- Predictions
Heat vs. Bucks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Bucks NBA game on April 16, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
130
117
Apr 16, 9:30PM Fiserv Forum
Apr 16, 9:30PM Fiserv Forum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 33 | 35 | 34 | 28 | 130 |
Bucks | 24 | 31 | 33 | 29 | 117 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 33 | 35 | 34 | 28 | 130 |
Bucks | 24 | 31 | 33 | 29 | 117 |
Q4 00:20 Jrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:40 Khris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot
Q4 00:44 Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:06 Jrue Holiday makes three point turnaround jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)
Q4 1:08 Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Wesley Matthews misses three point running pullup jump shot
Q4 1:42 Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Wesley Matthews makes three point stepback jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
Q4 2:27 Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2
130-117
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2
130-117
Grayson Allen personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot
128-117
+3
Jrue Holiday makes three point turnaround jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)
125-117
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Khris Middleton, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot
125-114
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Wesley Matthews misses three point running pullup jump shot
Wesley Matthews defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
+3
Wesley Matthews makes three point stepback jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
122-114
Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
Bam Adebayo offensive foul (Wesley Matthews draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
122-111
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 1
122-111
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point cutting layup (Khris Middleton assists)
119-110
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
119-108
+3
Grayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
117-108
Bucks 60 second timeout
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot
117-105
Wesley Matthews personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
115-105
Wesley Matthews blocks Jimmy Butler's two point jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Jrue Holiday)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
115-103
Instant replay (Challenge)
Heat 60 second timeout
Jimmy Butler shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Khris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)
115-102
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Max Strus personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
113-102
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Gabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point running pullup jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent)
Heat 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Brook Lopez steals)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)
111-102
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
111-100
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point alley-oop layup (Jrue Holiday assists)
111-100
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
108-98
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
108-98
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-97
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
Caleb Martin turnover (traveling)
Khris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-96
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Khris Middleton, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
Gabe Vincent offensive foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)
Gabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Grayson Allen makes two point driving layup (Joe Ingles assists)
106-95
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
106-93
Bobby Portis personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Jimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Heat offensive rebound
Joe Ingles personal foul
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)
105-93
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
105-90
Grayson Allen shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)
105-90
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point driving layup
102-90
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot
Joe Ingles personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Khris Middleton, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Bucks offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
+3
Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
102-88
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Wesley Matthews, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson, Kevin Love)
Khris Middleton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Stoppage (Blood rule)
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-88
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Khris Middleton, Jae Crowder, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-88
Bobby Portis personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)
Heat defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
97-88
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)
94-88
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
94-86
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Bobby Portis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Joe Ingles misses three point pullup jump shot
Heat personal foul
+3
Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
93-86
+1
Caleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 1
93-82
Jae Crowder shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
92-82
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
Caleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Joe Ingles shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot
90-82
+3
Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
88-82
Jimmy Butler violation
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
88-79
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point jump shot
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 2
86-79
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jae Crowder, Wesley Matthews, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
+1
Kevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-79
Jrue Holiday shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
84-79
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
84-77
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point driving layup
81-77
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
80-75
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
81-75
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
Brook Lopez shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point running jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
78-75
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Brook Lopez blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup
Gabe Vincent defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks offensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry)
Jimmy Butler shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
78-73
Bam Adebayo turnover
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Grayson Allen makes three point running jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
78-69
Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot (Grayson Allen assists)
78-66
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point bank hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
78-64
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
76-64
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot
76-64
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Brook Lopez shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)
74-62
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot
Max Strus defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Max Strus assists)
72-62
Khris Middleton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Grayson Allen makes two point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
70-62
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
+1
Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 1
70-60
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point jump shot
70-60
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
70-57
+2
Jevon Carter makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
70-57
Jevon Carter defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot
Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point pullup bank jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson)
End of 1st Half.
