NY City vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the NY City vs. Toronto MLS game on May 11, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLS
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MLS
NY City
3
2
May 11, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Toronto
May 11, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
F. Bernardeschi (55')
R. Petretta (89')
F. Bernardeschi (90')
S. Rodriguez (pen.) (23')
M. Jones (44')
A. Perea (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NYC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces H. Wolf
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Jasson replaces S. Rodriguez
90'
Yellow Card
A. Perea (New York City) cautioned
90'
Red Card
F. Bernardeschi (Toronto FC) sent off for a second yellow card
89'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by R. Petretta, assisted by M. Longstaff
3-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Thompson replaces K. Long
78'
Goal scored for New York City by A. Perea, assisted by H. Wolf
3-1
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces D. Flores
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: L. Insigne replaces D. Etienne
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. A. Ojeda replaces M. Jones
69'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces A. Martinez
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: R. Petretta replaces S. Rosted
55'
Goal scored for Toronto FC by F. Bernardeschi
2-1
53'
Yellow Card
K. Long (Toronto FC) cautioned
50'
Yellow Card
M. Jones (New York City) cautioned
44'
Goal scored for New York City by M. Jones, assisted by H. Wolf
2-0
36'
Yellow Card
S. Rosted (Toronto FC) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
A. Martinez (New York City) cautioned
23'
Goal scored for New York City by S. Rodriguez (pen.)
1-0
22'
Yellow Card
F. Bernardeschi (Toronto FC) cautioned

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NY City vs. Toronto: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: NY City +195, Toronto +140, Draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-112/-108)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • NY City: 33.7%
  • Toronto: 38.9%
  • Draw: 27.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this MLS game is NY City 1-1 Toronto, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Toronto a win probability of 38.9%, while NY City has a win probability of 33.7%. The chance of a draw is 27.4%.

Summary

Our NY City vs. Toronto predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLS predictions and the best MLS bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLS futures, MLS odds, and the latest MLS news.

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