Heat vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Warriors NBA game on January 3, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Heat
108
115
Jan 4, 3AM Chase Center
Warriors
Jan 4, 3AM Chase Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Heat
25 29 108
Warriors
33 26 115
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
HeatMIA
Win %
19%
81%
WarriorsGSW
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
25 29 108
Warriors
33 26 115
Q2 00:02 Kevon Looney makes two point dunk (Jordan Poole assists)
Q2 00:21 Caleb Martin misses two point layup
Q2 00:35 Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:55 Gary Payton II misses two point dunk
Q2 1:09 Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
Q2 1:25 Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:06 P.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:16 Stephen Curry misses two point step back jump shot
Q2 2:33 Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup
Q2 2:49 Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q2 00:02
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point dunk (Jordan Poole assists)
54-59
Q2 00:18
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Q2 00:21
Caleb Martin misses two point layup
Q2 00:33
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Q2 00:35
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Q2 00:35
Warriors lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Otto Porter Jr., Kevon Looney)
Q2 00:41
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro)
Q2 00:41
Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q2 00:50
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q2 00:55
Gary Payton II misses two point dunk
Q2 1:00
Kyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Gary Payton II steals)
Q2 1:09
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
54-57
Q2 1:21
Jordan Poole defensive rebound
Q2 1:25
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q2 1:41
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q2 1:54
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
54-55
Q2 1:54
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney)
Q2 1:54
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
53-55
Q2 1:54
Stephen Curry shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q2 2:05
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney)
Q2 2:05
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro)
Q2 2:05
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 2:05
Heat offensive rebound
Q2 2:06
P.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:13
Tyler Herro defensive rebound
Q2 2:16
Stephen Curry misses two point step back jump shot
Q2 2:33
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point driving layup
52-55
Q2 2:45
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Q2 2:49
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:53
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 2:56
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:06
+2
Kevon Looney makes two point dunk (Stephen Curry assists)
50-55
Q2 3:17
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot
50-53
Q2 3:30
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point reverse layup
48-53
Q2 3:44
+2
Jimmy Butler makes two point jump shot
48-51
Q2 3:58
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point floating jump shot
48-51
Q2 4:08
Jump ball. Omer Yurtseven (Andrew Wiggins gains possession)
Q2 4:08
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Guy, Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro)
Q2 4:10
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 4:13
Kyle Guy misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:19
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Q2 4:22
Kevon Looney misses two point jump shot
Q2 4:32
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 4:35
Jimmy Butler misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:48
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Guy, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven)
Q2 4:48
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q2 4:48
Stephen Curry blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup
Q2 5:00
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point layup (Draymond Green assists)
46-49
Q2 5:10
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q2 5:15
Omer Yurtseven misses two point floating jump shot
Q2 5:24
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q2 5:26
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:33
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point layup (Draymond Green assists)
46-47
Q2 5:38
Draymond Green defensive rebound
Q2 5:41
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Q2 5:44
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q2 5:48
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:53
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Q2 5:57
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Q2 6:04
+2
Stephen Curry makes two point jump shot
46-45
Q2 6:19
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
46-43
Q2 6:43
Kevon Looney offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Q2 6:43
Kevon Looney turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 6:55
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
43-43
Q2 7:10
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Q2 7:13
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Q2 7:27
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point step back jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
40-43
Q2 7:45
+3
Stephen Curry makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
37-43
Q2 7:57
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins, Otto Porter Jr., Kevon Looney)
Q2 7:57
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q2 7:57
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
37-40
Q2 8:02
Kyle Lowry defensive rebound
Q2 8:04
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:08
