- Predictions
Bucks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Warriors NBA game on March 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
116
125
Mar 12, 1:30AM Chase Center
Mar 12, 1:30AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 26 | 23 | 28 | 34 | 5 | 116 |
Warriors | 28 | 22 | 30 | 31 | 14 | 125 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
0%
100%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 26 | 23 | 28 | 34 | 5 | 116 |
Warriors | 28 | 22 | 30 | 31 | 14 | 125 |
OT1 00:11 Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:49 Joe Ingles misses three point stepback jump shot
OT1 1:00 Stephen Curry makes two point driving finger roll layup
OT1 1:10 Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
OT1 1:28 Klay Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
OT1 1:51 Khris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)
OT1 2:04 Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
OT1 2:19 Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
OT1 2:41 Klay Thompson makes two point bank jump shot
OT1 3:04 Jrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
OT
ALL
End of 1st OT.
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
Warriors turnover
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Khris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks offensive rebound
Klay Thompson shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
116-125
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-124
Joe Ingles personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Joe Ingles misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point driving finger roll layup
116-123
Klay Thompson offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
Kevon Looney misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
+1
Kevon Looney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-121
Khris Middleton shooting foul (Kevon Looney draws the foul)
Klay Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)
116-120
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot
113-120
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point bank jump shot
113-117
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)
113-115
Jrue Holiday offensive foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)
Jrue Holiday turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point floating jump shot
113-113
Bucks turnover
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point floating jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)
113-111
Kevon Looney (Bobby Portis gains possession)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez)
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Stephen Curry blocks Jrue Holiday's two point driving layup
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point stepback jump shot
111-111
Bucks turnover
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Brook Lopez blocks Jordan Poole's two point cutting layup
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Jrue Holiday makes three point jump shot
111-108
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point jump shot
108-108
Khris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Klay Thompson steals)
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point pullup jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
108-106
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses two point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Pat Connaughton misses three point jump shot
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
108-103
+3
Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
108-100
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)
108-100
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Pat Connaughton misses three point jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday personal foul (Draymond Green draws the foul)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton turnover (out of bounds step)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
102-97
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-94
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez)
+1
Brook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 2
102-94
Donte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)
Jordan Poole offensive rebound
+2
Jordan Poole makes two point tip layup
100-94
Klay Thompson misses three point running pullup jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point floating jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)
100-92
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Brook Lopez)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Jrue Holiday makes three point running jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)
98-92
Stephen Curry turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)
+3
Grayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
95-92
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point stepback jump shot
95-92
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point fadeaway jump shot
95-90
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point cutting dunk (Klay Thompson assists)
90-90
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks defensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Kevon Looney, Ty Jerome, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, JaMychal Green)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)
87-88
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kevon Looney, Ty Jerome, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jrue Holiday, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Jevon Carter personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
+3
Bobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
87-85
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point putback layup
84-85
Ty Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Jevon Carter makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)
84-83
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point running pullup jump shot
Jae Crowder turnover (lost ball) (Draymond Green steals)
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point pullup jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
84-83
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)
84-80
Stephen Curry turnover (traveling)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kevon Looney, Ty Jerome, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point hook shot
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Kevon Looney misses two point tip layup
Draymond Green misses two point floating jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Khris Middleton personal foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
+2
Grayson Allen makes two point driving layup
84-80
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jae Crowder, Grayson Allen, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton)
Draymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Joe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Kevon Looney steals)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jae Crowder, Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter)
End of 3rd Quarter.
