Houston vs. LAFC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. LAFC MLS game on May 3, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
Houston
0
2
May 4, 2:30AM BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, California)
LAFC
May 4, 2:30AM BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LAFCLAFC
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
N. Ordaz (10')
J. Ebobisse (79')
F. Escobar (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LAFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityHoustonLAFCDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityHoustonLAFCHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) sent off for a second yellow card
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Junior Urso replaces Artur
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Segal replaces O. Lingr
79'
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by J. Ebobisse
0-2
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: Marlon replaces A. Long
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: J. Ebobisse replaces N. Ordaz
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: F. Amaya replaces M. Delgado
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Lodeiro replaces B. Raines
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: C. Under replaces D. Martinez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Kowalczyk replaces A. Bassi
56'
Yellow Card
Igor Jesus (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
31'
Yellow Card
D. Martinez (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
10'
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by N. Ordaz
0-1
8'
Yellow Card
G. Dorsey (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. LAFC: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. LAFC
  • Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Houston +410, LAFC -140, Draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-120/+100)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Houston: 20.2%
  • LAFC: 56.5%
  • Draw: 23.2%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is Houston 0-1 LAFC, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives LAFC a win probability of 56.5%, while Houston has a win probability of 20.2%. The chance of a draw is 23.2%.

Summary

Our Houston vs. LAFC predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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