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q2 8:11
Kyle Guy misses two point finger roll layup
Q2 8:25
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Q2 8:27
Otto Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q2 8:28
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q2 8:33
Tyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot
Q2 8:42
Omer Yurtseven defensive rebound
Q2 8:44
Stephen Curry misses two point finger roll layup
Q2 8:56
+2
Omer Yurtseven makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
35-40
Q2 9:09
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q2 9:11
Stephen Curry misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:21
+3
Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)
35-40
Q2 9:27
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q2 9:30
Jonathan Kuminga misses two point jump shot
Q2 9:44
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point driving layup
30-40
Q2 9:53
Kyle Lowry offensive rebound
Q2 9:56
Caleb Martin misses three point jump shot
Q2 10:13
Heat 60 second timeout
Q2 10:14
+3
Nemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
28-40
Q2 10:19
+1
Kyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-37
Q2 10:19
Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Guy, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro)
Q2 10:19
Nemanja Bjelica shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)
Q2 10:19
+2
Kyle Lowry makes two point reverse layup
27-37
Q2 10:44
+2
Warriors makes two point jump shot
25-37
Q2 10:55
Kyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Otto Porter Jr. steals)
Q2 11:00
Nemanja Bjelica offensive rebound
Q2 11:00
+2
Nemanja Bjelica makes two point putback layup
25-35
Q2 11:05
Otto Porter Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 11:08
Gary Payton II misses three point jump shot
Q2 11:08
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II, Nemanja Bjelica, Otto Porter Jr.)
Q2 11:20
Kyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)
Q2 11:20
Kyle Lowry offensive foul (Jonathan Kuminga draws the foul)
Q2 11:22
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Q2 11:25
Nemanja Bjelica misses two point jump shot
Q2 11:48
Kyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Otto Porter Jr. steals)
Q2 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Nemanja Bjelica, Jordan Poole, Otto Porter Jr.)
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q1 00:00
Warriors offensive rebound
Q1 00:00
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:23
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)
25-33
Q1 00:23
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Gary Payton II, Jordan Poole, Otto Porter Jr.)
Q1 00:36
Otto Porter Jr. offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)
Q1 00:36
Otto Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 00:47
Jonathan Kuminga defensive rebound
Q1 00:50
Kyle Guy misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:59
+1
Jordan Poole makes regular free throw 1 of 1
23-33
Q1 00:59
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Caleb Martin, Kyle Guy, Kyle Lowry, Tyler Herro)
Q1 00:59
Tyler Herro shooting foul (Jordan Poole draws the foul)
Q1 1:01
Caleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Jonathan Kuminga steals)
Q1 1:06
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q1 1:09
Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
Q1 1:26
+3
Kyle Guy makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)
23-30
Q1 1:39
+2
Nemanja Bjelica makes two point finger roll layup (Jordan Poole assists)
20-30
Q1 1:54
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jonathan Kuminga, Nemanja Bjelica, Jordan Poole, Otto Porter Jr.)
Q1 1:54
Jimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q1 2:10
Kyle Guy defensive rebound
Q1 2:12
Otto Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q1 2:29
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
20-28
Q1 2:29
Warriors lineup change (Jonathan Kuminga, Draymond Green, Damion Lee, Jordan Poole, Otto Porter Jr.)
Q1 2:29
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Guy, Tyler Herro)
Q1 2:29
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
19-28
Q1 2:29
Draymond Green shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q1 2:38
Chris Silva defensive rebound
Q1 2:42
Jordan Poole misses two point floating jump shot
Q1 2:57
+3
Kyle Guy makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
18-28
Q1 3:10
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
15-28
Q1 3:15
Tyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Draymond Green steals)
Q1 3:29
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
15-26
Q1 3:38
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 3:41
Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
Q1 3:57
Jimmy Butler defensive goaltending violation
Q1 3:58
+2
Jordan Poole makes two point layup (Draymond Green assists)
15-23
Q1 3:58
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 3:58
Jimmy Butler offensive rebound
Q1 3:58
Jimmy Butler misses two point putback layup
Q1 4:04
P.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot
Q1 4:19
P.J. Tucker defensive rebound
Q1 4:24
Andrew Wiggins misses two point step back jump shot
Q1 4:39
+1
Chris Silva makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-21
Q1 4:39
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Guy, Chris Silva, Tyler Herro)
Q1 4:39
+1
Chris Silva makes regular free throw 1 of 2
15-21
Q1 4:39
Damion Lee personal foul (Chris Silva draws the foul)
Q1 4:44
Chris Silva defensive rebound
Q1 4:48
Otto Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q1 4:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 5:15
+3
Kyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)
13-21
Q1 5:36
Heat 60 second timeout
Q1 5:38
+3
Otto Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Jordan Poole assists)
10-21
Q1 5:48
Warriors lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, Damion Lee, Jordan Poole, Otto Porter Jr.)
