- Predictions
Kings vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Kings vs. Heat NBA game on January 31, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
106
115
Feb 1, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
Feb 1, 12:30AM Kaseya Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 22 | 33 | 29 | 22 | 106 |
Heat | 28 | 31 | 29 | 25 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
16%
84%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings | 22 | 33 | 29 | 22 | 106 |
Heat | 28 | 31 | 29 | 25 | 115 |
Q4 00:29 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:58 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:17 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:12 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Heat makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
106-115
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
104-115
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
102-115
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-112
Kings personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-113
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
102-111
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
99-111
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
96-111
Kings turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
96-108
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Jimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
96-106
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-106
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-106
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
93-106
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-102
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-103
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier)
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
93-101
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
92-99
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, De'Aaron Fox)
Heat personal foul
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier)
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
93-99
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
90-99
Heat personal foul
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Kings personal foul
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
88-99
Kings turnover
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler)
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Domantas Sabonis, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, De'Aaron Fox)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
88-97
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Trey Lyles, Domantas Sabonis, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
Kings 60 second timeout
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)
86-97
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
86-96
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Tyler Herro personal foul (JaVale McGee draws the foul)
Trey Lyles offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
86-93
Heat personal foul
JaVale McGee offensive rebound
JaVale McGee misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
JaVale McGee makes two point tip dunk
86-93
Trey Lyles misses two point layup
Heat turnover
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Trey Lyles, Harrison Barnes, JaVale McGee, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
86-93
Instant replay
Heat violation
Heat 60 second timeout
Kings offensive rebound
Heat turnover
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
84-92
Kings personal foul
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
84-93
End of 3rd Quarter.
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Trey Lyles, Malik Monk, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point pullup jump shot
84-90
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
82-90
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
Kings 60 second timeout
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Trey Lyles, Malik Monk, Keegan Murray, De'Aaron Fox)
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
80-90
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-87
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
80-85
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
78-85
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
78-82
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Keegan Murray, Davion Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Terry Rozier)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-82
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
75-80
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat 60 second timeout
Kings defensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, Davion Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
75-79
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
75-77
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-77
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
72-75
Heat personal foul
+1
Keegan Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-73
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-73
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
70-70
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
70-67
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Kings offensive rebound
+1
Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-67
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
66-67
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point jump shot
66-65
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-64
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-65
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
64-63
Kings misses two point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
62-63
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
62-61
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
60-61
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
60-59
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
57-59
Keegan Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Terry Rozier defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Kings offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
55-59
Kings personal foul
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Kings personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-56
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
52-57
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
51-55
Heat personal foul
+1
Davion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
52-55
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier)
Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
49-55
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Davion Mitchell, De'Aaron Fox)
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Terry Rozier)
Keegan Murray blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point cutting layup
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
47-55
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
45-55
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
45-53
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
42-53
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
42-51
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
40-51
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
40-49
Keegan Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Keegan Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Terry Rozier)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
37-49
Heat personal foul
+1
Domantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
38-49
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
35-49
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
33-49
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot
31-49
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Kings offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, Davion Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier)
Domantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kevin Huerter offensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
31-47
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings 60 second timeout
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)
31-45
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Keegan Murray, Davion Mitchell)
Kings personal foul
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
31-43
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
28-43
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-41
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Keegan Murray, De'Aaron Fox)
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Josh Richardson defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
JaVale McGee defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-41
Kings violation
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Malik Monk, JaVale McGee, Keegan Murray, De'Aaron Fox)
Kings 60 second timeout
+3
Josh Richardson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
26-39
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
26-36
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-34
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Kessler Edwards, Malik Monk, JaVale McGee, De'Aaron Fox)
Kings turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
26-31
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
26-28
JaVale McGee defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
JaVale McGee offensive rebound
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
24-28
Kings misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
22-28
End of 1st Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Josh Richardson, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-28
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
20-25
Kings offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kings misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love offensive rebound
Kings personal foul
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-24
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-25
Heat misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Kings turnover
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kevin Love, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Trey Lyles, Malik Monk, Harrison Barnes, De'Aaron Fox)
Heat turnover
Kings turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-23
Kings turnover
Kings personal foul
Kings 60 second timeout
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Trey Lyles, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Davion Mitchell)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-21
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
18-19
Kings personal foul
Kings lineup change (Trey Lyles, Domantas Sabonis, Malik Monk, Keegan Murray, Davion Mitchell)
Heat lineup change (Josh Richardson, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
18-20
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
18-17
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
15-17
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-17
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
12-14
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Kings personal foul
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
12-11
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
12-12
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
+2
Kevin Huerter makes two point running layup (Keegan Murray assists)
12-10
Heat turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
10-10
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
8-10
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
8-7
Keegan Murray offensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
Kings makes two point jump shot
6-7
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
4-7
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-5
Heat lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
Heat personal foul
Kings personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-4
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
3-5
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Kings misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Domantas Sabonis defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Kings makes three point jump shot
3-3
Keegan Murray defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kings turnover
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
0-3
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kings lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Domantas Sabonis, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray, De'Aaron Fox)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Terry Rozier, Haywood Highsmith)
(Jimmy Butler gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 13 | K. Murray | 33 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 9 | K. Huerter | 14 | 3 | 4 |
| C | 10 | D. Sabonis | 19 | 17 | 13 |
| G | 5 | D. Fox | 13 | 5 | 3 |
| F | 40 | H. Barnes | 9 | 5 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 31 | 7 | 6 |
| G | 0 | J. Richardson | 24 | 5 | 3 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 16 | 11 | 4 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 14 | 8 | 8 |
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Kings vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Kings vs. Heat
- Date: Wednesday, January 31, 2024
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -3
- Total (Over/Under): 229
- Moneyline Odds: Kings +120, Heat -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Kings: 42%
- Heat: 58%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Kings 113-115 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Kings a win probability of 42%, while the Heat have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Kings vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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