Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Celtics NBA game on May 17, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
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NBA
Heat
123
116
May 18, 12:30AM TD Garden
Celtics
May 18, 12:30AM TD Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Heat
28 29 46 20 123
Celtics
30 36 25 25 116
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
HeatMIA
Win %
100%
0%
CelticsBOS
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
28 29 46 20 123
Celtics
30 36 25 25 116
Q4 00:13 Jaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:21 Malcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 00:24 Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Marcus Smart makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:03 Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup
Q4 1:41 Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
Q4 2:41 Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Q4 3:23 Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:11
Max Strus defensive rebound
Q4 00:13
Jaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:17
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-116
Q4 00:17
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 00:17
Marcus Smart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q4 00:21
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
122-116
Q4 00:22
Malcolm Brogdon offensive rebound
Q4 00:24
Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:27
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q4 00:27
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-114
Q4 00:27
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2
121-114
Q4 00:27
Jayson Tatum personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Q4 00:34
Malcolm Brogdon personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Q4 00:37
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-114
Q4 00:37
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
120-113
Q4 00:37
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q4 00:44
Gabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)
Q4 00:56
+2
Marcus Smart makes two point driving layup
120-112
Q4 1:03
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot
120-110
Q4 1:27
Jayson Tatum turnover (traveling)
Q4 1:28
Al Horford offensive rebound
Q4 1:29
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup
Q4 1:38
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Q4 1:41
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:57
Jayson Tatum turnover
Q4 2:10
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
117-110
Q4 2:29
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
Q4 2:31
Malcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q4 2:31
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-110
Q4 2:31
Jimmy Butler shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
Q4 2:39
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q4 2:41
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Q4 2:58
Jayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Q4 3:19
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q4 3:19
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:19
Celtics defensive rebound
Q4 3:23
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:39
Al Horford turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Q4 3:42
Al Horford offensive rebound
Q4 3:44
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:58
Marcus Smart defensive rebound
Q4 3:59
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:11
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q4 4:15
Jaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 4:29
Jimmy Butler turnover
Q4 4:29
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q4 4:47
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 4:50
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
114-109
Q4 4:50
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
114-108
Q4 4:50
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q4 4:54
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Q4 4:58
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:16
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)
114-107
Q4 5:33
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
114-105
Q4 5:50
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
112-105
Q4 5:50
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-104
Q4 5:50
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q4 5:50
Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q4 6:09
Kyle Lowry misses two point jump shot
Q4 6:10
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick White draws the foul)
Q4 6:10
Celtics defensive rebound
Q4 6:33
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Q4 6:48
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
112-103
Q4 7:05
Malcolm Brogdon personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Q4 7:05
Heat defensive rebound
Q4 7:06
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:27
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
110-103
Q4 7:49
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
108-103
Q4 7:54
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Q4 7:56
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:06
Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Jaylen Brown (Kyle Lowry gains possession)
Q4 8:06
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q4 8:09
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Q4 8:12
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q4 8:28
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Q4 8:30
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:49
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
108-100
Q4 9:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 9:06
Heat defensive rebound
Q4 9:08
Jaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q4 9:08
Gabe Vincent shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
Q4 9:08
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving layup
106-100
Q4 9:32
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
106-98
Q4 9:44
Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Jimmy Butler gains possession)
Q4 9:50
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)
Q4 10:00
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q4 10:02
Kyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 10:02
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)
Q4 10:26
Heat 60 second timeout
Q4 10:27
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot
103-98
Q4 10:40
Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
Q4 10:40
Heat offensive rebound
Q4 10:41
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Q4 11:07
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point pullup jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
103-96
Q4 11:13
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Q4 11:15
Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:42
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
103-94
Q4 12:00
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q4 12:00
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin)
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:00
Celtics offensive rebound
Q3 00:01
