Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Thunder NBA game on January 2, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Mavericks
95
86
Jan 3, 12AM Paycom Center
Thunder
Jan 3, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
26 25 22 22 95
Thunder
22 17 25 22 86
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
MavericksDAL
Win %
100%
0%
ThunderOKC
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
26 25 22 22 95
Thunder
22 17 25 22 86
Q4 00:21 Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:24 Maxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
Q4 00:41 Isaiah Roby makes two point putback layup
Q4 00:45 Josh Giddey misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 00:49 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Aaron Wiggins misses two point reverse layup
Q4 2:15 Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Q4 00:00
End of 4th Quarter.
Q4 00:09
Josh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Maxi Kleber steals)
Q4 00:09
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Sterling Brown, Reggie Bullock, Theo Pinson, Josh Green)
Q4 00:12
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 00:12
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
95-86
Q4 00:12
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Sterling Brown, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q4 00:12
+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
94-86
Q4 00:12
Aaron Wiggins personal foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Q4 00:12
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q4 00:13
Josh Giddey personal foul (Reggie Bullock draws the foul)
Q4 00:15
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Q4 00:21
Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:22
Thunder lineup change (Theo Maledon, Isaiah Roby, Ty Jerome, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q4 00:22
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Reggie Bullock, Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q4 00:22
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 00:24
+3
Maxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
93-86
Q4 00:41
Isaiah Roby offensive rebound
Q4 00:41
+2
Isaiah Roby makes two point putback layup
93-86
Q4 00:45
Josh Giddey misses two point floating jump shot
Q4 00:47
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Q4 00:49
Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:00
Isaiah Roby defensive rebound
Q4 1:04
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:19
+1
Isaiah Roby makes regular free throw 2 of 2
90-84
Q4 1:19
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Q4 1:19
Thunder offensive rebound
Q4 1:19
Isaiah Roby misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Q4 1:19
Mavericks personal foul
Q4 1:19
Isaiah Roby offensive rebound
Q4 1:23
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:38
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q4 1:40
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:57
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Q4 1:59
Aaron Wiggins misses two point reverse layup
Q4 2:12
Aleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound
Q4 2:15
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:42
+3
Josh Giddey makes three point jump shot (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)
90-83
Q4 2:47
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q4 2:50
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:03
+2
Aleksej Pokusevski makes two point putback layup
90-80
Q4 3:06
Aleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound
Q4 3:06
Aleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound
Q4 3:06
Aleksej Pokusevski misses two point putback layup
Q4 3:10
Theo Maledon misses two point driving layup
Q4 3:26
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point driving layup
90-78
Q4 3:33
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Theo Maledon, Isaiah Roby, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q4 3:33
Theo Maledon personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)
Q4 3:52
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 3:52
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q4 3:52
Aaron Wiggins misses two point driving layup
Q4 4:00
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q4 4:04
Maxi Kleber misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:17
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Reggie Bullock, Dwight Powell, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Q4 4:17
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q4 4:19
+2
Aaron Wiggins makes two point driving layup
88-78
Q4 4:27
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 4:31
Maxi Kleber misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:46
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point jump shot
88-76
Q4 4:46
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jalen Brunson, Dwight Powell, Luka Doncic)
Q4 5:02
Jalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Q4 5:11
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
Q4 5:14
Jalen Brunson misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:35
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Q4 5:38
Aleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:56
+3
Dwight Powell makes three point jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)
88-74
Q4 6:14
+1
Theo Maledon makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-74
Q4 6:14
+1
Theo Maledon makes regular free throw 1 of 2
85-73
Q4 6:14
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Mike Muscala, Theo Maledon, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q4 6:14
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Sterling Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jalen Brunson, Dwight Powell)
Q4 6:14
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q4 6:14
Dwight Powell shooting foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)
Q4 6:29
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point jump shot (Sterling Brown assists)
85-72
Q4 6:50
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup
85-72
Q4 6:56
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q4 7:00
Josh Green misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:06
Thunder lineup change (Mike Muscala, Theo Maledon, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q4 7:06
Mavericks lineup change (Sterling Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jalen Brunson, Josh Green, Dwight Powell)
Q4 7:06
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 7:06
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q4 7:06
Mike Muscala blocks Josh Green's two point layup
Q4 7:06
Josh Green offensive rebound
Q4 7:07
Josh Green misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:34
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point dunk (Mike Muscala assists)
83-70
Q4 7:38
Luka Doncic turnover (lost ball) (Mike Muscala steals)
Q4 7:43
Sterling Brown defensive rebound
Q4 7:49
Mike Muscala misses three point jump shot
Q4 7:53
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q4 7:55
Josh Green misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:06
Ty Jerome turnover (Josh Green steals)
Q4 8:20
+2
Luka Doncic makes two point step back jump shot
83-68
Q4 8:30
Aaron Wiggins personal foul
Q4 8:35
Thunder lineup change (Mike Muscala, Theo Maledon, Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q4 8:35
Mavericks lineup change (Sterling Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Green, Dwight Powell, Luka Doncic)
Q4 8:35
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q4 8:39
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 8:42
Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:00
+3
Marquese Chriss makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
81-68
Q4 9:14
+2
Derrick Favors makes two point putback layup
81-68
Q4 9:14
Derrick Favors offensive rebound
Q4 9:20
Kenrich Williams misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:46
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
78-66
Q4 9:57
Reggie Bullock defensive rebound
Q4 10:00
Kenrich Williams misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:07
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q4 10:08
Marquese Chriss offensive rebound
Q4 10:08
Marquese Chriss misses two point putback layup
Q4 10:12
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:22
+2
Derrick Favors makes two point layup (Kenrich Williams assists)
76-66
Q4 10:42
+3
Marquese Chriss makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
76-64
Q4 10:57
Marquese Chriss defensive rebound
Q4 11:01
Theo Maledon misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:09
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)
Q4 11:24
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q4 11:26
Derrick Favors misses two point reverse layup
Q4 11:48
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Q4 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Derrick Favors, Theo Maledon, Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
Q3 00:00
End of 3rd Quarter.
