Sporting KC vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. San Jose MLS game on April 19, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Sporting KC
5
3
Apr 20, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Apr 20, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
J. Martinez (30')
C. Arango (42')
C. Arango (pen.) (90')
L. Ndenbe (18')
D. Salloi (20')
M. Garcia (24')
D. Salloi (73')
E. Thommy (85')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySporting KCSan JoseDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySporting KCSan JoseHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces M. Garcia
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Agada replaces D. Joveljic
90'
Yellow Card
J. Pulskamp (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango (pen.)
5-3
88'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Floriani replaces Rodrigues
85'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by E. Thommy, assisted by M. Garcia
5-2
81'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd replaces B. Leroux
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces Vitor Costa
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Pellegrino replaces N. Tsakiris
73'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi
4-2
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces S. Suleymanov
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces N. Radoja
52'
Yellow Card
Rodrigues (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces M. Kaye
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Voloder replaces J. Fernandez
42'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by C. Arango
3-2
41'
Yellow Card
L. Ndenbe (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
M. Kaye (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
30'
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Martinez, assisted by Rodrigues
3-1
24'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by M. Garcia
3-0
20'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi, assisted by J. Pulskamp
2-0
18'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by L. Ndenbe
1-0

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Sporting KC vs. San Jose: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sporting KC +260, San Jose -107, Draw +300

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 25.8%
  • San Jose: 52.4%
  • Draw: 21.7%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Sporting KC 1-1 San Jose, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives San Jose a win probability of 52.4%, while Sporting KC has a win probability of 25.8%. The chance of a draw is 21.7%.

Summary

Our Sporting KC vs. San Jose predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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