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup
Q3 00:07
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
102-91
Q3 00:24
Max Strus defensive rebound
Q3 00:26
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:31
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot
99-91
Q3 00:41
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
97-91
Q3 1:02
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
97-89
Q3 1:27
+2
Derrick White makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)
95-89
Q3 1:56
+3
Jimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
95-87
Q3 2:02
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q3 2:03
Derrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup
Q3 2:14
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q3 2:16
Malcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 2:16
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
Q3 2:16
+2
Celtics makes two point jump shot
92-87
Q3 2:32
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-85
Q3 2:32
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q3 2:32
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-85
Q3 2:32
Derrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q3 2:32
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 2:33
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
Q3 2:46
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-85
Q3 2:46
Celtics offensive rebound
Q3 2:46
Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 2:46
Heat 60 second timeout
Q3 2:46
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Q3 2:50
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Q3 2:52
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 3:04
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Q3 3:06
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:16
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-84
Q3 3:16
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q3 3:16
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-84
Q3 3:16
Derrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q3 3:31
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup
88-84
Q3 3:48
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot
88-82
Q3 4:08
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-82
Q3 4:08
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q3 4:08
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q3 4:08
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
86-81
Q3 4:08
Kevin Love shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q3 4:25
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot
86-80
Q3 4:36
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 4:38
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
Q3 4:53
+2
Kevin Love makes two point layup
83-80
Q3 4:54
Robert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)
Q3 4:56
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Q3 4:57
Gabe Vincent misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:21
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot
81-80
Q3 5:42
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
81-78
Q3 5:47
Marcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Q3 5:54
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Q3 5:56
Jayson Tatum blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup
Q3 6:13
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q3 6:16
Jayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q3 6:28
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-78
Q3 6:28
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q3 6:28
Jaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q3 6:28
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q3 6:28
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point putback layup
78-78
Q3 6:28
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Q3 6:46
+3
Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)
76-78
Q3 6:52
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q3 6:54
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Q3 6:54
Bam Adebayo misses two point tip layup
Q3 6:55
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Q3 7:07
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q3 7:08
Marcus Smart misses two point jump shot
Q3 7:18
Jayson Tatum defensive goaltending violation
Q3 7:18
+2
Max Strus makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
76-75
Q3 7:22
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q3 7:23
Jaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot
Q3 7:33
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q3 7:33
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 7:33
Jayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Q3 7:33
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
74-75
Q3 7:52
+3
Jaylen Brown makes three point jump shot
72-75
Q3 7:52
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q3 8:02
Jimmy Butler turnover
Q3 8:02
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q3 8:02
Max Strus defensive rebound
Q3 8:03
Jayson Tatum misses two point driving layup
Q3 8:20
+2
Max Strus makes two point jump shot
72-72
Q3 8:25
Max Strus offensive rebound
Q3 8:26
Marcus Smart blocks Max Strus's two point running layup
Q3 8:29
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q3 8:31
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Q3 8:46
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot
70-72
Q3 9:01
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
70-72
Q3 9:01
Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 9:01
Celtics offensive rebound
Q3 9:01
Max Strus shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Q3 9:12
Jimmy Butler personal foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)
Q3 9:27
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
68-71
Q3 9:30
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
Q3 9:34
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Q3 9:42
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot
65-71
Q3 9:59
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q3 10:01
Marcus Smart misses three point jump shot
Q3 10:18
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
62-71
Q3 10:18
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q3 10:18
Heat offensive rebound
Q3 10:26
Jaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Q3 10:33
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
61-71
Q3 10:55
+3
Marcus Smart makes three point jump shot
61-71
Q3 11:06
Kevin Love turnover (offensive foul)
Q3 11:06
Kevin Love offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Q3 11:08
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)
59-68
Q3 11:12
Jump ball. Jaylen Brown vs. Gabe Vincent (Jaylen Brown gains possession)
Q3 11:25
Jump ball. (Jaylen Brown gains possession)
Q3 11:25
Celtics offensive rebound
Q3 11:25
Gabe Vincent blocks Jaylen Brown's two point jump shot
Q3 11:41
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot
59-66
Q3 12:00
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown)
Q3 12:00
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:00
Malcolm Brogdon defensive rebound
Q2 00:02
Kyle Lowry misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:15
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
57-66
Q2 00:29
