- Predictions
Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Thunder NBA game on December 12, 2021 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
103
74
Dec 13, 12AM Paycom Center
Dec 13, 12AM Paycom Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 28 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 103 |
Thunder | 27 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 74 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks | 28 | 28 | 24 | 23 | 103 |
Thunder | 27 | 19 | 25 | 13 | 74 |
Q4 1:41 Theo Maledon misses two point driving layup
Q4 1:52 Frank Ntilikina makes two point step back jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)
Q4 2:13 Jeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)
Q4 2:40 Darius Bazley misses three point jump shot
Q4 8:28 Darius Bazley blocks Tim Hardaway Jr.'s three point jump shot
Q4 8:53 Trey Burke makes two point floating jump shot
Q4 9:08 Aleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot
Q4 9:21 Trey Burke misses two point jump shot
Q3 00:00 Kristaps Porzingis misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Q3 00:24 Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Theo Maledon misses two point driving layup
+2
Frank Ntilikina makes two point step back jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)
103-84
+3
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Theo Maledon assists)
103-84
+1
Moses Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-81
Thunder lineup change (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Theo Maledon, Ty Jerome, Aleksej Pokusevski, Josh Giddey)
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Josh Green, Trey Burke, Maxi Kleber, Frank Ntilikina)
+1
Moses Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-81
Josh Giddey shooting foul (Moses Brown draws the foul)
Moses Brown defensive rebound
Darius Bazley misses three point jump shot
Darius Bazley blocks Tim Hardaway Jr.'s three point jump shot
Ty Jerome turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+2
Trey Burke makes two point floating jump shot
103-74
Thunder lineup change (Ty Jerome, Aleksej Pokusevski, Darius Bazley, Kenrich Williams, Josh Giddey)
Kenrich Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Mavericks defensive rebound
Aleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot
Aleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound
Trey Burke misses two point jump shot
Trey Burke defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Theo Maledon, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Kenrich Williams, Mike Muscala)
Mavericks lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Reggie Bullock, Tim Hardaway Jr., Trey Burke, Maxi Kleber)
Ty Jerome turnover (back court violation)
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Mavericks turnover (shot clock violation)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot
+1
Moses Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-65
Thunder lineup change (Ty Jerome, Aleksej Pokusevski, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Mike Muscala)
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Trey Burke, Maxi Kleber)
Tre Mann shooting foul (Moses Brown draws the foul)
+2
Moses Brown makes two point layup (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
103-65
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot
+2
Dorian Finney-Smith makes two point driving layup (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists)
103-65
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point finger roll layup
103-60
Darius Bazley defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Thunder lineup change (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Theo Maledon, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Tre Mann)
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jalen Brunson, Maxi Kleber)
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-58
Derrick Favors personal foul (Take) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith blocks Josh Giddey's two point driving dunk
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point floating jump shot
103-58
+2
Derrick Favors makes two point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
103-58
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
103-56
+2
Derrick Favors makes two point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
103-56
Derrick Favors defensive rebound
Dwight Powell misses two point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point jump shot
103-54
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Darius Bazley misses two point driving layup
Mavericks turnover (shot clock violation)
Mavericks offensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
Theo Maledon personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Derrick Favors misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Derrick Favors makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-54
Kristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Derrick Favors draws the foul)
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses two point layup
Josh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-53
+1
Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-53
Darius Bazley shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Reggie Bullock defensive rebound
Darius Bazley misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder lineup change (Theo Maledon, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Derrick Favors, Josh Giddey)
Mavericks lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Reggie Bullock, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson)
End of 1st Half.