+2
Jevon Carter makes two point pullup jump shot
77-80
+2
JaMychal Green makes two point tip layup
77-80
JaMychal Green offensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point driving floating jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Pat Connaughton misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Ty Jerome, Klay Thompson, JaMychal Green)
Klay Thompson turnover (traveling)
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)
75-78
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks defensive rebound
Andre Iguodala misses three point jump shot
Andre Iguodala offensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Joe Ingles assists)
73-78
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-78
Jevon Carter shooting foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
+2
Jordan Poole makes two point driving finger roll layup
71-77
+2
Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)
70-75
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
71-75
Andre Iguodala shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot
70-75
Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Jordan Poole, Ty Jerome, Klay Thompson, JaMychal Green)
Bucks lineup change (Jae Crowder, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+3
Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
68-72
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point pullup jump shot
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)
68-72
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point cutting layup (Joe Ingles assists)
65-70
Andre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Brook Lopez blocks Stephen Curry's two point driving layup
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot
63-70
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses three point running jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Andre Iguodala blocks Pat Connaughton's two point running layup
Pat Connaughton defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses two point running layup
Jrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (JaMychal Green steals)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-70
Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Jordan Poole, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, JaMychal Green)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez)
+1
Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
61-69
Khris Middleton shooting foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point stepback jump shot
61-68
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point cutting finger roll layup (JaMychal Green assists)
61-68
JaMychal Green defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot
Jordan Poole turnover (lost ball) (Joe Ingles steals)
+2
Grayson Allen makes two point running layup (Jrue Holiday assists)
58-66
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Kevon Looney misses two point tip layup
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point driving finger roll layup
JaMychal Green defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, JaMychal Green)
Kevon Looney personal foul (Loose ball) (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Bucks defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point pullup jump shot
+3
Grayson Allen makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
56-66
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point floating jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
JaMychal Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
Bucks offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point pullup jump shot
JaMychal Green defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point tip layup
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Brook Lopez blocks Kevon Looney's two point layup
Grayson Allen turnover (bad pass) (Kevon Looney steals)
+3
JaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
53-66
Warriors lineup change (Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Khris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Draymond Green steals)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point running pullup jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
53-63
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point driving layup
+2
Donte DiVincenzo makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)
53-60
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point reverse layup
53-58
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
53-58
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
51-55
Stephen Curry offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Draymond Green makes two point layup (Klay Thompson assists)
51-52
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point layup (Khris Middleton assists)
51-50
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
End of 1st Half.
Bucks offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
49-50
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
49-47
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jrue Holiday, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
+1
Khris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
48-47
Jordan Poole personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses two point driving layup
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
Jrue Holiday personal foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
Khris Middleton turnover (Jordan Poole steals)
Stephen Curry turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)
Brook Lopez offensive foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)
Brook Lopez turnover (offensive foul)
Kevon Looney violation
Jordan Poole turnover (lost ball) (Joe Ingles steals)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Kevon Looney misses two point cutting layup
+3
Khris Middleton makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
47-47
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point jump shot
+3
Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)
44-47
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Stephen Curry personal foul (Loose ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)
Stephen Curry turnover
Instant replay (Challenge)
Bucks 60 second timeout
Jrue Holiday shooting foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Jevon Carter personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
JaMychal Green blocks Jrue Holiday's two point driving layup
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot
JaMychal Green defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses two point pullup jump shot
Brook Lopez defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses two point jump shot
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses two point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez)
Bucks 60 second timeout
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point stepback jump shot
JaMychal Green defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point jump shot
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point stepback jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
41-47
+3
Jevon Carter makes three point running pullup jump shot
41-44
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point floating jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
41-44
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
Jevon Carter personal foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point pullup jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo personal foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
38-42
+3
Jevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)
38-40
Jevon Carter defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point driving layup
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez)
Khris Middleton kicked ball violation
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point floating jump shot
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
35-40
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Warriors 60 second timeout
+2
Jevon Carter makes two point driving layup
35-37
Jevon Carter defensive rebound
Kevon Looney misses two point driving layup
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point tip layup
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses two point jump shot
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point tip layup
33-37
Moses Moody offensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors offensive rebound
Grayson Allen blocks Kevon Looney's two point layup
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point hook shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Kevon Looney, Ty Jerome, Stephen Curry)
Moses Moody personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-35
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Moses Moody, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Ty Jerome)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jae Crowder, Grayson Allen, Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton)
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-34
Khris Middleton shooting foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
Draymond Green offensive rebound
Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
Moses Moody defensive rebound
Pat Connaughton misses three point running pullup jump shot
Jae Crowder defensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Warriors defensive rebound
Andre Iguodala blocks Bobby Portis's two point driving layup
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot
Jordan Poole turnover (lost ball) (Khris Middleton steals)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point driving layup
33-33
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)
33-33
+1
Jae Crowder makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-30
Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Moses Moody, Jordan Poole, Ty Jerome, JaMychal Green)
+1
Jae Crowder makes regular free throw 1 of 2
31-30
Warriors personal foul
Jae Crowder offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses three point running pullup jump shot
Andre Iguodala defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
Klay Thompson turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)
+3
Jrue Holiday makes three point running pullup jump shot
29-30
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Ty Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Khris Middleton misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
JaMychal Green makes two point layup (Ty Jerome assists)
26-30
Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Jordan Poole, Ty Jerome, Klay Thompson, JaMychal Green)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jae Crowder, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton, Khris Middleton)
End of 1st Quarter.