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
57-64
Q2 00:29
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q2 00:43
Jaylen Brown turnover (traveling)
Q2 00:49
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q2 00:52
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:55
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Q2 00:57
Bam Adebayo blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving dunk
Q2 00:57
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q2 1:12
Gabe Vincent kicked ball violation
Q2 1:19
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
55-64
Q2 1:34
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)
55-64
Q2 1:48
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q2 1:48
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
52-62
Q2 1:48
Malcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q2 1:48
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
52-62
Q2 2:08
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 1
49-62
Q2 2:08
Max Strus shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q2 2:08
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup
49-61
Q2 2:19
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:20
Heat turnover
Q2 2:20
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 2:21
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q2 2:46
+2
Al Horford makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)
49-59
Q2 3:09
+2
Max Strus makes two point jump shot
49-57
Q2 3:24
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)
Q2 3:29
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)
Q2 3:48
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point running layup (Al Horford assists)
47-57
Q2 3:51
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q2 3:55
Jimmy Butler misses two point alley-oop layup
Q2 4:07
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)
Q2 4:07
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 4:08
+3
Al Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
47-55
Q2 4:26
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q2 4:47
+1
Jaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
47-52
Q2 4:47
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q2 4:47
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)
Q2 4:47
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point jump shot
47-51
Q2 4:52
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Q2 4:53
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:10
+2
Al Horford makes two point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
47-49
Q2 5:26
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
47-47
Q2 5:33
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point layup (Jaylen Brown assists)
47-47
Q2 5:45
Jimmy Butler turnover
Q2 5:45
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 5:46
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:09
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q2 6:09
Marcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Q2 6:09
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-45
Q2 6:09
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Q2 6:09
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 6:09
Celtics defensive rebound
Q2 6:14
Malcolm Brogdon blocks Jimmy Butler's two point jump shot
Q2 6:33
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-44
Q2 6:33
+1
Jayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-43
Q2 6:33
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q2 6:33
Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q2 6:33
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q2 6:33
Gabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q2 6:52
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point jump shot
44-42
Q2 7:10
+1
Robert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
42-42
Q2 7:10
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)
Q2 7:10
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)
Q2 7:10
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point jump shot
42-41
Q2 7:12
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Q2 7:13
Jayson Tatum misses two point driving layup
Q2 7:35
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot
42-39
Q2 8:04
Bam Adebayo turnover (traveling)
Q2 8:09
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
Q2 8:13
Derrick White misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:22
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q2 8:24
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:31
Derrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)
Q2 8:31
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 8:32
Gabe Vincent misses two point jump shot
Q2 8:42
+1
Robert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-37
Q2 8:42
Robert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 8:42
Celtics offensive rebound
Q2 8:42
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)
Q2 8:52
Robert Williams III defensive rebound
Q2 8:56
Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:56
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown)
Q2 9:01
Malcolm Brogdon violation
Q2 9:09
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 9:10
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
Q2 9:32
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
39-36
Q2 9:32
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q2 9:32
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 9:32
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q2 9:32
Derrick White shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Q2 9:42
+2
Malcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup (Derrick White assists)
38-36
Q2 9:59
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)
Q2 10:14
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q2 10:15
Celtics misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:28
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot
38-34
Q2 10:31
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q2 10:32
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q2 10:44
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
38-34
Q2 10:52
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup
32-34
Q2 11:06
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot
32-32
Q2 11:14
Jayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Q2 11:24
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-32
Q2 11:24
+1
Malcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
30-31
Q2 11:24
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)
Q2 11:44
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot
30-30
Q2 12:00
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q1 00:00
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:01
Cody Zeller defensive rebound
Q1 00:03
Payton Pritchard misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:23
Derrick White defensive rebound
Q1 00:25
Caleb Martin misses two point running layup
Q1 00:29
Jayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)
Q1 00:37
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Q1 00:39
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q1 00:53
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Q1 00:54
+3
Derrick White makes three point jump shot
