- Predictions
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Celtics vs. Heat NBA game on October 21, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
111
104
Oct 21, 11:30PM FTX Arena
Oct 21, 11:30PM FTX Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 30 | 29 | 30 | 22 | 111 |
Heat | 22 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 104 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Celtics | 30 | 29 | 30 | 22 | 111 |
Heat | 22 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 104 |
Q4 00:14 Gabe Vincent makes three point step back jump shot
Q4 00:26 Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
Q4 00:42 Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Marcus Smart makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:40 Bam Adebayo makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)
Q4 1:54 Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:01 Grant Williams blocks Kyle Lowry's two point jump shot
Q4 2:13 Tyler Herro blocks Jayson Tatum's two point layup
Q4 2:42 Tyler Herro makes two point finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point step back jump shot
111-104
+3
Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
111-101
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
108-101
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-99
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-99
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point driving layup
106-99
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)
106-99
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Grant Williams blocks Kyle Lowry's two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Tyler Herro blocks Jayson Tatum's two point layup
Kyle Lowry personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
104-97
Al Horford personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Kyle Lowry offensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point reverse layup
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point floating jump shot
104-95
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point reverse layup
102-95
Jayson Tatum offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point layup
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)
102-95
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon, Al Horford)
Grant Williams personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)
Derrick White defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Jayson Tatum turnover (traveling)
Kyle Lowry personal foul
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Derrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Al Horford)
Jaylen Brown offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
100-93
Celtics delay of game violation
Al Horford turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
100-91
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Kyle Lowry)
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Jaylen Brown offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
100-89
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot
100-86
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
100-86
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
98-84
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Grant Williams, Derrick White, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
96-84
Gabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point step back jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
96-84
Grant Williams offensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point finger roll layup
91-82
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot
Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Grant Williams (Gabe Vincent gains possession)
Grant Williams turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point putback layup
Caleb Martin misses two point driving layup
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point reverse layup
91-80
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-80
Celtics lineup change (Grant Williams, Malcolm Brogdon, Al Horford, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown)
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Noah Vonleh shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Noah Vonleh defensive goaltending violation
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Gabe Vincent assists)
89-79
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Caleb Martin)
Celtics lineup change (Noah Vonleh, Grant Williams, Malcolm Brogdon, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Sam Hauser misses three point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup
+3
Grant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
89-77
Malcolm Brogdon offensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup
89-77
+3
Grant Williams makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)
86-75
Stoppage (Other)
Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-75
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-75
Max Strus shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point finger roll layup
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Max Strus turnover (traveling)
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point putback layup
81-75
Malcolm Brogdon offensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point step back jump shot
81-75
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Noah Vonleh turnover (offensive foul)
Noah Vonleh offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Dewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point finger roll layup (Grant Williams assists)
79-73
Malcolm Brogdon offensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point floating jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Dewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
77-73
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Noah Vonleh, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
77-72
Noah Vonleh personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
77-71
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Noah Vonleh, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon, Jaylen Brown)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot
75-71
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point step back jump shot
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
72-71
+1
Jayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 1
72-71
Bam Adebayo technical foul
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds step)
Jayson Tatum offensive rebound
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Caleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)
Celtics defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point reverse layup
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-71
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-70
Marcus Smart shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)
Celtics 60 second timeout
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)
69-69
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
69-67
Al Horford offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Al Horford turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-64
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
69-63
Malcolm Brogdon personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)
69-62
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
69-62
Heat offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Malcolm Brogdon personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Derrick White personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point layup
67-61
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
67-61
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
67-59
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
64-59
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point dunk
Jaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
63-59
Marcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
63-56
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-54
Derrick White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot
63-53
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point finger roll layup
63-51
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point floating jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
61-51
Tyler Herro personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
End of 1st Half.
