St Louis City vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Sporting KC MLS game on April 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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St Louis City
0
2
Apr 6, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Apr 6, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
D. Joveljic (71')
D. Joveljic (88')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySt Louis CitySporting KCDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilitySt Louis CitySporting KCHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Toye replaces D. Joveljic
88'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
0-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces S. Suleymanov
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Rosero replaces J. Fernandez
79'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces A. Morales
77'
Yellow Card
T. Ostrak (St. Louis City) cautioned
71'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Joveljic
0-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces C. Pompeu
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: N. Radoja replaces K. Shelton
42'
Yellow Card
J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
J. Davis (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
26'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces J. Nilsson

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St Louis City vs. Sporting KC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: St Louis City +265, Sporting KC +110, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-125/+108)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • St Louis City: 30.7%
  • Sporting KC: 44.0%
  • Draw: 25.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is St Louis City 1-1 Sporting KC, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sporting KC a win probability of 44.0%, while St Louis City has a win probability of 30.7%. The chance of a draw is 25.2%.

Summary

Our St Louis City vs. Sporting KC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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