- Predictions
Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Nuggets NBA game on December 30, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
119
124
Dec 31, 2AM Ball Arena
Dec 31, 2AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 19 | 38 | 33 | 29 | 119 |
Nuggets | 23 | 37 | 25 | 39 | 124 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 19 | 38 | 33 | 29 | 119 |
Nuggets | 23 | 37 | 25 | 39 | 124 |
Q4 00:20 Jamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q4 00:47 Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:40 Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot
Q4 1:55 Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
Q4 2:06 Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:53 Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 5:06 Michael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)
Q4 5:30 Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 5:52 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)
Q4 6:27 Bam Adebayo makes two point running reverse layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-124
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 2
119-123
Tyler Herro personal foul (Take) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Bones Hyland, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
118-122
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
117-118
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray)
+1
Tyler Herro makes flagrant free throw 3 of 3
117-115
+1
Tyler Herro makes flagrant free throw 2 of 3
117-115
+1
Tyler Herro makes flagrant free throw 1 of 3
117-115
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-108
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-107
+1
Jamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 1
106-106
Kyle Lowry technical foul
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot
106-105
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)
106-105
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray)
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)
104-103
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
104-100
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Bones Hyland, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon)
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Max Strus shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point running reverse layup
104-99
Bruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
102-99
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Vlatko Cancar assists)
102-97
+2
Orlando Robinson makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)
102-95
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point pullup jump shot (Vlatko Cancar assists)
102-95
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Bones Hyland, Aaron Gordon)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot
100-92
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)
100-92
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
100-90
Bruce Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot
100-90
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
DeAndre Jordan personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Orlando Robinson blocks Bones Hyland's two point driving layup
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot
95-90
+2
DeAndre Jordan makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)
95-90
Gabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Vlatko Cancar steals)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Gabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Bones Hyland steals)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Bones Hyland misses two point pullup bank jump shot
+2
Orlando Robinson makes two point dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)
90-85
+2
DeAndre Jordan makes two point putback layup
90-85
DeAndre Jordan offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson blocks Jamal Murray's two point fadeaway jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
DeAndre Jordan misses two point layup
+2
Orlando Robinson makes two point putback layup
88-83
Orlando Robinson offensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+1
Vlatko Cancar makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-83
+1
Bones Hyland makes technical free throw 1 of 1
88-82
Erik Spoelstra technical foul
+1
Vlatko Cancar makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-81
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Vlatko Cancar draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-80
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Vlatko Cancar, Bones Hyland, DeAndre Jordan, Jamal Murray)
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Gabe Vincent offensive foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)
Bones Hyland turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+1
Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
84-77
Heat lineup change (Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)
Orlando Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Christian Braun personal foul
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Vlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
83-77
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-74
Vlatko Cancar shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
+2
Max Strus makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
83-74
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Tyler Herro blocks Bruce Brown's two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
83-74
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
83-71
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Christian Braun)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Max Strus defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point driving reverse layup
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot
77-70
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point stepback jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
77-70
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-67
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-67
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic turnover (Jimmy Butler steals)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
72-67
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-65
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
72-65
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point tip layup
Jamal Murray misses two point running layup
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
72-65
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
72-62
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point cutting dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
72-62
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
66-60
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Heat offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-52
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
Michael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving layup
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot
45-51
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Bones Hyland turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-49
Heat offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Vlatko Cancar shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Vlatko Cancar makes two point running dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
44-49
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Michael Porter Jr. steals)
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point driving reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
44-47
+2
Haywood Highsmith makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
44-45
+3
Vlatko Cancar makes three point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
44-45
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
44-42
+2
Vlatko Cancar makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bones Hyland assists)
40-42
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-40
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Michael Porter Jr., Bones Hyland, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-40
Michael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Aaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)
40-40
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup
Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-38
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Bones Hyland, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
38-38
Aaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point pullup jump shot
38-38
+2
Orlando Robinson makes two point turnaround hook shot
38-35
Orlando Robinson offensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
38-35
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Bones Hyland, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, DeAndre Jordan)
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+2
Max Strus makes two point running dunk
34-34
Bones Hyland turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)
+1
Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-34
+1
Orlando Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-34
DeAndre Jordan shooting foul (Orlando Robinson draws the foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
30-34
DeAndre Jordan defensive rebound
Orlando Robinson misses two point floating jump shot
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point pullup jump shot
30-31
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
30-28
+2
DeAndre Jordan makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jamal Murray assists)
30-28
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
30-26
Jimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Heat offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon technical foul
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point stepback jump shot
25-26
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot
25-23
Orlando Robinson defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point turnaround bank hook shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
25-23
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-20
DeAndre Jordan shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Bones Hyland turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Max Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Vlatko Cancar, Bones Hyland, DeAndre Jordan, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Orlando Robinson, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler)
Jamal Murray turnover (traveling)
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
16-20
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot
16-20
+2
Haywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot
12-18
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith turnover (traveling)
Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
+3
Bruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Bones Hyland assists)
12-18
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Vlatko Cancar, Bones Hyland, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Orlando Robinson, Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Kyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds step)
Max Strus offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Kyle Lowry offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot
Aaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)
10-15
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point putback layup
10-13
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Max Strus misses two point running layup
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
8-13
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
8-11
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point running layup
Aaron Gordon turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)
Tyler Herro offensive rebound
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point tip layup
8-9
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith turnover (traveling)
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-9
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-8
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
6-7
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point floating jump shot
+3
Haywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
6-5
Nikola Jokic kicked ball violation
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
6-5
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
6-3
Nikola Jokic kicked ball violation
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
6-3
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot
Aaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Jokic (Jamal Murray gains possession)
Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 31 | M. Strus | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 7 | K. Lowry | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 26 | 10 | 5 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 17 | 6 | 8 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 22 | 7 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G-F | 11 | B. Brown | 13 | 4 | 1 |
| C | 15 | N. Jokic | 19 | 12 | 12 |
| G | 5 | K. Caldwell-Pope | 20 | 2 | 2 |
| F | 50 | A. Gordon | 11 | 5 | 3 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 14 | 2 | 6 |
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Heat vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Nuggets
- Date: Friday, December 30, 2022
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -4.5
- Total (Over/Under): 224
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +152, Nuggets -165
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 34%
- Nuggets: 66%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 110-114 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 34%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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