LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC MLS game on May 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
LA Galaxy
0
1
May 4, 11PM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
May 4, 11PM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
M. Yoshida (o.g.) (13')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LAG
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLA GalaxySporting KCDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLA GalaxySporting KCHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Rodriguez replaces M. Garcia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento replaces J. Paintsil
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Aude replaces Gabriel Pec
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Cuevas replaces D. Fagundez
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Berry replaces C. Ramirez
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Z. Bassong replaces J. Bartlett
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces S. Suleymanov
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis replaces A. Brody
45'
Yellow Card
C. Garces (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
T. Leibold (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
J. Paintsil (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
32'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces L. Ndenbe
13'
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by M. Yoshida (o.g.)
0-1

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LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: LA Galaxy +160, Sporting KC +155, Draw +260

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 33.3%
  • Sporting KC: 44.2%
  • Draw: 22.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is LA Galaxy 1-1 Sporting KC, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sporting KC a win probability of 44.2%, while LA Galaxy has a win probability of 33.3%. The chance of a draw is 22.5%.

Summary

Our LA Galaxy vs. Sporting KC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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