Pistons vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Heat NBA game on March 5, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
110
118
Mar 6, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Mar 6, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 60 | 0 | 28 | 22 | 110 |
Heat | 61 | 0 | 32 | 25 | 118 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pistons | 60 | 0 | 28 | 22 | 110 |
Heat | 61 | 0 | 32 | 25 | 118 |
Q4 00:07 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:16 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:22 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:06 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:54 Heat misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-117
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
110-118
Pistons personal foul
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
110-116
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier, Jalen Duren)
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
108-116
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-113
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
108-111
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat turnover
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons 60 second timeout
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
105-111
Pistons turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
105-108
Heat personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
104-106
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
105-106
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
103-106
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
101-105
Pistons 60 second timeout
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-106
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
100-104
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
101-104
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Caleb Martin)
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
Pistons turnover
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Pistons personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-104
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
98-103
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
98-101
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Thomas Bryant blocks Cade Cunningham's two point driving layup
Jump ball. Cade Cunningham vs. Jaime Jaquez Jr. (Pistons gains possession)
Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-100
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
96-101
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
96-99
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
Heat offensive rebound
Marcus Sasser jump ball violation
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
James Wiseman offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Marcus Sasser defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
94-99
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-99
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Pistons offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Haywood Highsmith blocks Simone Fontecchio's two point layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
91-97
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Evan Fournier makes three point jump shot
96-99
Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Sasser steals)
Pistons personal foul
James Wiseman turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-95
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Thomas Bryant, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Evan Fournier defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
88-93
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-93
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
85-90
Pistons personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Ausar Thompson, Evan Fournier)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-91
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Simone Fontecchio, Ausar Thompson, Evan Fournier, Jalen Duren)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons turnover
Heat turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
85-88
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point layup
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Terry Rozier misses two point driving finger roll layup
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Evan Fournier, Jalen Duren)
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
83-88
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Pistons personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
83-85
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
80-85
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
77-85
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
77-82
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
Pistons offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes technical free throw 1 of 1
75-82
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Nikola Jovic ejected from the game (Other)
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
74-82
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
74-80
Pistons personal foul
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
70-80
Pistons violation
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-80
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
69-80
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-77
Pistons 60 second timeout
Pistons turnover
Heat turnover
Pistons violation
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
69-75
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
69-72
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-68
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-69
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
69-67
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
69-65
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
67-65
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
67-63
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
65-63
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
65-61
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
62-61
Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Heat offensive rebound
Instant replay
Pistons turnover
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
59-61
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
57-61
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-61
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
55-59
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-59
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Pistons 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Jaden Ivey defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
53-57
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
51-57
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
50-55
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-55
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
49-55
Heat personal foul
Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
+1
Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-53
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
48-53
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
46-53
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-53
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
44-51
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
42-51
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
42-48
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
40-48
Heat personal foul
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-45
+1
Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-45
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Simone Fontecchio, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
38-45
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-42
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-43
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Simone Fontecchio, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier, Jalen Duren)
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Pistons personal foul
Heat personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-41
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Isaiah Stewart, Evan Fournier)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Orlando Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-41
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
36-41
Orlando Robinson offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
36-38
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
34-38
Orlando Robinson offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
34-36
Heat turnover
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
30-36
Heat personal foul
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-36
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy Butler, Orlando Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat personal foul
Heat personal foul
Evan Fournier misses technical free throw 1 of 1
James Wiseman offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-36
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
26-34
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-33
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-34
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
24-32
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Nikola Jovic, Orlando Robinson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Pistons lineup change (Marcus Sasser, Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Jaden Ivey, Evan Fournier)
Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
James Wiseman makes two point putback layup
24-29
James Wiseman offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses two point driving layup
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-29
Pistons 60 second timeout
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
22-27
Heat personal foul
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-24
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Nikola Jovic, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Caleb Martin)
Pistons lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, James Wiseman, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
+1
Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-24
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
20-24
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
20-22
James Wiseman defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
18-22
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
16-22
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
16-20
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
14-20
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
14-18
Heat turnover
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
12-18
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
10-18
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
10-15
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-16
Pistons turnover
Pistons personal foul
Nikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-14
Pistons lineup change (James Wiseman, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart)
Heat personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
Jaden Ivey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Pistons offensive rebound
+1
Jaden Ivey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
10-13
Pistons personal foul
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-12
+1
Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-13
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
9-11
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Cade Cunningham turnover (lost ball)
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
9-8
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-8
Pistons misses two point jump shot
+2
Pistons makes two point jump shot
7-6
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
9-11
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
5-4
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses two point jump shot
Pistons personal foul
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-1
Heat personal foul
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-0
+1
Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-0
Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Pistons makes three point jump shot
3-0
Jalen Duren offensive rebound
Pistons misses three point jump shot
Jalen Duren defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic, Terry Rozier)
Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jaden Ivey, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
Jalen Duren vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)
Nikola Jovic technical foul
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 0 | J. Duren | 10 | 7 | 1 |
| G | 2 | C. Cunningham | 12 | 3 | 3 |
| G | 23 | J. Ivey | 11 | 1 | 3 |
| F | 9 | A. Thompson | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 28 | I. Stewart | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| G | 55 | D. Robinson | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 2 | T. Rozier | 6 | 1 | 4 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Game Prediction Article
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Pistons vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Pistons vs. Heat
- Date: Tuesday, March 5, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -8.5
- Total (Over/Under): 215.5
- Moneyline Odds: Pistons +450, Heat -425
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Pistons: 17%
- Heat: 83%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 104-115 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 17%, while the Heat have a win probability of 83%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Pistons vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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