28-30
Q1 00:54
Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin)
Q1 1:07
Cody Zeller turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 1:07
Cody Zeller offensive foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)
Q1 1:12
Cody Zeller defensive rebound
Q1 1:14
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:42
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
28-27
Q1 2:04
Malcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
Q1 2:09
Derrick White offensive rebound
Q1 2:10
Malcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:20
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Q1 2:23
Cody Zeller misses two point driving hook shot
Q1 2:39
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point driving layup
26-27
Q1 2:51
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q1 2:51
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q1 2:51
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point driving hook shot
26-25
Q1 2:55
Jaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)
Q1 3:00
Jaylen Brown defensive rebound
Q1 3:01
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Q1 3:08
Cody Zeller offensive rebound
Q1 3:10
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q1 3:24
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)
24-25
Q1 3:34
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
24-23
Q1 3:38
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q1 3:39
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot
Q1 3:55
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-23
Q1 3:55
+1
Marcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-22
Q1 3:55
Cody Zeller shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)
Q1 4:00
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 4:00
Celtics offensive rebound
Q1 4:00
Caleb Martin blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point jump shot
Q1 4:05
Jimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)
Q1 4:21
Jaylen Brown offensive rebound
Q1 4:21
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point tip layup
22-21
Q1 4:22
Jaylen Brown misses two point jump shot
Q1 4:26
Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q1 4:26
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q1 4:26
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 4:37
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
22-19
Q1 4:54
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q1 4:56
Malcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q1 5:11
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2
19-19
Q1 5:11
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q1 5:11
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)
Q1 5:11
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-19
Q1 5:11
Malcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Q1 5:28
+3
Malcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
17-19
Q1 5:43
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot
17-16
Q1 5:55
Celtics 60 second timeout
Q1 5:55
Jayson Tatum personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q1 6:01
+3
Jayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)
15-16
Q1 6:14
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup
15-13
Q1 6:30
+3
Malcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)
13-13
Q1 6:34
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Q1 6:36
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q1 6:45
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 6:47
Jaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q1 7:03
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-10
Q1 7:03
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
13-10
Q1 7:03
Robert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q1 7:15
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)
Q1 7:15
Celtics personal foul
Q1 7:21
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 7:35
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
11-10
Q1 7:44
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q1 7:46
Jayson Tatum misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:57
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
8-10
Q1 8:08
+2
Jayson Tatum makes two point jump shot (Al Horford assists)
6-10
Q1 8:12
Kevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)
Q1 8:19
Marcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Q1 8:35
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)
6-8
Q1 8:48
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point hook shot
6-6
Q1 9:07
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point jump shot
6-6
Q1 9:09
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Q1 9:11
Jayson Tatum misses two point running layup
Q1 9:16
Al Horford defensive rebound
Q1 9:18
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q1 9:38
+2
Jaylen Brown makes two point floating jump shot
6-4
Q1 9:49
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot
6-2
Q1 10:11
+2
Robert Williams III makes two point putback layup
6-2
Q1 10:13
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Q1 10:15
Marcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot
Q1 10:24
Jayson Tatum defensive rebound
Q1 10:25
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:40
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Q1 10:41
Jaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot
Q1 10:57
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup
6-0
Q1 11:08
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Q1 11:09
Al Horford misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:22
Kevin Love turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q1 11:34
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q1 11:37
Jayson Tatum misses two point driving layup
Q1 11:44
Robert Williams III offensive rebound
Q1 11:46
Jaylen Brown misses three point jump shot
Q1 12:00
Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Marcus Smart gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown)
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Heat
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G2G. Vincent1532
C13B. Adebayo2085
F22J. Butler3557
F16C. Martin1543
G31M. Strus1530
Celtics
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F42A. Horford762
G36M. Smart13111
F0J. Tatum3071
G7J. Brown2295
G13M. Brogdon1921

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Heat vs. Celtics: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Celtics
  • Date: Wednesday, May 17, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TD Garden

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Celtics favored at -8.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +310, Celtics -380

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 25%
  • Celtics: 75%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 103-110 Celtics.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 25%, while the Celtics have a win probability of 75%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Celtics are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at TD Garden on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Celtics predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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