- Predictions
Heat vs. Nuggets Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Nuggets NBA game on June 12, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
89
92
Jun 13, 12:30AM Ball Arena
Jun 13, 12:30AM Ball Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 24 | 27 | 20 | 18 | 89 |
Nuggets | 22 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 92 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 24 | 27 | 20 | 18 | 89 |
Nuggets | 22 | 22 | 26 | 24 | 92 |
Q4 00:17 Jimmy Butler misses three point bank jump shot
Q4 2:47 Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
Q4 3:04 Michael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
Q4 4:06 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
Q4 4:29 Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
Q4 4:43 Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
Q4 5:03 Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:28 Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:08 Gabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 6:33 Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Heat 60 second timeout
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-94
+1
Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-93
Max Strus personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point bank jump shot
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
Heat 60 second timeout
Kyle Lowry personal foul (Take) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
Kyle Lowry personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-88
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
87-86
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
79-86
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
79-83
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
76-83
Kyle Lowry personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Caleb Martin kicked ball violation
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot
76-81
Christian Braun defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon blocks Kyle Lowry's two point pullup jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Max Strus blocks Christian Braun's two point running layup
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Max Strus misses two point driving layup
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses three point jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Jamal Murray turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point hook shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)
76-79
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)
76-77
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Christian Braun blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Jamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)
71-75
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Cody Zeller offensive rebound
Cody Zeller misses two point tip layup
Duncan Robinson misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)
71-72
Heat lineup change (Cody Zeller, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson blocks Bruce Brown's two point layup
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot
71-70
Kyle Lowry offensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-70
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-66
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
66-65
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point jump shot
66-64
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
64-64
Gabe Vincent turnover (Nikola Jokic steals)
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point tip layup
64-62
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point running layup
Kyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. Bruce Brown vs. Gabe Vincent (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope gains possession)
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses two point floating jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running pullup jump shot
Caleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses two point dunk
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Max Strus makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
62-60
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point tip layup
60-56
Jamal Murray misses two point driving reverse layup
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-54
Kevin Love shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot
60-53
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point turnaround bank hook shot
60-53
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
58-51
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving layup
58-51
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler turnover
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses two point hook shot
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
55-49
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot
55-47
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Aaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Max Strus makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
53-47
+1
Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
53-47
Heat personal foul
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot
51-46
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point pullup jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
End of 1st Half.
Nuggets offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point floating jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Bruce Brown personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Gabe Vincent assists)
49-42
Max Strus defensive rebound
Christian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Haywood Highsmith, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
+1
Christian Braun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
47-42
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Christian Braun makes two point jump shot
47-41
Christian Braun offensive rebound
Nikola Jokic misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Max Strus turnover
Max Strus offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point running dunk
47-39
Nikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point jump shot
39-35
Duncan Robinson turnover (Bruce Brown steals)
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)
39-33
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets defensive rebound
Duncan Robinson misses two point pullup bank jump shot
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point layup
39-31
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun)
Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)
+2
Nikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)
34-29
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup
34-27
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
Duncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Christian Braun draws the foul)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
32-27
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
32-27
Aaron Gordon shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
+2
Bruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)
30-27
Caleb Martin personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-25
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-25
Jamal Murray shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Christian Braun makes two point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
28-25
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-23
Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Nuggets offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover (shot clock violation)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets offensive rebound
Kevin Love blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point cutting layup
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin)
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point hook shot
24-22
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses two point driving layup
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
24-22
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
DeAndre Jordan blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving floating jump shot
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot
Michael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
22-18
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, DeAndre Jordan)
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Jeff Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
21-18
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bruce Brown misses three point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
19-18
Jeff Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup
18-18
Nuggets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Bruce Brown, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Jeff Green)
Nikola Jokic personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Christian Braun turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
16-18
+2
Jeff Green makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)
14-18
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Christian Braun, Jeff Green)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point running reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
12-16
Michael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
Max Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
+3
Nikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jeff Green assists)
8-15
+1
Max Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 1
8-12
Nikola Jokic shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)
+2
Max Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup
7-12
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin)
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jeff Green makes two point cutting dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
5-12
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
+2
Michael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot
5-10
Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point hook shot
+2
Jamal Murray makes two point driving dunk
5-8
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Aaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo misses two point hook shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup
Max Strus defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
+2
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)
5-4
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 31 | M. Strus | 12 | 8 | 1 |
| F | 55 | D. Robinson | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| G | 7 | K. Lowry | 12 | 9 | 4 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 21 | 3 | 5 |
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 20 | 12 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 50 | A. Gordon | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| G-F | 11 | B. Brown | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| G | 5 | K. Caldwell-Pope | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| C | 15 | N. Jokic | 28 | 16 | 4 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 14 | 8 | 8 |
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Heat vs. Nuggets: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Nuggets
- Date: Monday, June 12, 2023
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Ball Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -8
- Total (Over/Under): 210.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +280, Nuggets -330
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 26%
- Nuggets: 74%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 102-109 Nuggets.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 26%, while the Nuggets have a win probability of 74%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Ball Arena on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Nuggets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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