Q3 00:01
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q3 00:01
Luka Doncic misses two point step back jump shot
Q3 00:20
Josh Green defensive rebound
Q3 00:23
Kenrich Williams misses three point jump shot
Q3 00:35
+3
Luka Doncic makes three point step back jump shot
73-64
Q3 00:41
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 00:43
Theo Maledon misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Q3 00:43
Marquese Chriss shooting foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)
Q3 00:43
+2
Theo Maledon makes two point reverse layup
70-64
Q3 00:47
Luka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Theo Maledon steals)
Q3 00:50
Kenrich Williams turnover (bad pass)
Q3 1:05
Derrick Favors defensive rebound
Q3 1:08
Marquese Chriss misses two point driving layup
Q3 1:32
+2
Derrick Favors makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
70-62
Q3 1:53
Luka Doncic misses two point floating jump shot
Q3 2:02
Marquese Chriss defensive rebound
Q3 2:06
Aaron Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Q3 2:15
Thunder lineup change (Derrick Favors, Theo Maledon, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q3 2:15
Mavericks lineup change (Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Marquese Chriss, Tim Hardaway Jr., Luka Doncic)
Q3 4:30
+2
Marquese Chriss makes two point layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
63-57
Q3 4:50
Mavericks lineup change (Reggie Bullock, Jalen Brunson, Josh Green, Marquese Chriss, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q3 4:50
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q3 4:57
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
Q3 5:10
+2
Theo Maledon makes two point layup (Josh Giddey assists)
61-54
Q3 5:13
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Mike Muscala, Theo Maledon, Ty Jerome, Josh Giddey)
Q3 5:13
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Reggie Bullock, Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q3 5:13
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Aleksej Pokusevski draws the foul)
Q3 5:23
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Q3 5:35
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Q3 5:36
Josh Giddey misses two point driving layup
Q3 5:49
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q3 6:59
+3
Dorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)
61-50
Q3 7:10
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q3 7:13
Ty Jerome misses two point floating jump shot
Q3 8:33
Mavericks defensive rebound
Q3 8:33
Josh Giddey misses two point jump shot
Q3 9:49
+1
Dorian Finney-Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-44
Q3 12:00
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Isaiah Roby, Ty Jerome, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q3 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Jalen Brunson, Dwight Powell, Luka Doncic)
Q2 00:00
End of 1st Half.
