Bucks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Warriors NBA game on March 6, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
90
125
Mar 7, 3AM Chase Center
Mar 7, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 32 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 90 |
Warriors | 40 | 38 | 15 | 32 | 125 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 32 | 26 | 24 | 8 | 90 |
Warriors | 40 | 38 | 15 | 32 | 125 |
Q4 00:17 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:24 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:21 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:05 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:22 Warriors makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
AJ Green turnover (bad pass) (Trayce Jackson-Davis steals)
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Andre Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Lester Quinones defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Lester Quinones defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-125
Lester Quinones defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Danilo Gallinari defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Lester Quinones defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
90-123
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Bucks turnover
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, Andre Jackson Jr., Danilo Gallinari, Thanasis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Lester Quinones, Gui Santos, Jerome Robinson, Dario Saric)
Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, Andre Jackson Jr., Danilo Gallinari, Thanasis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-120
Dario Saric defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
90-118
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Lester Quinones, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Dario Saric)
Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, Pat Connaughton, Andre Jackson Jr., Danilo Gallinari, AJ Green)
Warriors lineup change (Lester Quinones, Moses Moody, Gui Santos, Jerome Robinson, Dario Saric)
Bucks lineup change (MarJon Beauchamp, Pat Connaughton, Andre Jackson Jr., Danilo Gallinari, AJ Green)
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
90-116
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
90-113
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
88-113
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
Bucks turnover
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton, Danilo Gallinari, Brook Lopez, AJ Green)
Warriors turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
88-110
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
85-110
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
85-107
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point tip dunk
85-107
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
85-102
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
83-102
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
81-102
Bucks personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, AJ Green)
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, AJ Green)
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
81-99
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
AJ Green defensive rebound
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
81-97
Bucks 60 second timeout
Patrick Beverley shooting foul
Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
81-95
Bucks turnover
End of 3rd Quarter.
Bucks offensive rebound
Instant replay
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, Chris Paul, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Pat Connaughton, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, AJ Green)
Pat Connaughton misses three point jump shot
Patrick Beverley defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (AJ Green assists)
81-93
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Pat Connaughton, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo, AJ Green)
Warriors personal foul
Jonathan Kuminga turnover (offensive foul)
Instant replay
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
79-93
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
79-91
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Jonathan Kuminga offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Klay Thompson, Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, Chris Paul)
Malik Beasley defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
+1
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-89
Trayce Jackson-Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Patrick Beverley, Pat Connaughton, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
79-88
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
77-88
Bucks 60 second timeout
Chris Paul defensive rebound
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Trayce Jackson-Davis blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point driving layup
Bucks personal foul
Stephen Curry misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Warriors offensive rebound
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-86
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Patrick Beverley, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Damian Lillard turnover (lost ball) (Gary Payton II steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jump ball. Gary Payton II vs. Damian Lillard (Klay Thompson gains possession)
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Patrick Beverley, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Warriors turnover
Bucks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
77-85
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
77-83
Warriors 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Chris Paul)
Warriors turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
74-83
Warriors personal foul
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
75-83
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Chris Paul, Draymond Green)
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point cutting layup
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Malik Beasley blocks Stephen Curry's two point running layup
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
72-83
Warriors defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
72-81
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
70-81
Warriors turnover
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
67-81
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
65-81
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
62-81
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Jonathan Kuminga blocks Brook Lopez's two point putback layup
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Malik Beasley defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-78
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-78
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
60-78
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Bucks defensive rebound
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins)
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez)
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Patrick Beverley, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
58-78
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
56-78
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez)
Bucks personal foul
Bobby Portis turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
56-75
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
56-73
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-73
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-71
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-69
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
53-67
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Brook Lopez)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
53-65
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
50-65
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Stoppage (Blood rule)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-61
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
50-62
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Warriors turnover
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Brook Lopez)
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins)
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
50-60
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
47-60
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
47-58
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
45-58
Bucks personal foul
Bobby Portis turnover (offensive foul)
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins)
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Pat Connaughton, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Warriors turnover
Warriors personal foul
Warriors 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Moses Moody, Chris Paul, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
45-55
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
42-55
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
42-52
Patrick Beverley defensive rebound
Moses Moody misses two point putback layup
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Pat Connaughton blocks Moses Moody's two point layup
Trayce Jackson-Davis defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Trayce Jackson-Davis makes two point tip layup
45-55
Trayce Jackson-Davis offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
+1
Patrick Beverley makes regular free throw 1 of 3
39-50
Patrick Beverley misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Bucks offensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (Malik Beasley, Patrick Beverley, Pat Connaughton, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
+1
Patrick Beverley makes regular free throw 3 of 3
40-50
Warriors turnover
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
38-50
Patrick Beverley defensive rebound
Brandin Podziemski misses two point driving hook shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
35-50
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
33-50
Warriors personal foul
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-48
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
32-48
Bucks turnover
Warriors personal foul
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
32-45
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
32-43
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Warriors offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, Chris Paul, Brandin Podziemski)
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Pat Connaughton, Bobby Portis, Danilo Gallinari, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
32-40
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
29-40
Warriors personal foul
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-37
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Pat Connaughton, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Giannis Antetokounmpo)
Warriors lineup change (Trayce Jackson-Davis, Klay Thompson, Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, Chris Paul)
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-37
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
27-37
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
27-35
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
25-35
Patrick Beverley offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
25-32
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
25-30
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
23-30
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Patrick Beverley defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
23-28
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
21-28
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
19-28
Bucks turnover
Warriors turnover
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Chris Paul, Kevon Looney)
Bucks lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Pat Connaughton, Damian Lillard, Bobby Portis, Brook Lopez)
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point pullup jump shot
25-30
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Jae Crowder misses two point tip layup
Jae Crowder offensive rebound
Jae Crowder misses two point alley-oop layup
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
19-23
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
19-21
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
16-21
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Warriors personal foul
Warriors personal foul
Warriors lineup change (Klay Thompson, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Kevon Looney)
+1
Damian Lillard makes technical free throw 1 of 1
15-18
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Warriors 60 second timeout
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-18
Warriors turnover
Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
14-18
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
14-16
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
12-16
Malik Beasley offensive rebound
+2
Malik Beasley makes two point putback layup
12-14
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
10-14
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
10-12
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
8-12
Bucks turnover
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
8-10
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Warriors makes three point jump shot
8-7
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
8-4
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
5-4
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
5-2
Warriors defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors personal foul
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
5-0
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point tip dunk
8-4
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Warriors misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
2-0
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Malik Beasley, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez)
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins)
(Bucks gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Bucks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Warriors
- Date: Wednesday, March 6, 2024
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 230
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +120, Warriors -136
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 38%
- Warriors: 62%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 113-116 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 38%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Chase Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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