Bucks offensive rebound
Wesley Matthews misses three point jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
68-55
+3
Jrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot
68-55
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point putback layup
66-52
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Brook Lopez turnover (traveling)
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
64-52
Max Strus defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point turnaround jump shot
+1
Gabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-52
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Gabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Bobby Portis shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
Brook Lopez blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot
60-52
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kevin Love assists)
60-50
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot
60-50
Jimmy Butler turnover (Jrue Holiday steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat defensive rebound
Joe Ingles misses three point jump shot
+3
Gabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
58-48
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)
55-48
Wesley Matthews offensive rebound
Joe Ingles misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot
55-46
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
55-44
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Jevon Carter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup
52-44
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point jump shot
50-44
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
Max Strus misses three point stepback jump shot
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Jae Crowder misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler misses two point driving layup
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point stepback jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)
50-42
Khris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)
+3
Kevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
48-42
Khris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
45-42
Heat 60 second timeout
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point jump shot
43-42
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Jae Crowder misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love)
Jimmy Butler offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jevon Carter draws the foul)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
43-40
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
43-39
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)
43-37
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro)
Kyle Lowry personal foul (Jevon Carter draws the foul)
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Bobby Portis)
Bucks delay of game violation
Caleb Martin personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Max Strus misses three point jump shot
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot
43-35
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
43-33
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot
43-33
+3
Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
40-30
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
40-30
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro)
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Bobby Portis)
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
37-29
Heat personal foul
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving layup
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Jae Crowder misses three point jump shot
Kevin Love offensive rebound
+2
Kevin Love makes two point tip layup
37-28
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
35-28
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love)
Kyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot
35-26
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point fadeaway jump shot
33-26
Bucks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love)
End of 1st Quarter.
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Jae Crowder misses three point jump shot
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot
33-24
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews)
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love)
Jae Crowder offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)
Jae Crowder turnover (offensive foul)
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses two point driving layup
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-24
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love)
Brook Lopez misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Kevin Love shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks offensive rebound
Tyler Herro blocks Jevon Carter's two point driving layup
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro, Kevin Love)
Heat turnover
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Caleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup
+3
Jae Crowder makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)
31-24
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Bobby Portis)
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)
Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Kevin Love misses three point jump shot
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot
Caleb Martin turnover (Wesley Matthews steals)
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
31-21
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround bank hook shot
31-20
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot
31-18
+3
Wesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)
29-18
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)
29-15
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point pullup jump shot
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-15
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Bobby Portis)
Jimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Wesley Matthews shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup
26-15
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot
26-13
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-13
Kevin Love shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)
24-12
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jevon Carter, Wesley Matthews, Bobby Portis)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Kevin Love)
Instant replay (Challenge)
Bucks 60 second timeout
Jrue Holiday personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)
22-12
Max Strus defensive rebound
Joe Ingles misses three point jump shot
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
20-12
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Brook Lopez, Wesley Matthews, Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)
Giannis Antetokounmpo shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
19-12
+3
Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
19-12
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
19-9
Grayson Allen turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1
14-9
Joe Ingles shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot
13-9
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
11-9
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-8
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Grayson Allen, Bobby Portis)
Bucks 60 second timeout
Caleb Martin shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Brook Lopez turnover (3-second violation)
Max Strus offensive foul (Off the ball) (Grayson Allen draws the foul)
Max Strus turnover (offensive foul)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez)
Jrue Holiday personal foul
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Tyler Herro)
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
11-7
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot
11-7
+2
Gabe Vincent makes two point running pullup jump shot
9-5
Brook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot
Gabe Vincent offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-5
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Gabe Vincent personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point running finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
7-4
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot
Gabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)
Grayson Allen turnover
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)
5-4
+2
Grayson Allen makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)
5-4
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)
5-2
+2
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jrue Holiday assists)
5-2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
Bam Adebayo vs. Brook Lopez (Jimmy Butler gains possession)
Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Grayson Allen, Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Gabe Vincent, Tyler Herro)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 13 | B. Adebayo | 22 | 9 | 7 |
| F | 31 | M. Strus | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| F | 22 | J. Butler | 35 | 5 | 11 |
| F | 16 | C. Martin | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 2 | G. Vincent | 15 | 2 | 6 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-G | 7 | J. Ingles | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| G | 5 | J. Carter | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| G | 12 | G. Allen | 12 | 2 | 3 |
| C | 11 | B. Lopez | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| G | 21 | J. Holiday | 16 | 7 | 16 |
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Heat vs. Bucks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Bucks
- Date: Sunday, April 16, 2023
- Time: 5:30 PM ET
- Venue: Fiserv Forum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Bucks favored at -9
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +370, Bucks -450
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 24%
- Bucks: 76%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 106-114 Bucks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 24%, while the Bucks have a win probability of 76%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Bucks are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Fiserv Forum on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Bucks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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