+3
Bobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
26-28
Andre Iguodala offensive rebound
+2
Andre Iguodala makes two point tip layup
26-28
JaMychal Green misses two point jump shot
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point floating jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)
26-26
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point running pullup jump shot
Jrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
JaMychal Green misses three point jump shot
Andre Iguodala defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
JaMychal Green makes two point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)
21-26
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Jae Crowder misses three point jump shot
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point pullup jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)
21-24
+3
Joe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
21-21
+3
JaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)
21-21
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
18-18
Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Jordan Poole, Ty Jerome, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
+1
Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
18-18
JaMychal Green shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)
+3
JaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)
16-18
Jrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Stephen Curry steals)
Jordan Poole turnover (traveling)
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo blocks Pat Connaughton's two point cutting layup
Warriors lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Jordan Poole, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Jae Crowder, Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Pat Connaughton)
Bucks 60 second timeout
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)
16-15
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Draymond Green misses two point floating jump shot
Brook Lopez offensive rebound
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point tip layup
16-12
Brook Lopez misses two point cutting layup
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point driving layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
14-12
Donte DiVincenzo defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
Jevon Carter defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
+3
Brook Lopez makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)
14-10
Joe Ingles defensive rebound
JaMychal Green misses three point jump shot
+2
Grayson Allen makes two point reverse layup
11-10
+3
JaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
11-10
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
9-7
Warriors lineup change (Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Donte DiVincenzo, JaMychal Green)
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Pat Connaughton, Jevon Carter, Brook Lopez)
Kevon Looney personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)
+2
Khris Middleton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
6-7
Klay Thompson personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)
6-7
Bucks lineup change (Grayson Allen, Joe Ingles, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Warriors 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
Kevon Looney offensive rebound
Jordan Poole misses two point layup
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Jevon Carter misses three point running pullup jump shot
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Brook Lopez blocks Draymond Green's two point running layup
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Brook Lopez misses three point jump shot
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson)
Bucks lineup change (Joe Ingles, Jrue Holiday, Jevon Carter, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Stephen Curry turnover (traveling)
Stephen Curry defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Grayson Allen defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot
Klay Thompson personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses three point running pullup jump shot
Bobby Portis offensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point jump shot
Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
Stephen Curry misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
Jrue Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot
4-4
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point alley-oop layup
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses two point jump shot
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Grayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Brook Lopez blocks Kevon Looney's two point hook shot
Jrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Kevon Looney steals)
Draymond Green violation
Donte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)
Donte DiVincenzo offensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Bobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Klay Thompson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
2-4
+2
Brook Lopez makes two point alley-oop layup (Khris Middleton assists)
2-2
+1
Klay Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
2-2
+1
Klay Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
2-1
Khris Middleton shooting foul (Klay Thompson draws the foul)
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Jrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot
Brook Lopez vs. Kevon Looney (Bobby Portis gains possession)
Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kevon Looney, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Donte DiVincenzo)
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Grayson Allen, Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, Brook Lopez)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-G | 7 | J. Ingles | 15 | 5 | 7 |
| G | 21 | J. Holiday | 18 | 9 | 8 |
| G | 5 | J. Carter | 13 | 2 | 1 |
| F | 22 | K. Middleton | 19 | 3 | 5 |
| C | 11 | B. Lopez | 19 | 7 | 1 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 23 | D. Green | 5 | 13 | 9 |
| C | 5 | K. Looney | 7 | 15 | 4 |
| G | 30 | S. Curry | 36 | 6 | 4 |
| G | 11 | K. Thompson | 22 | 3 | 3 |
| F | 0 | D. DiVincenzo | 20 | 10 | 3 |
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Bucks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Warriors
- Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Warriors favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 219.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +186, Warriors +250
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 38%
- Warriors: 62%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 118-121 Warriors.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 38%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 62%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Chase Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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