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Tyler Herro blocks Derrick White's two point layup
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-51
Derrick White personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point driving jump shot
59-50
Al Horford defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot
Jaylen Brown offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point turnaround jump shot
Al Horford defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Al Horford defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot
55-50
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
55-48
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point floating jump shot
55-46
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
55-46
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
+1
Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-45
Derrick White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
53-44
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-44
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Haywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot
+3
Jaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)
51-44
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving layup
51-44
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Heat offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point driving layup
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Malcolm Brogdon, Derrick White, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Marcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot
48-42
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup
48-39
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
48-39
+3
Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)
48-37
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
Noah Vonleh offensive rebound
Grant Williams misses three point jump shot
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo blocks Jayson Tatum's three point jump shot
Noah Vonleh defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
43-37
+2
Grant Williams makes two point driving jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
43-35
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot
43-35
Celtics lineup change (Noah Vonleh, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon, Jaylen Brown)
Sam Hauser personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
+3
Malcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot
41-32
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
41-32
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot
38-30
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
35-30
Noah Vonleh offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Noah Vonleh turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point layup
35-28
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
+2
Max Strus makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
35-26
+2
Noah Vonleh makes two point jump shot
35-24
Noah Vonleh offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler blocks Jayson Tatum's two point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk
35-24
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+3
Sam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)
35-22
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Celtics defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Celtics turnover (shot clock violation)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)
End of 1st Quarter.
Grant Williams blocks Haywood Highsmith's three point jump shot
Sam Hauser personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
Noah Vonleh blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup
+2
Noah Vonleh makes two point driving dunk
30-22
Noah Vonleh offensive rebound
Grant Williams misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Noah Vonleh, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon, Sam Hauser)
Gabe Vincent offensive foul (Sam Hauser draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-22
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Haywood Highsmith, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)
Celtics lineup change (Noah Vonleh, Grant Williams, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Sam Hauser)
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
27-22
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
+2
Dewayne Dedmon makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
26-22
+3
Jaylen Brown makes three point jump shot
26-20
Derrick White defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
26-20
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point layup (Gabe Vincent assists)
21-20
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
21-18
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
21-18
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-15
+1
Derrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-15
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)
Celtics lineup change (Noah Vonleh, Grant Williams, Derrick White, Sam Hauser, Jaylen Brown)
Heat 60 second timeout
Dewayne Dedmon personal foul (Noah Vonleh draws the foul)
Kyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Noah Vonleh steals)
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
Noah Vonleh defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Noah Vonleh, Grant Williams, Derrick White, Jaylen Brown)
Derrick White turnover
Grant Williams defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point step back jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Derrick White defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown blocks Kyle Lowry's two point jump shot
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point turnaround jump shot
16-15
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)
16-15
+3
Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
16-13
Heat lineup change (Dewayne Dedmon, Max Strus, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Grant Williams, Derrick White, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Dewayne Dedmon personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)
Derrick White defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
+3
Celtics makes three point jump shot
11-13
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Dewayne Dedmon, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)
Celtics offensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Al Horford offensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
Celtics 60 second timeout
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot
8-13
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
8-11
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
8-9
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
6-9
Derrick White defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving layup
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Marcus Smart misses two point driving layup
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
6-9
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
4-6
Jaylen Brown personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-4
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-4
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation
Celtics defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point layup
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jayson Tatum misses two point driving layup
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
2-4
Jayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds step)
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point alley-oop layup (Tyler Herro assists)
2-2
Jayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Derrick White defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Marcus Smart offensive rebound
Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point layup
2-0
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)
Jayson Tatum personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Al Horford vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Celtics lineup change (Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Derrick White, Al Horford, Jaylen Brown)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 36 | M. Smart | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| F | 12 | G. Williams | 10 | 7 | 2 |
| F | 0 | J. Tatum | 29 | 5 | 4 |
| G | 13 | M. Brogdon | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| C | 42 | A. Horford | 9 | 5 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 18 | 7 | 5 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 19 | 8 | 5 |
| G | 2 | G. Vincent | 17 | 0 | 2 |
| G | 14 | T. Herro | 25 | 6 | 3 |
| G | 7 | K. Lowry | 17 | 4 | 6 |
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Celtics vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Celtics vs. Heat
- Date: Friday, October 21, 2022
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: FTX Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Celtics favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 221
- Moneyline Odds: Celtics -124, Heat +115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Celtics: 58%
- Heat: 42%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Celtics 111-109 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Celtics a win probability of 58%, while the Heat have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at FTX Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Celtics vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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