Q2 00:43
Rob Edwards defensive rebound
Q2 00:45
Reggie Bullock misses two point jump shot
Q2 00:58
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point driving layup (Josh Giddey assists)
51-38
Q2 1:06
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)
51-36
Q2 2:05
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q2 2:08
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point reverse layup (Reggie Bullock assists)
47-34
Q2 2:28
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Q2 2:29
Theo Maledon misses two point floating jump shot
Q2 2:48
+2
Dorian Finney-Smith makes two point dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)
45-34
Q2 2:52
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Q2 2:55
Maxi Kleber blocks Ty Jerome's two point driving layup
Q2 3:02
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Q2 3:06
Jalen Brunson misses two point floating jump shot
Q2 3:25
Reggie Bullock defensive rebound
Q2 3:28
Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
Q2 3:46
Maxi Kleber personal foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)
Q2 3:46
Maxi Kleber turnover
Q2 3:56
Instant replay (Request)
Q2 4:34
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Q2 4:37
Rob Edwards misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:49
Ty Jerome defensive rebound
Q2 4:52
Maxi Kleber misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:53
Tim Hardaway Jr. offensive rebound
Q2 4:56
Rob Edwards blocks Tim Hardaway Jr.'s three point jump shot
Q2 5:18
+3
Rob Edwards makes three point jump shot
43-34
Q2 5:24
Rob Edwards defensive rebound
Q2 5:25
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:33
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Q2 5:37
Mike Muscala misses three point jump shot
Q2 5:43
Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)
Q2 6:07
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
43-31
Q2 6:14
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Mike Muscala, Rob Edwards, Theo Maledon, Ty Jerome)
Q2 7:18
+3
Maxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
38-29
Q2 7:24
Marquese Chriss defensive rebound
Q2 7:26
Aaron Wiggins misses two point layup
Q2 7:39
+2
Marquese Chriss makes two point driving layup (Josh Green assists)
38-29
Q2 7:50
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Mike Muscala, Theo Maledon, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q2 7:50
Mavericks lineup change (Maxi Kleber, Dorian Finney-Smith, Josh Green, Marquese Chriss, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Q2 8:36
+3
Josh Giddey makes three point jump shot
30-29
Q2 9:28
Aleksej Pokusevski turnover (lost ball) (Sterling Brown steals)
Q2 9:39
Sterling Brown turnover (bad pass) (Theo Maledon steals)
Q2 9:43
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q2 9:47
Sterling Brown blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point layup
Q2 10:00
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Derrick Favors, Theo Maledon, Aaron Wiggins, Josh Giddey)
Q2 10:39
Sterling Brown defensive rebound
Q2 10:41
Kenrich Williams misses two point layup
Q2 10:47
Josh Green turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)
Q2 11:02
+2
Kenrich Williams makes two point jump shot
26-24
Q2 11:09
Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
Q2 11:12
Derrick Favors blocks Marquese Chriss's two point layup
Q2 11:36
Theo Maledon misses two point jump shot
Q2 12:00
Mavericks lineup change (Sterling Brown, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Marquese Chriss, Luka Doncic)
Q1 00:00
End of 1st Quarter.
Q1 00:02
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 00:05
Luka Doncic misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:25
Moses Brown defensive rebound
Q1 00:28
Josh Giddey misses two point floating jump shot
Q1 00:36
Derrick Favors defensive rebound
Q1 00:39
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Q1 00:51
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)
26-22
Q1 1:04
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot
26-20
Q1 2:55
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Q1 2:55
Theo Maledon shooting foul (Tim Hardaway Jr. draws the foul)
Q1 2:55
+2
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes two point driving layup
19-20
Q1 3:01
+2
Ty Jerome makes two point floating jump shot
19-20
Q1 3:13
Isaiah Roby offensive rebound
Q1 3:58
Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (out of bounds step)
Q1 4:03
Moses Brown defensive rebound
Q1 4:06
Ty Jerome misses two point floating jump shot
Q1 4:24
+3
Reggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
15-18
Q1 4:43
Thunder lineup change (Rob Edwards, Theo Maledon, Isaiah Roby, Ty Jerome, Kenrich Williams)
Q1 4:43
Aaron Wiggins personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
Q1 4:43
Aaron Wiggins turnover (offensive foul)
Q1 4:50
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 6:06
+3
Ty Jerome makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
10-15
Q1 6:10
Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
Q1 6:13
Moses Brown misses two point reverse dunk
Q1 6:41
+3
Isaiah Roby makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)
10-12
Q1 6:59
Thunder 60 second timeout
Q1 6:59
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Q1 7:00
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 7:00
Dwight Powell misses two point putback layup
Q1 7:01
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Q1 7:03
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Q1 7:23
Aaron Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)
Q1 7:27
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Q1 7:29
Maxi Kleber misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:26
Isaiah Roby personal foul (Loose ball) (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Q1 9:26
Mavericks offensive rebound
Q1 9:27
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:32
Luka Doncic defensive rebound
Q1 9:34
Aleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot
Q1 9:54
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
4-5
Q1 10:47
Maxi Kleber personal foul (Take) (Josh Giddey draws the foul)
Q1 10:48
Luka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
Mavericks
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
F42M. Kleber951
G-F0S. Brown032
G-F25R. Bullock632
G1T. Pinson000
G8J. Green231
Thunder
PosPlayerPtsRebAst
G11T. Maledon811
C22I. Roby1241
G16T. Jerome1232
F21A. Wiggins1060
G3J. Giddey171314

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Mavericks vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mavericks vs. Thunder
  • Date: Sunday, January 2, 2022
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks favored at -9
  • Total (Over/Under): 206.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mavericks -435, Thunder +400

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mavericks: 75%
  • Thunder: 25%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 108-100 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 75%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 25%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.

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