+2
Josh Green makes two point layup (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)
103-46
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Josh Green defensive rebound
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Josh Giddey, Tre Mann, Mike Muscala)
Kristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)
Josh Giddey blocks Jalen Brunson's two point layup
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-44
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Derrick Favors, Josh Giddey)
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-43
Josh Green personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
Tre Mann defensive rebound
Darius Bazley defensive rebound
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
+1
Tre Mann makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-41
Mavericks lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Reggie Bullock, Josh Green, Jalen Brunson)
Tre Mann misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Thunder offensive rebound
Reggie Bullock personal foul (Take) (Tre Mann draws the foul)
Tre Mann defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
+2
Derrick Favors makes two point layup (Darius Bazley assists)
103-40
Jalen Brunson misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-35
+1
Luguentz Dort makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-34
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Derrick Favors, Tre Mann)
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Reggie Bullock, Jalen Brunson, Maxi Kleber)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Darius Bazley defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. misses three point jump shot
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Aleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot
+1
Moses Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 2
103-33
Moses Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks offensive rebound
Aleksej Pokusevski shooting foul (Moses Brown draws the foul)
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Aleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Aleksej Pokusevski, Kenrich Williams, Josh Giddey, Mike Muscala)
Thunder 60 second timeout
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot
+2
Maxi Kleber makes two point putback layup
103-31
Maxi Kleber offensive rebound
Aleksej Pokusevski blocks Maxi Kleber's two point jump shot
Thunder lineup change (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Luguentz Dort, Aleksej Pokusevski, Kenrich Williams, Josh Giddey)
Mavericks lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, Jalen Brunson, Maxi Kleber)
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)
103-31
Josh Giddey defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point layup (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)
103-29
+2
Maxi Kleber makes two point layup (Trey Burke assists)
103-27
Josh Giddey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Trey Burke makes two point floating jump shot
103-27
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
Tre Mann misses two point step back jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
103-27
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses two point alley-oop layup
Josh Green personal foul (Tre Mann draws the foul)
Trey Burke shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
103-27
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
Trey Burke misses two point floating jump shot
+1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 1
103-25
Tim Hardaway Jr. shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
+2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
25-24
Aleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound
Josh Green misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Kristaps Porzingis, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, Trey Burke, Maxi Kleber)
+1
Josh Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-22
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Josh Green draws the foul)
+3
Tre Mann makes three point step back jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)
24-22
+2
Maxi Kleber makes two point layup (Moses Brown assists)
24-19
Moses Brown defensive rebound
Mike Muscala misses three point jump shot
Moses Brown turnover (offensive foul)
Moses Brown offensive foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)
+3
Mike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
22-19
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., Josh Green, Trey Burke, Maxi Kleber)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Thunder offensive rebound
Kenrich Williams misses two point jump shot
+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. makes three point jump shot (Maxi Kleber assists)
22-16
+2
Mike Muscala makes two point layup (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)
22-16
Aleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses two point driving layup
+3
Mike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
19-14
Thunder lineup change (Aleksej Pokusevski, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams, Tre Mann, Mike Muscala)
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway Jr., Trey Burke, Maxi Kleber)
+1
Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
14-8
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Reggie Bullock, Jalen Brunson)
Derrick Favors shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)
14-8
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Darius Bazley defensive rebound
Dwight Powell misses three point jump shot
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses two point floating jump shot
+2
Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
11-8
+3
Darius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)
11-8
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
9-5
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
9-5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
+2
Josh Giddey makes two point putback layup
7-5
Josh Giddey offensive rebound
Josh Giddey misses two point floating jump shot
Derrick Favors defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
+3
Luguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)
7-3
Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Derrick Favors, Josh Giddey)
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses two point putback layup
Thunder 60 second timeout
Dorian Finney-Smith turnover (out of bounds step)
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses two point putback layup
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
Mavericks lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Reggie Bullock, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson)
Josh Giddey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
+2
Moses Brown makes two point putback layup
7-0
Moses Brown offensive rebound
Dorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Moses Brown blocks Josh Giddey's two point driving layup
Mavericks lineup change (Moses Brown, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Reggie Bullock, Jalen Brunson)
Dorian Finney-Smith personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
Kristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot
+2
Dwight Powell makes two point putback layup
5-0
Dwight Powell offensive rebound
Reggie Bullock misses three point jump shot
+3
Reggie Bullock makes three point jump shot
5-0
Jalen Brunson offensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point floating jump shot
Kristaps Porzingis (Dwight Powell gains possession)
Thunder lineup change (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Darius Bazley, Josh Giddey)
Mavericks lineup change (Dorian Finney-Smith, Kristaps Porzingis, Reggie Bullock, Dwight Powell, Jalen Brunson)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 9 | M. Brown | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| G | 8 | J. Green | 8 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 3 | T. Burke | 7 | 1 | 5 |
| F | 42 | M. Kleber | 16 | 7 | 2 |
| G | 21 | F. Ntilikina | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 50 | J. Robinson-Earl | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| G | 11 | T. Maledon | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| G | 16 | T. Jerome | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 17 | A. Pokusevski | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| G | 3 | J. Giddey | 6 | 7 | 4 |
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Mavericks vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Mavericks vs. Thunder
- Date: Sunday, December 12, 2021
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -4
- Total (Over/Under): 206.5
- Moneyline Odds: Mavericks -170, Thunder +155
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Mavericks: 65%
- Thunder: 35%
Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 106-102 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 65%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Thunder in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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