Q1 5:48
Heat lineup change (P.J. Tucker, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Guy, Kyle Lowry, Chris Silva)
Q1 5:48
Chris Silva offensive foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Q1 5:48
Chris Silva turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 5:57
Jimmy Butler defensive rebound
Q1 5:59
Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
Q1 6:10
Chris Silva offensive rebound
Q1 6:10
+2
Chris Silva makes two point jump shot
10-18
Q1 6:16
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:29
+2
Gary Payton II makes two point reverse layup (Draymond Green assists)
10-18
Q1 6:42
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Q1 6:44
Jimmy Butler misses two point jump shot
Q1 6:44
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Guy, Kyle Lowry, Chris Silva)
Q1 6:46
Warriors 60 second timeout
Q1 6:46
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 6:46
Heat offensive rebound
Q1 6:51
Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:08
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
8-16
Q1 7:19
+2
Tyler Herro makes two point finger roll layup
8-13
Q1 7:38
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point layup (Draymond Green assists)
8-13
Q1 7:53
+2
Chris Silva makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)
6-11
Q1 8:15
+3
Jordan Poole makes three point jump shot (Kevon Looney assists)
6-11
Q1 8:33
Kevon Looney defensive rebound
Q1 8:35
Kyle Lowry misses three point jump shot
Q1 8:45
Chris Silva defensive rebound
Q1 8:49
Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:02
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 9:04
Caleb Martin misses two point jump shot
Q1 9:04
Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, Jordan Poole, Kevon Looney)
Q1 9:18
Stephen Curry personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
Q1 9:31
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-8
Q1 9:31
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
4-7
Q1 9:31
Kyle Lowry shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Q1 9:44
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2
4-6
Q1 9:44
+1
Jimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2
3-6
Q1 9:44
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Chris Silva, Tyler Herro)
Q1 9:44
Stoppage (Blood rule)
Q1 9:44
Stephen Curry shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)
Q1 10:07
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
2-6
Q1 10:12
Tyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Gary Payton II steals)
Q1 10:28
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point step back jump shot (Draymond Green assists)
2-3
Q1 10:35
Gary Payton II defensive rebound
Q1 10:38
Omer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot
Q1 10:55
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Q1 10:58
Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q1 11:12
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Q1 11:12
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point jump shot
2-0
Q1 11:22
Kyle Lowry misses two point floating jump shot
Q1 11:36
Kevon Looney turnover (offensive goaltending)
Q1 11:38
Kevon Looney misses two point dunk
Q1 12:00
Omer Yurtseven vs. Kevon Looney (Kevon Looney gains possession)
Q1 12:00
Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Gary Payton II, Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green, Kevon Looney)
Q1 12:00
Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Omer Yurtseven, Tyler Herro)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Heat
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F17P. Tucker021
F22J. Butler1252
F16C. Martin1061
C77O. Yurtseven250
G14T. Herro713
Warriors
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F22A. Wiggins1640
F23D. Green0310
G3J. Poole1412
F32O. Porter Jr.312
C5K. Looney431

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Heat vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Warriors
  • Date: Monday, January 3, 2022
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 215.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +400, Warriors -490

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 21%
  • Warriors: 79%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 103-113 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 21%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 79%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Chase Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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