- Predictions
Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 20, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
90
115
Jan 21, 12:30AM American Airlines Center
Jan 21, 12:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 19 | 32 | 16 | 23 | 90 |
Mavericks | 31 | 29 | 32 | 23 | 115 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 19 | 32 | 16 | 23 | 90 |
Mavericks | 31 | 29 | 32 | 23 | 115 |
Q4 00:14 Haywood Highsmith makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 A.J. Lawson makes three point jump shot (Frank Ntilikina assists)
Q4 2:07 A.J. Lawson makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Hardy assists)
Q4 2:30 Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:54 Gabe Vincent makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 3:21 Caleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 3:39 Frank Ntilikina misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 3:56 Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:32 Frank Ntilikina makes two point layup (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
Q4 5:11 Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+2
Haywood Highsmith makes two point jump shot
90-115
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
A.J. Lawson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
A.J. Lawson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+3
A.J. Lawson makes three point jump shot (Frank Ntilikina assists)
86-115
Caleb Martin personal foul (Davis Bertans draws the foul)
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-112
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-112
A.J. Lawson shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
+2
A.J. Lawson makes two point cutting dunk (Jaden Hardy assists)
84-112
Theo Pinson defensive rebound
Orlando Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Orlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Davis Bertans shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
84-110
Jaden Hardy turnover (palming)
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot
82-110
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Frank Ntilikina misses two point driving floating jump shot
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
+2
Frank Ntilikina makes two point layup (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
79-108
Gabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Bullock steals)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Frank Ntilikina, Dorian Finney-Smith, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Spencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Haywood Highsmith, Gabe Vincent)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Josh Green makes two point running dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
79-106
Victor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Josh Green steals)
+3
Reggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Josh Green assists)
79-104
Tyler Herro turnover
+1
Spencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
79-101
+1
Spencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-100
Mavericks lineup change (Spencer Dinwiddie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Max Strus shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
79-99
Spencer Dinwiddie personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Heat offensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point jump shot
Spencer Dinwiddie turnover (out of bounds step)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point tip layup (Dwight Powell assists)
71-99
Josh Green offensive rebound
Josh Green misses two point tip layup
Josh Green offensive rebound
Dwight Powell misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Reggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)
71-97
Tyler Herro turnover (traveling)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Dwight Powell misses two point driving layup
+2
Victor Oladipo makes two point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
71-94
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat offensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point bank jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
67-92
Victor Oladipo turnover (traveling)
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot
67-90
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Victor Oladipo assists)
67-87
Luka Doncic turnover (palming)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)
65-87
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point turnaround jump shot
65-87
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-85
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-85
Dwight Powell personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-85
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Victor Oladipo)
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-84
Jimmy Butler shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
Reggie Bullock defensive rebound
Victor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 1
61-83
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Victor Oladipo shooting foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
+2
Josh Green makes two point driving floating jump shot
61-82
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Reggie Bullock blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Victor Oladipo)
Luka Doncic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Reggie Bullock defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Reggie Bullock shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Spencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
61-78
Victor Oladipo personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Victor Oladipo makes two point running layup
61-75
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Spencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound
Victor Oladipo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point tip layup
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
61-75
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
57-75
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
57-74
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks lineup change (Spencer Dinwiddie, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
57-72
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Spencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro turnover (Tim Hardaway Jr. steals)
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
57-69
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
57-68
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
57-67
Kyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes technical free throw 1 of 1
56-66
Tyler Herro technical foul
Tyler Herro personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Luka Doncic offensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point turnaround jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point tip layup
56-65
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point jump shot
54-65
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
Spencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
54-63
Heat violation
Tyler Herro turnover (traveling)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Spencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
54-60
Mavericks lineup change (Spencer Dinwiddie, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
End of 1st Half.
Heat offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
51-60
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+1
Dorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-60
+1
Dorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
49-59
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Josh Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
49-58
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
46-58
Mavericks lineup change (Spencer Dinwiddie, Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo)
Heat 60 second timeout
Josh Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Josh Green offensive rebound
Josh Green misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot
45-58
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point stepback jump shot (Josh Green assists)
45-58
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot
43-56
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Josh Green)
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point jump shot
41-56
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
41-53
Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
41-53
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point pullup jump shot
37-50
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Spencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Spencer Dinwiddie, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Orlando Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+3
Victor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
37-47
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
37-47
+2
Davis Bertans makes two point jump shot
37-47
Max Strus shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
30-43
+2
Spencer Dinwiddie makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
30-43
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
27-41
+3
Josh Green makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)
27-41
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
27-38
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-38
Josh Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Davis Bertans personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses two point driving reverse layup
+2
Victor Oladipo makes two point jump shot
23-38
+1
Spencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
23-38
Mavericks lineup change (Davis Bertans, Jaden Hardy, Spencer Dinwiddie, Dwight Powell, Josh Green)
+1
Spencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
23-37
Gabe Vincent shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)
Josh Green defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell turnover
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Spencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Victor Oladipo assists)
21-36
Davis Bertans turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)
Max Strus turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Bullock steals)
+3
Spencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot
19-36
Gabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Davis Bertans steals)
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-33
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-32
Heat personal foul
Bam Adebayo turnover (traveling)
Mavericks lineup change (Davis Bertans, Spencer Dinwiddie, Dwight Powell, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
19-28
Reggie Bullock offensive rebound
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point jump shot
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 3 of 3
17-25
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 3
17-24
+1
Luka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 3
17-23
Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Heat 60 second timeout
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
+2
Victor Oladipo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
17-22
Max Strus defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Victor Oladipo)
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Josh Green defensive rebound
Victor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot
Heat personal foul
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-20
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-20
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+3
Reggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
13-20
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point hook shot
13-17
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Luka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-14
Tyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Tim Hardaway Jr., Dorian Finney-Smith, Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Orlando Robinson, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Spencer Dinwiddie shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving layup
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)
8-14
Caleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Bullock steals)
Kyle Lowry offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Spencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Reggie Bullock misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot
6-11
Caleb Martin kicked ball violation
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Mavericks lineup change (Spencer Dinwiddie, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic, Reggie Bullock)
Spencer Dinwiddie personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Spencer Dinwiddie misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
6-8
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving finger roll layup
4-8
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-6
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-6
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup
Dorian Finney-Smith kicked ball violation
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point tip layup
2-6
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point hook shot (Luka Doncic assists)
2-4
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| C | 25 | O. Robinson | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| G-F | 31 | M. Strus | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| F | 24 | H. Highsmith | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 2 | G. Vincent | 10 | 0 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 44 | D. Bertans | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 3 | J. Hardy | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| G-F | 1 | T. Pinson | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 21 | F. Ntilikina | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| G | 9 | A. Lawson | 5 | 0 | 0 |
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Heat vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Mavericks
- Date: Friday, January 20, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -2
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat -130, Mavericks +110
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 55%
- Mavericks: 45%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 110-109 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 55%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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