Miami vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. Houston MLS game on March 2, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
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MLS
Miami
4
1
Mar 3, 12AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
Mar 3, 12AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
N. Lodeiro (85')
T. Segovia (6')
T. Allende (37')
T. Segovia (45')
L. Suarez (79')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
<0.1%
Draw
<0.1%
MIA
>99.9%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMiamiHoustonDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityMiamiHoustonHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Leo Afonso (Inter Miami) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
(Inter Miami) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
B. Cremaschi (Inter Miami) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Alba (Inter Miami) cautioned
85'
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by N. Lodeiro, assisted by E. Duenas
4-1
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces E. Ponce
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: Leo Afonso replaces L. Suarez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: S. Morales replaces S. Busquets
79'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Suarez, assisted by S. Busquets
4-0
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Duenas replaces A. Bassi
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ruiz replaces T. Segovia
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: R. Taylor replaces T. Allende
73'
Yellow Card
N. Lodeiro (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Redondo Solari replaces Y. Bright
59'
Yellow Card
F. Awodesu (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Steres replaces F. Escobar
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Lodeiro replaces I. Aliyu
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces E. Sviatchenko
45'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia, assisted by L. Suarez
3-0
37'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Allende
2-0
27'
Yellow Card
I. Aliyu (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
16'
Yellow Card
Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
6'
Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia
1-0

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Miami vs. Houston: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Houston
  • Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Miami +180, Houston +140, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-141/+122)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Miami: 32.8%
  • Houston: 42.7%
  • Draw: 24.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Miami 1-1 Houston, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Houston a win probability of 42.7%, while Miami has a win probability of 32.8%. The chance of a draw is 24.5%.

Summary

Our Miami vs. Houston predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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