
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-12
Q1 5:31
Thunder lineup change (Gordon Hayward, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Josh Giddey)
Q1 5:31
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-12
Q1 5:44
Thunder turnover
Q1 5:44
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Terry Rozier)
Q1 6:02
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-12
Q1 6:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-12
Q1 6:29
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:29
Thunder defensive rebound
Q1 6:29
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:57
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
10-10
Q1 7:02
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q1 7:06
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:09
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q1 7:11
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-8
Q1 7:41
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
8-8
Q1 7:45
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 7:47
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 7:58
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q1 8:03
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:11
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
8-6
Q1 8:23
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-6
Q1 8:25
Heat personal foul
Q1 8:27
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 8:39
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Q1 8:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
6-6
Q1 8:39
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 8:39
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
10-12
Q1 8:47
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
6-4
Q1 8:49
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 8:53
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Q1 9:05
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:17
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
4-4
Q1 9:28
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-2
Q1 9:46
+2
Thunder makes two point jump shot
2-2
Q1 10:03
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 10:06
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q1 10:11
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:18
Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
Q1 10:20
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:40
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q1 10:43
Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q1 10:53
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q1 10:56
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:08
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Q1 11:12
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 11:26
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Q1 11:29
Heat misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:44
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Q1 11:48
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Luguentz Dort, Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams)
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier, Jimmy Butler)
Q1 12:00
(Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Heat
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F-G11J. Jaquez Jr.2533
C13B. Adebayo3104
F16C. Martin730
G2T. Rozier753
F22J. Butler1897
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F6J. Williams350
F5L. Dort962
G2S. Gilgeous-Alexander2546
G21A. Wiggins721
G11I. Joe1041

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Heat vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Thunder
  • Date: Friday, March 8, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +300, Thunder -370

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 26%
  • Thunder: 74%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 109-117 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 26%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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